玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/1116.3310.3210.33164.617.4947.47N/A-
2024/1014.81-9.326.28148.2818.347.4N/A-
2024/916.330.387.8133.4719.7648.930.56-
2024/816.27-0.4510.13117.1421.5348.40.56-
2024/716.343.4543.8100.8823.4847.610.57-
2024/615.792.0924.0184.5820.2746.250.48-
2024/515.473.2232.0468.8119.4745.660.49-
2024/414.99-1.429.9153.3716.3239.740.56-
2024/315.259.0815.8238.4211.8738.440.5-
2024/29.55-30.15-12.6323.259.4837.390.52-
2024/113.68-3.3332.8713.6832.8742.640.45-
2023/1214.15-4.41-0.22154.05-34.4742.890.42-
2023/1114.86.26-6.95139.9-36.6243.770.42-
2023/1013.93-7.34-12.13125.14-38.843.740.42-
2023/915.041.8-20.02111.25-40.8641.170.75-
2023/814.7729.98-25.8796.3-43.0438.830.8-
2023/711.36-10.53-45.3981.62-45.2435.780.86-
2023/612.78.39-42.0370.25-45.2135.951.07-
2023/511.721.56-48.0457.56-45.8536.331.05因下游客戶去庫存,需求尚在恢復中,導致營收下滑
2023/411.54-11.82-51.2145.84-45.2735.551.08因下游客戶去庫存,需求尚在恢復中,導致營收下滑
2023/313.0819.61-41.134.31-43.0234.311.35-
2023/210.946.23-42.1421.24-44.1736.151.28-
2023/110.3-30.98-46.1910.3-46.1941.131.13-
2022/1214.92-6.24-34.78236.029.7446.691.09-
2022/1115.910.36-18.2220.9414.9950.821.01-
2022/1015.85-16.79-17.12204.718.5554.840.93-
2022/919.05-4.37-8.99188.3222.6659.790.84-
2022/819.93-4.234.24169.0327.5462.60.8-
2022/720.81-4.829.58149.0331.4365.220.77-
2022/621.86-3.0523.36128.1835.868.060.53-
2022/522.55-4.6331.86106.3138.7468.420.53-
2022/423.656.4233.7683.7840.8264.770.56-
2022/322.2217.5440.5460.2144.0560.260.52-
2022/218.9-1.265.1338.0446.3460.880.51部份終端產品的需求持續上升,且本公司在產品佈局上更加完整, 故營收較去年同期增幅較大。
2022/119.13-16.2331.5119.1331.5161.430.51-
2021/1222.8417.4165.06215.0654.9861.430.45部份終端產品的需求持續上升,且本公司在產品佈局上更加完整, 故營收較去年同期增幅較大
2021/1119.451.6844.98192.1753.9559.540.47部份終端產品的需求持續上升,且本公司在產品佈局上更加完整, 故營收較去年同期增幅較大
2021/1019.13-8.6844.14172.755.1159.20.47部份終端產品的需求持續上升,且本公司在產品佈局上更加完整, 故營收較去年同期增幅較大
2021/920.959.662.03153.5656.7259.050.42部份終端產品的需求持續上升,且本公司在產品佈局上更加完整, 故營收較去年同期增幅較大
2021/819.110.6760.55132.5555.9255.850.44部份終端產品的需求持續上升,且本公司在產品佈局上更加完整, 故營收較去年同期增幅較大
2021/718.996.9564.81113.4155.1753.840.46部份終端產品的需求持續上升,且本公司在產品佈局上更加完整, 故營收較去年同期增幅較大
2021/617.753.867.494.453.3952.530.43部份終端產品的需求持續上升,且本公司在產品佈局上更加完整, 故營收較去年同期增幅較大
2021/517.1-3.2661.4776.6150.4150.580.44部份終端產品的需求持續上升,且本公司在產品佈局上更加完整, 故營收較去年同期增幅較大。
2021/417.6811.8749.7959.4847.4444.930.5-
2021/315.838.0446.1341.7946.4541.80.57-
2021/211.45-21.3121.9825.9946.6140.310.59-
2021/114.551.6174.3214.5574.3242.280.57部份終端產品的需求持續上升,且本公司在產品佈局上更加完整, 故營收較去年同期增幅較大
2020/1214.326.7123.29139.3629.341.010.56-
2020/1113.421.0920.65124.9229.9939.760.58-
2020/1013.271.5228.2111.4331.1938.250.6-
2020/913.079.828.3998.0831.5436.50.67-
2020/811.913.3423.1284.9631.9633.990.72-
2020/711.529.0428.5373.0433.4432.670.75-
2020/610.56-0.2427.261.534.3532.960.76-
2020/510.59-10.2617.5150.9335.8933.20.76-
2020/411.89.248.740.3441.6131.990.79-
2020/310.8115.1644.7828.5338.8428.540.78-
2020/29.3812.4371.6117.7335.4729.260.76部份終端產品的需求持續上升,且本公司在產品佈局上更加完整, 故營收較去年同期增幅較大
2020/18.35-27.599.568.359.560.0N/A-
2019/1211.533.6474.52107.6714.370.0N/A部份終端產品的需求持續上升,且本公司在產品佈局上更加完整, 故營收較去年同期增幅較大
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/113.682023/110.32022/119.132021/114.552020/18.35
2024/29.552023/210.942022/218.92021/211.452020/29.38
2024/315.22023/313.082022/322.222021/315.82020/310.81
2024/414.992023/411.542022/423.652021/417.682020/411.8
2024/515.472023/511.722022/522.552021/517.12020/510.59
2024/615.792023/612.72022/621.862021/617.752020/610.56
2024/716.342023/711.362022/720.812021/718.992020/711.52
2024/816.272023/814.772022/819.932021/819.112020/811.91
2024/916.332023/915.042022/919.052021/920.952020/913.07
2024/1014.812023/1013.932022/1015.852021/1019.132020/1013.27
2024/1116.332023/1114.82022/1115.912021/1119.452020/1113.42
N/AN/A2023/1214.152022/1214.922021/1222.842020/1214.32
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 10.96%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)1.06430.0278.57
24Q2 (19)0.20.0-4.76
24Q1 (18)0.2-9.0966.67
23Q4 (17)0.22-21.4322.22
23Q3 (16)0.2833.3355.56
23Q2 (15)0.2175.0-19.23
23Q1 (14)0.12-33.33-52.0
22Q4 (13)0.180.0-47.06
22Q3 (12)0.18-30.775.88
22Q2 (11)0.264.0-3.7
22Q1 (10)0.25-26.47-50.0
21Q4 (9)0.34100.0-12.82
21Q3 (8)0.17-37.04-88.03
21Q2 (7)0.27-46.0145.45
21Q1 (6)0.528.2185.19
20Q4 (5)0.39-72.54116.67
20Q3 (4)1.421190.910.0
20Q2 (3)0.11-59.260.0
20Q1 (2)0.2750.00.0
19Q4 (1)0.180.00.0

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