玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/100.77-18.88-26.6413.41-4.273.46N/A-
2024/90.95-45.37-34.8612.64-2.463.722.27-
2024/81.7468.13-0.1611.71.634.142.04-
2024/71.03-24.743.239.961.954.222.0-
2024/61.37-24.39-10.438.931.84.61.88-
2024/51.8228.9317.817.554.45.151.68-
2024/41.41-26.8941.455.740.774.481.93-
2024/31.9368.6-0.914.33-7.854.332.18-
2024/21.14-9.23-29.742.4-12.752.873.29-
2024/11.26170.5911.781.2611.782.523.75-
2023/120.47-41.33-8.5415.27-38.692.314.26-
2023/110.79-24.41-12.2714.81-39.323.32.98-
2023/101.05-27.97-16.314.01-40.364.252.31-
2023/91.46-16.27-12.9812.96-41.724.22.21-
2023/81.7473.86-41.511.51-44.064.272.17-
2023/71.0-34.71-70.09.77-44.494.072.28受到中國經濟委靡因素影響,致市場縮小
2023/61.53-0.55-39.158.77-38.524.072.04-
2023/51.5454.79-49.197.23-38.394.481.85-
2023/41.0-48.78-58.165.69-34.624.571.82係因南美洲需求下降及原料價格下跌,客戶端尚在去化庫存,以致出口衰退
2023/31.9419.54-28.784.7-25.774.71.86-
2023/21.6344.413.32.75-23.483.262.67-
2023/11.13121.37-47.911.13-47.912.543.43-
2022/120.51-43.72-62.9424.9119.252.673.49係植物保護劑與地工合成材料皆有提早於上半年度出貨之情形,以致12月營收較去年同期減少。
2022/110.9-27.89-43.5924.425.033.832.43-
2022/101.25-25.11-41.4623.531.175.91.58-
2022/91.67-43.71-15.4122.2541.037.981.05-
2022/82.97-10.8496.4320.5749.138.830.95係因南美洲大宗經濟作物價格上漲致使農藥需求增加,以致今年出口巴西增加。
2022/73.3432.43138.3817.643.38.890.95係因南美洲大宗經濟作物價格上漲致使農藥需求增加,以致今年出口巴西增加。
2022/62.52-16.9674.3214.2631.077.931.06係因南美洲大宗經濟作物價格上漲致使農藥需求增加,以致今年出口巴西增加。
2022/53.0327.4633.3811.7424.458.141.04-
2022/42.38-12.8124.948.7121.616.551.29-
2022/32.7390.1818.236.3320.46.331.48-
2022/21.44-33.6112.593.622.14.971.89-
2022/12.1657.5129.362.1629.365.141.83-
2021/121.37-14.3524.9620.8913.535.121.78-
2021/111.6-25.1547.7619.5212.85.721.59-
2021/102.148.2136.8117.9110.465.641.62因去年受疫情影響以致巴西客戶訂單減少,而今年疫情趨緩本月出口巴西增加所致。
2021/91.9830.7169.0315.773.04.891.71因去年受疫情影響以致巴西客戶訂單減少,而今年疫情趨緩本月出口巴西增加所致。
2021/81.518.1931.8513.79-2.464.361.92-
2021/71.4-3.15-10.3912.28-5.495.121.63-
2021/61.45-36.465.0610.88-4.825.621.43-
2021/52.2719.425.449.43-6.176.491.24-
2021/41.9-17.49-14.847.16-13.135.491.46-
2021/32.3181.12.015.26-12.495.261.59-
2021/21.27-23.72-40.382.95-21.274.042.07-
2021/11.6752.154.181.674.183.852.17-
2020/121.11.26-4.2718.4-11.423.092.71-
2020/111.0819.9420.8217.3-11.833.162.65-
2020/100.9-22.76-34.516.22-13.43.222.59-
2020/91.171.96-30.1415.31-11.723.881.93-
2020/81.15-26.47-35.6614.14-9.754.091.83-
2020/71.5613.54-9.3112.99-6.424.751.58-
2020/61.38-24.13-22.6311.43-6.015.431.27-
2020/51.81-18.95-19.710.06-3.176.311.09-
2020/42.24-1.152.618.241.426.641.03-
2020/32.265.83-5.456.010.986.011.26-
2020/22.1433.2929.663.745.324.891.55-
2020/11.639.8-15.751.6-15.753.652.07-
2019/121.1527.81-29.7720.77-4.220.0N/A-
2019/110.9-34.98-36.9519.63-2.140.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/11.262023/11.132022/12.162021/11.672020/11.6
2024/21.142023/21.632022/21.442021/21.272020/22.14
2024/31.932023/31.942022/32.732021/32.312020/32.26
2024/41.412023/41.02022/42.382021/41.92020/42.24
2024/51.822023/51.542022/53.032021/52.272020/51.81
2024/61.372023/61.532022/62.522021/61.452020/61.38
2024/71.032023/71.02022/73.342021/71.42020/71.56
2024/81.742023/81.742022/82.972021/81.512020/81.15
2024/90.952023/91.462022/91.672021/91.982020/91.17
2024/100.772023/101.052022/101.252021/102.142020/100.9
N/AN/A2023/110.792022/110.92021/111.62020/111.08
N/AN/A2023/120.472022/120.512021/121.372020/121.1
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 1.39%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.1250.020.0
24Q2 (19)0.08-69.23-33.33
24Q1 (18)0.26-67.0962.5
23Q4 (17)0.79690.038.6
23Q3 (16)0.1-16.67-47.37
23Q2 (15)0.12-25.050.0
23Q1 (14)0.16-71.93-23.81
22Q4 (13)0.57200.032.56
22Q3 (12)0.19137.558.33
22Q2 (11)0.08-61.9-20.0
22Q1 (10)0.21-51.16-91.39
21Q4 (9)0.43258.33-75.29
21Q3 (8)0.1220.050.0
21Q2 (7)0.1-95.9-33.33
21Q1 (6)2.4440.231642.86
20Q4 (5)1.742075.0222.22
20Q3 (4)0.08-46.670.0
20Q2 (3)0.157.140.0
20Q1 (2)0.14-74.070.0
19Q4 (1)0.540.00.0

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