玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/101.89-12.39-18.4222.49-22.685.97N/A-
2024/92.1612.67-15.6420.59-23.056.380.97-
2024/81.92-16.84-26.6918.44-23.836.70.92-
2024/72.3-7.01-16.4116.52-23.487.340.84-
2024/62.48-3.12-3.1814.21-24.527.641.02-
2024/52.56-1.71-10.0311.74-27.887.61.02-
2024/42.66.786.529.18-31.656.761.15-
2024/32.4441.63-38.546.58-40.156.581.43-
2024/21.72-28.82-46.814.14-41.056.221.51-
2024/12.4215.96-36.132.42-36.136.881.37-
2023/122.08-12.23-39.533.54-27.186.781.7-
2023/112.382.45-27.5831.46-26.187.251.59-
2023/102.32-9.4-40.6829.08-26.077.491.54-
2023/92.56-2.09-44.3826.76-24.457.931.54-
2023/82.61-5.17-30.9624.2-21.487.931.54-
2023/72.767.7-32.6821.59-20.158.161.5-
2023/62.56-9.97-29.2918.83-17.917.851.48-
2023/52.8416.36-14.6916.27-15.789.251.26-
2023/42.44-38.38-36.5513.43-16.019.651.21-
2023/33.9722.56-23.0810.99-9.4910.990.99-
2023/23.24-14.52-3.67.020.5310.471.04-
2023/13.799.854.353.794.3510.511.04-
2022/123.455.05-5.3446.0710.0310.640.72-
2022/113.28-16.083.3742.6211.4911.790.65-
2022/103.91-15.0413.939.3412.2312.30.62-
2022/94.621.5326.9235.4312.0412.480.66-
2022/83.79-7.54-1.8330.8310.1211.50.72-
2022/74.113.1411.1927.0412.0311.050.74-
2022/63.628.5911.6922.9512.1810.80.52-
2022/53.33-13.45-11.6919.3312.2712.340.45-
2022/43.85-25.34.9315.9919.012.360.45-
2022/35.1653.653.712.1424.2912.140.37因部分客戶需求轉強及受香港疫情影響,部分客戶提前交貨。
2022/23.36-7.4737.016.988.9110.630.42-
2022/13.63-0.35-8.463.63-8.4610.440.43-
2021/123.6414.7313.4641.8713.1910.250.47-
2021/113.17-7.54-0.6538.2313.1710.230.47-
2021/103.43-5.3318.8335.0514.6110.910.44-
2021/93.63-6.0-2.5831.6214.1711.170.41-
2021/83.864.7228.9727.9916.7710.780.43-
2021/73.6813.649.2224.1415.0310.70.43-
2021/63.24-14.14-12.320.4516.1510.690.39-
2021/53.772.8517.4317.2123.7110.80.39-
2021/43.679.415.0213.4425.69.470.44-
2021/33.3536.9229.679.7735.589.770.34-
2021/22.45-38.18-4.066.4138.889.620.34-
2021/13.9623.592.033.9692.0310.370.32去年同期逢農曆過年,實際工作天數相對較少,另中國受疫情影響,各地復工狀況緩慢,故與去年同期營收比較相對成長。
2020/123.210.4516.1936.9817.429.290.3-
2020/113.1910.619.3733.7817.539.80.29-
2020/102.89-22.4-0.5830.5817.349.60.29-
2020/93.7224.4419.227.6919.5910.080.25-
2020/82.99-11.316.1523.9719.6610.060.25-
2020/73.37-8.7516.6420.9821.8710.280.25-
2020/63.714.9651.0517.6122.9210.410.23與連結顯示晶片相關的週邊解決方案,需求強勁,故營收較去年同期增加。
2020/53.21-8.0117.3913.9117.139.30.25-
2020/43.4935.0942.1610.717.058.640.27-
2020/32.591.312.037.27.817.20.4-
2020/22.5523.7351.034.625.597.380.392020年02月客戶依原始需求拉貨,但因2019年同期為農曆過年比較基期較低,故成長超過50%。
2020/12.06-25.26-23.052.06-23.057.50.38-
2019/122.763.211.7731.52.40.0N/A-
2019/112.68-7.889.2228.741.580.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/12.422023/13.792022/13.632021/13.962020/12.06
2024/21.722023/23.242022/23.362021/22.452020/22.55
2024/32.442023/33.972022/35.162021/33.352020/32.59
2024/42.62023/42.442022/43.852021/43.672020/43.49
2024/52.562023/52.842022/53.332021/53.772020/53.21
2024/62.482023/62.562022/63.622021/63.242020/63.7
2024/72.32023/72.762022/74.12021/73.682020/73.37
2024/81.922023/82.612022/83.792021/83.862020/82.99
2024/92.162023/92.562022/94.62021/93.632020/93.72
2024/101.892023/102.322022/103.912021/103.432020/102.89
N/AN/A2023/112.382022/113.282021/113.172020/113.19
N/AN/A2023/122.082022/123.452021/123.642020/123.21
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 0.69%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.0566.67-58.33
24Q2 (19)0.03-25.0-25.0
24Q1 (18)0.040.0-55.56
23Q4 (17)0.04-66.67-42.86
23Q3 (16)0.12200.09.09
23Q2 (15)0.04-55.56-75.0
23Q1 (14)0.0928.57-59.09
22Q4 (13)0.07-36.36-41.67
22Q3 (12)0.11-31.25-45.0
22Q2 (11)0.16-27.2777.78
22Q1 (10)0.2283.33100.0
21Q4 (9)0.12-40.020.0
21Q3 (8)0.2122.22150.0
21Q2 (7)0.09-18.180
21Q1 (6)0.1110.0120.0
20Q4 (5)0.125.00
20Q3 (4)0.0800.0

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