玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 收帳和銷貨天數如果一直上升, 就要當心了!
  • 存貨在不同時期有不同的意義, 像是滯銷, 或是因為報價回升而屯貨, 或是積極備料, 這都需要去看存貨細項和判斷當時的情況來分辨
  • 當存貨增加時, 還需要注意增加的是不是商品或製成品. 如果是在製品或原物料, 反而有可能是供給不順沒法變製成品又或者是需求旺盛(短期營收趨勢向上)
  • 處在景氣下行的公司當存貨細項-原料和在製品的回升可能代表訂單開始回溫了
  • 當記憶體模組廠, 像是威剛、十銓存貨增加時, 有可能是在增加低價庫存, 代表著景氣循環來到相對低點, 也許就是建立部位的好時機
  • 當存貨提列減損損失,虧損認列在該年度,但是存貨價格回升後,之後年度也會直接回沖增加EPS,這種情況很容易在記憶體模組廠見到
  • 存貨一直增加,但是存貨銷售比沒什麼改變,可以推測是公司因為銷售良好而準備的存貨
  • 當淨營業週期(日)接近於0, 代表公司好像在做無本生意
平均收帳天數和平均銷貨天數-近20季
存貨銷售比
應收帳款周轉率 QoQ YoY存貨周轉率 QoQ YoY平均收帳天數 QoQ YoY平圴銷貨天數 QoQ YoY應付帳款付現天數 QoQ YoY淨營業週期(日) QoQ YoY
24Q4 (20)0.40-11.1100.01-50.0-83.33227.6812.9707903.72116.79408.811691.9096.28266.236439.50115.710
24Q3 (19)0.45-51.09-95.230.02-66.67-50.0201.54104.841990.663645.72152.0366.2861.98125.314.192985.28156.83116.97
24Q2 (18)0.92-3.16-87.750.06200.0-25.098.392.76711.81446.53-73.2119.92382.58-74.12-26.651162.34-71.0666.81
24Q1 (17)0.950-90.550.02-66.67-84.6295.750958.015399.54247.6661.541478.24219.98372.894017.050890.69
23Q4 (16)0.00-100.0-100.00.0650.0-90.160.00-100.0-100.01553.36-29.19945.4461.98-44.16680.640.00-100.0-100.0
23Q3 (15)9.4425.7-15.860.04-50.0-80.09.64-20.4618.872193.5981.85371.82827.3458.62432.61375.8997.46333.09
23Q2 (14)7.51-25.272.320.08-38.46-20.012.1233.92-2.181206.2470.1328.07521.5766.8560.84696.8071.8510.61
23Q1 (13)10.05-65.8231.540.13-78.6918.189.05191.94-24.01709.03377.17-17.23312.60428.222.46405.48338.36-28.03
22Q4 (12)29.40162.03326.710.61205.0258.823.10-61.78-76.53148.59-68.04-72.7759.18-61.9-69.8192.50-70.88-74.51
22Q3 (11)11.2252.86-58.550.20100.0-4.768.11-34.54141.37464.92-50.645.12155.34-52.18.93317.69-49.574.84
22Q2 (10)7.34-3.93-21.830.10-9.09-65.5212.394.0327.86941.859.95199.95324.276.29261.06629.9811.82169.36
22Q1 (9)7.6410.8912.020.11-35.29-77.5511.91-9.84-10.65856.5856.98357.38305.0955.64535.6563.4155.27269.16
21Q4 (8)6.89-74.55123.70.17-19.05-5.5613.21293.15-55.3545.6623.388.94196.0237.45111.52362.8519.74-17.11
21Q3 (7)27.07188.29338.740.21-27.5961.543.36-65.33-77.2442.2740.85-35.27142.6158.7921.82303.0229.56-47.84
21Q2 (6)9.3937.6875.510.29-40.82107.149.69-27.31-43.03314.0067.66-50.0189.8187.1-5.88233.8853.24-57.46
21Q1 (5)6.82121.431075.860.49172.222350.013.33-54.89-91.56187.28-62.61-96.3948.00-48.2-92.29152.62-65.14-96.77
20Q4 (4)3.08-50.080.00.1838.460.029.55100.470.0500.90-26.690.092.67-20.840.0437.77-24.640.0
20Q3 (3)6.1715.330.00.13-7.140.014.74-13.350.0683.268.770.0117.0722.690.0580.935.670.0
20Q2 (2)5.35822.410.00.14600.00.017.01-89.230.0628.16-87.890.095.42-84.670.0549.75-88.360.0
20Q1 (1)0.580.00.00.020.00.0158.010.00.05188.950.00.0622.460.00.04724.500.00.0
平均收帳天數和平均銷貨天數-近10年
應收帳款周轉率 YoY存貨周轉率 YoY平均收帳天數 YoY平圴銷貨天數 YoY應付帳款付現天數 YoY淨營業週期(日) YoY
2024 (10)6.02-62.660.11-62.0760.67167.863238.20158.33778.3274.962520.55203.21
2023 (9)16.12-73.870.29-71.8422.65282.61253.51254.75444.86209.94831.30285.32
2022 (8)61.68214.531.039.575.92-68.19353.35-8.59143.5326.5215.74-26.04
2021 (7)19.61165.00.9491.8418.61-62.26386.54-48.62113.460.75291.69-57.67
2020 (6)7.40252.380.4968.9749.31-71.58752.30-39.46112.61-19.96689.01-45.98
2019 (5)2.1016.020.29-12.12173.52-14.061242.6813.69140.701.871275.5010.25
2018 (4)1.81-42.90.3343.48201.9175.331093.09-31.9138.12-15.311156.88-25.7
2017 (3)3.17-71.390.2376.92115.16249.711605.04-42.8163.08-35.581557.12-39.79
2016 (2)11.08-25.790.13-13.3332.9334.682806.1613.12253.1525.732585.9412.24
2015 (1)14.93216.310.1587.524.45-68.382480.79-46.0201.34-51.762303.90-45.84

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