玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/110.7-2.1314.457.863.782.12N/A-
2024/100.722.7516.377.162.832.21N/A-
2024/90.7-11.250.476.441.552.331.12-
2024/80.79-6.518.755.741.692.311.13-
2024/70.8423.538.634.950.652.221.18-
2024/60.68-2.35-17.84.11-0.842.121.38-
2024/50.7-4.862.013.433.42.091.4-
2024/40.7311.8633.152.733.762.071.41-
2024/30.66-3.37-24.081.99-4.031.991.56-
2024/20.683.31-7.421.3410.262.01.56-
2024/10.66-0.6437.390.6637.391.931.61-
2023/120.667.73-8.088.243.581.891.51-
2023/110.61-0.48-16.477.584.741.931.48-
2023/100.62-11.28-28.196.967.142.041.4-
2023/90.7-3.943.36.3412.492.21.36-
2023/80.72-6.614.985.6513.742.331.28-
2023/70.78-6.535.984.9215.162.291.3-
2023/60.8321.190.574.1517.052.071.34-
2023/50.6924.1715.183.3222.072.11.31-
2023/40.55-36.22-25.92.6324.02.151.28-
2023/30.8717.8266.652.0851.02.081.35本月較去年同期增加主係客戶需求增加
2023/20.7353.3472.491.2141.521.931.45本月較去年同期增加主係去年適逢農曆年假工作天數較少所致
2023/10.48-33.5310.970.4810.971.941.45-
2022/120.72-2.0926.027.9510.232.321.11-
2022/110.74-14.44-0.237.238.872.271.13-
2022/100.8627.6337.946.510.012.221.16-
2022/90.67-2.388.045.646.712.11.28-
2022/80.69-5.723.064.966.532.251.2-
2022/70.73-11.344.354.277.112.151.25-
2022/60.8338.7963.713.541.692.171.14國外疫情趨緩外銷增加致本期營收成長
2022/50.59-20.111.942.72-8.81.861.33-
2022/40.7443.4420.32.12-11.421.691.46-
2022/30.5221.95-25.981.38-22.481.381.82-
2022/20.43-1.34-15.750.86-20.21.431.75-
2022/10.43-24.51-24.150.43-24.151.741.44-
2021/120.57-22.50.137.2243.071.931.01-
2021/110.7418.2915.016.6448.551.980.99-
2021/100.62-0.0220.125.9154.161.921.02去年度受COVID19疫情影響營業收入較低
2021/90.62-6.8817.075.2859.51.81.19去年同期受COVID19疫情影響營業收入較低
2021/80.6732.0411.794.6667.631.681.28去年同期受COVID19疫情影響營業收入較低
2021/70.510.5924.243.9982.971.61.35去年同期受COVID19疫情影響營業收入較低
2021/60.5-13.5788.683.4896.511.711.34去年同期受COVID19疫情影響營業收入較低
2021/50.58-5.73194.982.9897.91.91.2去年同期受COVID19疫情影響營業收入較低
2021/40.62-11.74271.912.3983.21.831.25去年同期受COVID19疫情影響營業收入較低
2021/30.738.8136.261.7855.671.781.08去年同期受COVID19疫情影響營業收入較低
2021/20.51-11.1929.031.0727.311.651.16-
2021/10.57-0.3325.830.5725.831.781.07-
2020/120.57-10.9846.145.04-23.71.730.91-
2020/110.6423.544.624.47-28.091.690.93-
2020/100.52-2.56-10.03.83-31.671.650.96-
2020/90.53-11.08-5.323.31-34.151.541.03-
2020/80.646.7524.372.78-37.781.271.24-
2020/70.4152.76-37.382.18-45.30.871.81-
2020/60.2735.11-50.371.77-46.840.632.83因武漢肺炎疫情擴散影響致銷貨收入減少
2020/50.218.85-62.521.5-46.160.662.71因武漢病毒疫情擴散影響致銷貨收入減少
2020/40.17-43.93-65.711.31-42.360.852.09因武漢病毒疫情擴散影響致銷貨收入減少
2020/30.3-24.19-59.91.14-36.01.141.34因武漢病毒疫情擴散影響致銷貨收入減少
2020/20.39-13.39-32.890.84-19.011.231.24-
2020/10.4515.74-1.340.45-1.340.0N/A-
2019/120.39-36.274.716.619.030.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/10.662023/10.482022/10.432021/10.572020/10.45
2024/20.682023/20.732022/20.432021/20.512020/20.39
2024/30.662023/30.872022/30.522021/30.72020/30.3
2024/40.732023/40.552022/40.742021/40.622020/40.17
2024/50.72023/50.692022/50.592021/50.582020/50.2
2024/60.682023/60.832022/60.832021/60.52020/60.27
2024/70.842023/70.782022/70.732021/70.512020/70.41
2024/80.792023/80.722022/80.692021/80.672020/80.6
2024/90.72023/90.72022/90.672021/90.622020/90.53
2024/100.722023/100.622022/100.862021/100.622020/100.52
2024/110.72023/110.612022/110.742021/110.742020/110.64
N/AN/A2023/120.662022/120.722021/120.572020/120.57
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 1.96%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.050.0-64.29
24Q2 (19)0.05-37.5-78.26
24Q1 (18)0.08-46.67-52.94
23Q4 (17)0.157.147.14
23Q3 (16)0.14-39.1327.27
23Q2 (15)0.2335.2964.29
23Q1 (14)0.1721.430.0
22Q4 (13)0.1427.27-26.32
22Q3 (12)0.11-21.43-31.25
22Q2 (11)0.14-17.6527.27
22Q1 (10)0.17-10.53240.0
21Q4 (9)0.1918.75111.11
21Q3 (8)0.1645.45220.0
21Q2 (7)0.11120.057.14
21Q1 (6)0.05-44.44-37.5
20Q4 (5)0.0980.050.0
20Q3 (4)0.05-28.570.0
20Q2 (3)0.07-12.50.0
20Q1 (2)0.0833.330.0
19Q4 (1)0.060.00.0

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