玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/110.1533.1830.21.75-20.990.36N/A-
2024/100.11-1.64-53.781.61-23.70.35N/A因出貨交期遞延。
2024/90.11-17.52-29.871.5-19.910.371.75-
2024/80.136.97-48.771.39-18.990.391.65-
2024/70.13-6.83-49.541.25-13.620.581.12-
2024/60.13-57.6-48.621.13-6.20.541.2-
2024/50.32251.161.00.995.610.591.11-
2024/40.09-49.75-23.840.687.920.341.88-
2024/30.18142.11-16.470.5915.340.591.36-
2024/20.07-77.58-57.520.4138.790.581.38因適逢春節假期及客戶交期遞延,使得營收減少。
2024/10.3388.8182.370.33182.370.621.29主因為本公司部份客戶在112年12月有延遲出貨之情形,故將出貨遞延至本月,以致本月份營收大幅成長。
2023/120.1857.73-35.492.4-28.280.521.78-
2023/110.11-52.73-47.612.22-27.640.51.84-
2023/100.2449.25-37.972.11-26.150.661.42-
2023/90.16-39.74-31.31.87-24.340.671.26-
2023/80.265.35-1.991.71-23.630.771.09-
2023/70.25-5.1313.061.45-26.550.831.02-
2023/60.26-16.64-27.211.2-31.510.71.28-
2023/50.31164.7639.780.94-32.620.651.37-
2023/40.12-44.89-63.750.63-46.520.511.75係因出口延滯使得營收下降。
2023/30.2223.11-16.720.51-39.830.511.95-
2023/20.1849.05-21.610.29-50.040.561.75因年節假期及客戶出貨部分缺料遞延,故累計營收下降。
2023/10.12-56.87-67.570.12-67.570.61.64係因農曆年假及交期延誤,以致營收下降。
2022/120.2728.09-12.473.3467.150.861.11年度營收成長係因缺料紓緩,遞延訂單陸續出貨所致。
2022/110.21-44.0254.113.0781.850.821.17部份IC缺料及遞延訂單陸續出貨。
2022/100.3865.3177.542.8584.320.881.09遞延訂單陸續出貨。
2022/90.23-14.0430.892.4775.280.721.73遞延訂單陸續出貨。
2022/80.2721.5485.792.2481.580.851.46遞延訂單陸續出貨。
2022/70.22-38.9262.171.9881.030.811.54遞延訂單陸續出貨。
2022/60.3660.0780.141.7683.70.911.49年度及六月業績回溫主係缺料紓緩及塞港等因素,遞延訂單陸續出貨所致。
2022/50.23-31.3561.751.484.640.811.68因塞港、缺櫃及疫情等相關因素影響
2022/40.3326.62151.511.1789.80.811.68因晶片缺貨造成交期遞延,目前缺料狀況短暫紓解。
2022/30.2615.8843.640.8473.290.841.43主因為晶片大量缺貨造成交期遞延,目前缺料狀況短暫紓解所致。
2022/20.22-38.3496.940.5990.690.91.35主因為晶片大量缺貨造成交期遞延 ,目前缺料狀況短暫紓解所致。
2022/10.3616.4187.030.3687.030.811.49主因為晶片大量缺貨,造成交期無法掌握而遞延出貨所致。
2021/120.31125.5421.542.0-14.040.591.86-
2021/110.140.8-37.981.69-18.450.452.42-
2021/100.14-22.04-35.611.55-16.090.462.39-
2021/90.1822.0-4.641.41-13.550.461.76-
2021/80.146.09-39.411.24-14.680.481.67-
2021/70.14-32.15-38.311.09-9.840.471.69-
2021/60.243.7266.20.96-3.520.471.19產品銷售量增加
2021/50.146.73-3.770.76-13.150.451.25-
2021/40.13-27.68-28.60.62-15.020.421.32-
2021/30.1858.8839.170.49-10.460.491.11-
2021/20.11-41.44-50.220.31-25.960.560.96因適逢農曆春節假期、近期海運缺櫃及部份料件缺料影響所致。
2021/10.19-24.343.610.193.610.670.8-
2020/120.2615.08-17.882.32-18.860.690.85-
2020/110.224.64-25.432.07-18.980.620.95-
2020/100.2115.4526.581.85-18.120.630.93-
2020/90.18-22.47-16.321.63-21.720.641.12-
2020/80.248.0152.491.45-22.360.581.25去年同期受到全球政經環境動盪,景氣趨緩及中美貿易爭端的不確定性影響,造成終端需求疲弱;本期主係新產品的推廣及行銷。
2020/70.2282.7938.971.21-29.170.481.49-
2020/60.12-16.78-41.290.99-36.120.451.5-
2020/50.14-20.81-33.660.87-35.330.461.47-
2020/40.1840.97-14.740.73-35.660.541.24-
2020/30.13-43.17-41.440.54-40.550.541.19-
2020/20.2321.89-13.80.41-40.260.730.89-
2020/10.19-40.04-56.530.19-56.530.0N/A受到農曆春節及季節性庫存調整影響,再加上全球政經環境仍未明朗,使得出貨量減少。
2019/120.314.49-29.642.86-26.190.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/10.332023/10.122022/10.362021/10.192020/10.19
2024/20.072023/20.182022/20.222021/20.112020/20.23
2024/30.182023/30.222022/30.262021/30.182020/30.13
2024/40.092023/40.122022/40.332021/40.132020/40.18
2024/50.322023/50.312022/50.232021/50.142020/50.14
2024/60.132023/60.262022/60.362021/60.22020/60.12
2024/70.132023/70.252022/70.222021/70.142020/70.22
2024/80.132023/80.262022/80.272021/80.142020/80.24
2024/90.112023/90.162022/90.232021/90.182020/90.18
2024/100.112023/100.242022/100.382021/100.142020/100.21
2024/110.152023/110.112022/110.212021/110.142020/110.22
N/AN/A2023/120.182022/120.272021/120.312020/120.26
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 3.2%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.080.0-11.11
24Q2 (19)0.0833.33-11.11
24Q1 (18)0.06-45.45-40.0
23Q4 (17)0.1122.2210.0
23Q3 (16)0.090.0-10.0
23Q2 (15)0.09-10.0-18.18
23Q1 (14)0.10.025.0
22Q4 (13)0.10.025.0
22Q3 (12)0.1-9.090.0
22Q2 (11)0.1137.510.0
22Q1 (10)0.080.0-11.11
21Q4 (9)0.08-20.060.0
21Q3 (8)0.10.0233.33
21Q2 (7)0.111.11100.0
21Q1 (6)0.0980.0125.0
20Q4 (5)0.0566.67-16.67
20Q3 (4)0.03-40.00.0
20Q2 (3)0.0525.00.0
20Q1 (2)0.04-33.330.0
19Q4 (1)0.060.00.0

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