玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/100.537.76-12.274.65-7.41.5N/A-
2024/90.495.22-17.554.12-6.741.370.36-
2024/80.4715.770.563.63-5.041.280.39-
2024/70.410.63-7.313.16-5.821.320.38-
2024/60.4-21.1-5.712.75-5.591.510.29-
2024/50.51-13.57-18.142.35-5.571.550.28-
2024/40.5930.78-2.271.84-1.361.420.31-
2024/30.4519.98-1.561.24-0.921.240.37-
2024/20.38-9.3-5.840.79-0.551.420.32-
2024/10.42-33.574.780.424.781.590.29-
2023/120.6313.94.06.2-8.941.780.24-
2023/110.55-9.571.65.57-10.191.760.24-
2023/100.611.2611.555.03-11.321.670.25-
2023/90.628.3514.784.42-13.751.50.32-
2023/80.476.77.533.82-16.991.330.36-
2023/70.442.37-8.763.35-19.551.490.32-
2023/60.43-31.5-11.42.91-20.951.660.27-
2023/50.623.1725.892.49-22.391.690.26-
2023/40.6131.73-22.941.86-31.241.460.3-
2023/30.4614.76-35.61.26-34.631.260.41-
2023/20.40.94-31.410.8-34.061.40.36-
2023/10.4-34.06-36.530.4-36.531.540.33-
2022/120.611.27-20.096.815.031.690.3-
2022/110.54-0.71-6.596.218.331.610.31-
2022/100.544.2-21.295.6710.011.50.33-
2022/90.5220.24-8.755.1214.871.440.38-
2022/80.43-9.4640.414.618.351.40.39-
2022/70.48-0.59169.114.1716.441.460.37110/7因疫情致營收下滑
2022/60.48-2.66105.163.698.431.760.31110/6因疫情致百貨及門市營收下滑
2022/50.5-36.8518.093.21.241.990.27-
2022/40.7910.1-7.52.71-1.332.080.26-
2022/30.7122.226.541.921.421.920.29-
2022/20.58-6.58-3.581.21-1.371.960.29-
2022/10.62-16.980.780.620.781.960.29-
2021/120.7530.067.076.48-23.652.020.27-
2021/110.58-16.34-28.415.73-26.431.840.29-
2021/100.6920.8-24.645.15-26.21.570.34-
2021/90.5785.05-29.044.46-26.441.060.54-
2021/80.3173.51-48.853.89-26.040.720.79-
2021/70.18-24.21-72.173.58-23.070.830.68因為疫情使百貨門市營業額下滑
2021/60.24-43.97-55.973.4-15.221.50.41因疫情致百貨及門市營收下滑
2021/50.42-50.54-40.533.16-8.961.940.32-
2021/40.8526.8325.42.74-0.92.120.29-
2021/30.6710.6-3.351.89-9.421.890.37-
2021/20.61-2.35-9.431.23-12.421.930.36-
2021/10.62-11.8-15.160.62-15.162.130.33-
2020/120.7-13.04-30.08.49-20.22.430.3-
2020/110.81-11.93-15.857.79-19.182.530.28-
2020/100.9213.74-16.096.98-19.552.330.31-
2020/90.8133.4-10.486.06-20.052.050.39-
2020/80.6-5.6-34.55.26-21.341.780.45-
2020/70.6419.88-23.824.65-19.231.880.43-
2020/60.53-24.32-35.194.01-18.441.920.44-
2020/50.714.31-20.873.48-15.062.080.41-
2020/40.68-2.25-24.222.77-13.442.040.42-
2020/30.693.63-20.832.09-9.272.090.39-
2020/20.67-8.53-7.251.4-2.22.40.34-
2020/10.73-27.232.920.732.922.70.3-
2019/121.04.537.2810.647.380.0N/A-
2019/110.96-12.17-3.29.647.390.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/10.422023/10.42022/10.622021/10.622020/10.73
2024/20.382023/20.42022/20.582021/20.612020/20.67
2024/30.452023/30.462022/30.712021/30.672020/30.69
2024/40.592023/40.612022/40.792021/40.852020/40.68
2024/50.512023/50.622022/50.52021/50.422020/50.71
2024/60.42023/60.432022/60.482021/60.242020/60.53
2024/70.412023/70.442022/70.482021/70.182020/70.64
2024/80.472023/80.472022/80.432021/80.312020/80.6
2024/90.492023/90.62022/90.522021/90.572020/90.81
2024/100.532023/100.612022/100.542021/100.692020/100.92
N/AN/A2023/110.552022/110.542021/110.582020/110.81
N/AN/A2023/120.632022/120.62021/120.752020/120.7
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 3.18%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.07-30.0-41.67
24Q2 (19)0.111.11-37.5
24Q1 (18)0.09-30.77-30.77
23Q4 (17)0.138.3318.18
23Q3 (16)0.12-25.033.33
23Q2 (15)0.1623.0845.45
23Q1 (14)0.1318.1830.0
22Q4 (13)0.1122.220.0
22Q3 (12)0.09-18.180.0
22Q2 (11)0.1110.037.5
22Q1 (10)0.1-9.0925.0
21Q4 (9)0.1122.2210.0
21Q3 (8)0.0912.5-10.0
21Q2 (7)0.080.0-27.27
21Q1 (6)0.08-20.0-20.0
20Q4 (5)0.10.0-16.67
20Q3 (4)0.1-9.090.0
20Q2 (3)0.1110.00.0
20Q1 (2)0.1-16.670.0
19Q4 (1)0.120.00.0

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