玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/1057.3411.312.72520.17-11.79162.45N/A-
2024/951.52-3.87-19.86462.83-14.11158.70.76-
2024/853.590.0-1.87411.31-13.33160.580.76-
2024/753.590.36-2.29357.72-14.82159.00.76-
2024/653.42.65-15.31304.13-16.7153.260.72-
2024/552.018.7-12.68250.73-16.99156.480.71-
2024/447.85-15.49-15.06198.72-18.05154.750.71-
2024/356.6212.58-15.55150.87-18.95150.870.71-
2024/250.2914.38-15.9294.25-20.86158.590.68-
2024/143.96-31.66-25.8543.96-25.85160.730.67-
2023/1264.3422.716.37706.520.51167.630.56-
2023/1152.433.07-13.27642.18-0.03167.580.56-
2023/1050.87-20.88-19.18589.751.34169.780.55-
2023/964.2917.76.03538.883.83173.760.53-
2023/854.62-0.41-12.88474.593.54172.520.54-
2023/754.85-13.01-4.1419.976.14177.480.52-
2023/663.055.841.06365.127.87178.960.51-
2023/559.575.74-1.41302.079.41182.960.5-
2023/456.34-15.987.14242.512.45183.20.5-
2023/367.0512.116.93186.1614.16186.160.5-
2023/259.810.8611.66119.1112.65179.590.51-
2023/159.3-1.9513.6759.313.67180.240.51-
2022/1260.480.0414.14702.8714.97183.880.46-
2022/1160.46-3.9410.11642.3915.05184.030.46-
2022/1062.943.8126.79581.9315.59186.270.46-
2022/960.63-3.312.6518.9914.37180.530.44-
2022/862.79.6221.81458.3614.6182.290.44-
2022/757.2-8.3318.37395.6613.54180.010.45-
2022/662.393.2515.39338.4612.76175.40.43-
2022/560.4314.9225.75276.0712.18170.340.44-
2022/452.58-8.35.23215.648.89163.480.46-
2022/357.347.050.55163.0710.13163.070.46-
2022/253.562.6817.63105.7316.15158.710.47-
2022/152.16-1.5414.6652.1614.66160.050.47-
2021/1252.98-3.497.54611.3110.42157.520.46-
2021/1154.910.5917.13558.3210.7158.390.46-
2021/1049.64-7.89.74503.4210.04154.960.47-
2021/953.844.65.63453.7810.08153.640.46-
2021/851.486.5312.99399.9410.7153.860.46-
2021/748.32-10.6310.98348.4610.38150.440.47-
2021/654.0712.526.81300.1410.28152.080.46-
2021/548.05-3.8210.9246.0711.07155.040.45-
2021/449.96-12.3816.02198.0211.11152.520.46-
2021/357.0325.2412.98148.069.55148.050.46-
2021/245.530.096.4191.027.49140.290.48-
2021/145.49-7.668.5945.498.59141.630.48-
2020/1249.275.113.93553.59-4.7141.370.51-
2020/1146.873.627.88504.32-5.47143.070.5-
2020/1045.23-11.252.3457.45-6.66141.760.51-
2020/950.9711.880.92412.22-7.54140.060.53-
2020/845.564.64-4.6361.25-8.63139.710.53-
2020/743.53-13.99-2.76315.69-9.18137.480.54-
2020/650.6216.82-1.22272.16-10.13137.010.51-
2020/543.330.61-11.8221.54-11.95136.860.51-
2020/443.06-14.67-7.52178.21-11.98136.320.51-
2020/350.4717.95-10.93135.15-13.31135.150.47-
2020/242.792.14-9.4884.68-14.67132.080.49-
2020/141.89-11.63-19.441.89-19.4132.740.48-
2019/1247.49.11-8.81580.94-1.640.0N/A-
2019/1143.44-1.74-15.52533.54-0.940.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/143.962023/159.32022/152.162021/145.492020/141.89
2024/250.292023/259.812022/253.562021/245.532020/242.79
2024/356.622023/367.052022/357.342021/357.032020/350.47
2024/447.852023/456.342022/452.582021/449.962020/443.06
2024/552.012023/559.572022/560.432021/548.052020/543.33
2024/653.42023/663.052022/662.392021/654.072020/650.62
2024/753.592023/754.852022/757.22021/748.322020/743.53
2024/853.592023/854.622022/862.72021/851.482020/845.56
2024/951.522023/964.292022/960.632021/953.842020/950.97
2024/1057.342023/1050.872022/1062.942021/1049.642020/1045.23
N/AN/A2023/1152.432022/1160.462021/1154.92020/1146.87
N/AN/A2023/1264.342022/1260.482021/1252.982020/1249.27
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 218.67%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)104.555.46.74
24Q2 (19)99.19-2.676.59
24Q1 (18)101.911.64.37
23Q4 (17)100.312.41-2.72
23Q3 (16)97.955.25-2.01
23Q2 (15)93.06-4.690.88
23Q1 (14)97.64-5.3118.67
22Q4 (13)103.123.1640.84
22Q3 (12)99.968.3667.58
22Q2 (11)92.2512.1281.52
22Q1 (10)82.2812.3784.77
21Q4 (9)73.2222.75101.15
21Q3 (8)59.6517.3860.05
21Q2 (7)50.8214.1337.87
21Q1 (6)44.5322.3414.56
20Q4 (5)36.4-2.33-9.79
20Q3 (4)37.271.110.0
20Q2 (3)36.86-5.170.0
20Q1 (2)38.87-3.670.0
19Q4 (1)40.350.00.0

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