玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/108.8212.6216.869.118.5423.83N/A-
2024/97.838.8817.9460.2718.9221.440.94-
2024/87.1911.9310.6752.4419.0720.221.0-
2024/76.42-2.913.645.2520.6120.021.01-
2024/66.61-5.2426.1838.8321.8619.930.91-
2024/56.9810.0830.7532.2221.019.270.94-
2024/46.346.522.4425.2418.5617.741.02-
2024/35.959.21-1.3818.916.9318.90.92-
2024/25.45-27.258.112.9427.8620.40.85-
2024/17.490.4647.457.4947.4522.50.77-
2023/127.46-1.1515.9473.2912.2522.550.77-
2023/117.55-0.019.665.8411.8521.730.8-
2023/107.5513.7212.2958.2911.9920.680.84-
2023/96.642.173.0950.6811.8118.780.91-
2023/86.4914.894.5644.0413.2517.390.99-
2023/75.657.857.8237.5214.8216.231.06-
2023/65.24-1.811.7331.8716.1615.760.95-
2023/55.343.0820.0226.6219.516.550.91-
2023/45.18-14.2214.4421.2919.4216.260.92-
2023/36.0419.7233.9816.1621.5116.161.1-
2023/25.04-0.7832.6610.1215.1216.561.07-
2023/15.08-21.011.765.081.7618.40.97-
2022/126.43-6.5526.8365.2931.9120.040.91-
2022/116.892.4439.9458.8632.4920.040.91-
2022/106.724.4143.8852.0531.6719.370.94-
2022/96.443.6254.1445.3230.0317.891.01主要新能源車客戶推出車款受市場熱銷,致使本月營收創新高。
2022/86.2118.4765.4238.8926.7516.611.091.氣候影響美國剷雪車出貨量增2.大陸地區新能源車銷售持續成長,帶動胡連新能源產品持續上升3.新增子公司營收注入效益
2022/75.241.7644.132.6721.3214.841.21-
2022/65.1515.8437.8727.4317.7614.121.12-
2022/54.45-1.711.6122.2813.9213.481.18-
2022/44.520.4212.9817.8214.4612.831.24-
2022/34.5118.5411.0313.314.9813.31.07-
2022/23.8-23.8819.798.7917.1113.871.02-
2022/14.99-1.5515.154.9915.1514.990.95-
2021/125.073.17.3249.535.314.660.88-
2021/114.925.3216.1844.4239.4513.770.94-
2021/104.6711.8522.2539.5343.0512.61.03-
2021/94.1811.2120.6634.8546.3911.571.0-
2021/83.753.225.5830.6850.7611.131.04去年同期受新冠病毒影響,致同期基期較低
2021/73.64-2.6338.7226.9355.1411.361.02去年同期受新冠病毒影響,致同期基期較低
2021/63.74-6.2158.523.2957.8711.730.84去年同期受新冠病毒影響,致同期基期較低
2021/53.98-0.574.019.5657.7512.050.81去年同期受新冠病毒影響,致同期基期較低
2021/44.0-1.353.9115.5754.0711.240.87去年同期受新冠病毒影響,致同期基期較低
2021/34.0627.8948.7811.5753.3511.570.74去年同期受新冠病毒影響,致同期基期較低
2021/23.17-26.8372.27.5155.9312.240.7去年同期受新冠病毒影響,致同期基期較低
2021/14.34-8.2445.854.3445.8513.30.65-
2020/124.7311.6114.1336.58-3.612.780.63-
2020/114.2310.826.6731.85-5.7811.520.7-
2020/103.8210.414.3127.63-7.410.270.78-
2020/93.4615.741.3423.81-10.239.070.8-
2020/82.9914.0-4.5920.35-11.947.970.91-
2020/72.6211.24-6.517.36-13.097.271.0-
2020/62.362.95-13.7714.75-14.137.250.97-
2020/52.29-11.99-28.712.4-14.27.620.92-
2020/42.6-4.594.8110.11-10.067.170.98-
2020/32.7348.03-24.957.54-14.047.541.03-
2020/21.84-38.03-5.184.82-6.328.960.87-
2020/12.97-28.2-7.022.97-7.0211.080.7-
2019/124.144.3119.1537.95-7.020.0N/A-
2019/113.9718.7613.5633.81-9.460.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/17.492023/15.082022/14.992021/14.342020/12.97
2024/25.452023/25.042022/23.82021/23.172020/21.84
2024/35.952023/36.042022/34.512021/34.062020/32.73
2024/46.342023/45.182022/44.522021/44.02020/42.6
2024/56.982023/55.342022/54.452021/53.982020/52.29
2024/66.612023/65.242022/65.152021/63.742020/62.36
2024/76.422023/75.652022/75.242021/73.642020/72.62
2024/87.192023/86.492022/86.212021/83.752020/82.99
2024/97.832023/96.642022/96.442021/94.182020/93.46
2024/108.822023/107.552022/106.722021/104.672020/103.82
N/AN/A2023/117.552022/116.892021/114.922020/114.23
N/AN/A2023/127.462022/126.432021/125.072020/124.73
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季
合約負債 QoQ YoY

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