玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/101.16-18.29-32.6316.7614.04.22N/A-
2024/91.42-13.21-18.4915.620.24.930.41-
2024/81.64-12.23-5.1414.1726.215.360.38-
2024/71.870.9219.6512.5431.925.770.35-
2024/61.85-9.6921.9510.6734.335.750.42-
2024/52.0510.6134.638.8237.255.640.43-
2024/41.856.3631.676.7738.065.230.46-
2024/31.746.3330.194.9240.634.920.45-
2024/21.646.2543.13.1847.094.580.48-
2024/11.5410.0351.581.5451.584.50.49處品組合變化,以致營收增加
2023/121.4-9.92-5.8517.65-16.444.680.49-
2023/111.55-9.853.6216.25-17.245.020.46-
2023/101.72-1.1541.8614.7-18.965.20.44-
2023/91.740.9944.5412.97-23.335.030.48-
2023/81.7310.7243.6611.23-28.554.80.5-
2023/71.562.8626.249.5-34.534.60.52-
2023/61.52-0.31-22.797.94-40.194.440.5-
2023/51.528.18-37.226.43-43.214.270.53-
2023/41.415.17-45.934.9-44.843.890.58-
2023/31.3416.87-44.613.5-44.393.50.51-
2023/21.1412.55-35.222.16-44.253.650.49-
2023/11.02-31.66-51.811.02-51.814.00.44市場劇烈下滑致本月減少超過50%
2022/121.49-0.84-29.3121.13-29.634.20.46-
2022/111.523.41-25.0619.64-29.663.920.49-
2022/101.220.71-49.518.14-30.013.630.53-
2022/91.210.38-54.5216.92-28.023.650.52市場劇烈下滑致本月減少超過50%
2022/81.2-2.7-56.2715.72-24.654.40.43市場劇烈下滑致本月減少超過50%
2022/71.24-37.08-55.8714.52-19.845.620.33市場需求劇烈下滑所致
2022/61.96-18.95-28.6713.28-13.256.990.28-
2022/52.42-6.82-10.3411.32-9.877.440.27-
2022/42.67.73-4.858.89-9.746.780.29-
2022/32.4136.7-9.796.29-11.626.290.34-
2022/21.77-16.27-16.783.88-12.735.980.36-
2022/12.110.24-9.032.11-9.036.220.35-
2021/122.15.13.5330.0313.456.510.35-
2021/112.0-16.83-0.4227.9214.277.060.33-
2021/102.41-9.3118.1125.9215.597.810.29-
2021/92.65-3.4720.6323.5115.348.210.33-
2021/82.75-1.8120.2120.8614.78.310.32-
2021/72.81.696.8918.1113.98.260.33-
2021/62.751.875.3515.3115.298.190.37-
2021/52.7-1.127.4212.5617.728.110.37-
2021/42.732.1415.029.8520.97.530.4-
2021/32.6826.1118.067.1223.337.120.38-
2021/22.12-8.4713.244.4426.736.470.42-
2021/12.3214.0942.252.3242.256.360.42-
2020/122.031.086.326.47-12.276.080.38-
2020/112.01-1.34-11.9624.44-13.536.250.37-
2020/102.04-7.37-18.9722.43-13.666.530.35-
2020/92.2-3.81-22.320.39-13.097.110.32-
2020/82.29-12.69-18.6718.19-11.837.520.3-
2020/72.620.234.6115.9-10.757.750.29-
2020/62.613.87-4.113.28-13.267.510.32-
2020/52.525.87-7.0610.66-15.257.160.34-
2020/42.384.84-6.948.15-17.56.520.37-
2020/32.2720.97-9.965.77-21.185.770.42-
2020/21.8714.96-18.623.5-27.065.420.45-
2020/11.63-14.73-34.821.63-34.825.830.42-
2019/121.91-16.29-20.830.1756.240.0N/A因產品組合變化,以致營收增加。
2019/112.28-9.2-3.7328.2667.250.0N/A因產品組合變化,以致營收增加。
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/11.542023/11.022022/12.112021/12.322020/11.63
2024/21.642023/21.142022/21.772021/22.122020/21.87
2024/31.742023/31.342022/32.412021/32.682020/32.27
2024/41.852023/41.412022/42.62021/42.732020/42.38
2024/52.052023/51.522022/52.422021/52.72020/52.52
2024/61.852023/61.522022/61.962021/62.752020/62.61
2024/71.872023/71.562022/71.242021/72.82020/72.62
2024/81.642023/81.732022/81.22021/82.752020/82.29
2024/91.422023/91.742022/91.212021/92.652020/92.2
2024/101.162023/101.722022/101.222021/102.412020/102.04
N/AN/A2023/111.552022/111.52021/112.02020/112.01
N/AN/A2023/121.42022/121.492021/122.12020/122.03
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 1.45%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.12200.0-63.64
24Q2 (19)0.04-50.0-83.33
24Q1 (18)0.08-55.56-33.33
23Q4 (17)0.18-45.4538.46
23Q3 (16)0.3337.5106.25
23Q2 (15)0.24100.026.32
23Q1 (14)0.12-7.69-89.57
22Q4 (13)0.13-18.75-75.93
22Q3 (12)0.16-15.79-82.42
22Q2 (11)0.19-83.48-68.33
22Q1 (10)1.15112.96-23.33
21Q4 (9)0.54-40.6622.73
21Q3 (8)0.9151.671416.67
21Q2 (7)0.6-60.0900.0
21Q1 (6)1.5240.91188.46
20Q4 (5)0.44633.33340.0
20Q3 (4)0.060.00.0
20Q2 (3)0.06-88.460.0
20Q1 (2)0.52420.00.0
19Q4 (1)0.10.00.0

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