玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/110.86-7.09-15.6811.66-7.053.2N/A-
2024/100.92-35.03-18.8610.8-6.283.55N/A-
2024/91.4217.92-3.539.88-4.93.550.46-
2024/81.2130.52-7.018.46-5.132.930.56-
2024/70.9216.0-27.667.25-4.812.850.58-
2024/60.8-29.2-16.46.33-0.213.240.58-
2024/51.13-14.957.915.532.653.630.52-
2024/41.3211.9213.564.41.393.040.61-
2024/31.18120.11-16.073.08-3.063.080.71-
2024/20.54-60.57-45.281.97.273.180.69-
2024/11.366.672.691.3672.693.660.61月營收較去年同期成長,主要係接單量增加所致。
2023/121.2825.47-20.5413.82-16.663.430.64-
2023/111.02-10.6-27.8312.54-16.243.630.61-
2023/101.14-22.7520.611.53-15.043.910.56-
2023/91.4713.6773.6510.39-17.74.050.599月營收較去年同期成長,主要係接單量增加所致。
2023/81.31.5379.588.91-24.293.530.688月營收較去年同期成長,主要係接單量增加所致。
2023/71.2834.0535.837.62-31.083.270.73-
2023/60.95-8.593.756.34-37.313.160.79-
2023/51.04-10.5-22.585.39-41.413.620.69-
2023/41.16-17.28-9.174.34-44.643.550.7-
2023/31.4143.49-49.923.18-51.573.180.863月營收較去年同期減少,主要係因全球經濟趨緩,終端市場需求下降,對比去年同期因大陸疫情風控,系統廠拉貨力道強勁。
2023/20.9824.44-47.951.77-52.813.380.812月營收較去年同期減少,主要係因全球通膨導致終端消費需求減少所致。
2023/10.79-50.95-57.720.79-57.723.810.711月營收較去年同期衰退,主要係適逢農曆春節假期,工作天數少所致。
2022/121.6113.97-20.516.62-9.653.960.66-
2022/111.4149.38-16.9915.01-8.313.20.82-
2022/100.9411.21-21.6913.6-7.32.521.05-
2022/90.8517.56-27.6712.65-6.012.511.12-
2022/80.72-23.2-46.9211.8-3.942.611.08-
2022/70.94-0.92-33.3411.081.43.240.87-
2022/60.95-29.51-24.1310.146.553.580.94-
2022/51.354.99-20.799.1911.195.440.62-
2022/41.28-54.39-31.247.8519.485.980.57-
2022/32.8149.1432.626.5639.616.560.59-
2022/21.891.0885.923.7545.365.770.672月營收較去年同期成長,主要係接單量增加所致。
2022/11.87-7.7719.091.8719.095.590.69-
2021/122.0219.0235.8218.3916.544.930.88-
2021/111.740.920.8316.3714.534.081.06-
2021/101.212.71-29.3114.6716.363.741.15-
2021/91.17-13.72-25.9213.4623.523.950.97-
2021/81.36-3.540.1312.2931.934.020.95-
2021/71.4112.76-8.8610.9337.364.360.88-
2021/61.25-26.41-14.899.5248.534.820.88-
2021/51.7-8.8657.518.2767.415.690.745月營收較去年同期成長,主要係接單量增加所致。
2021/41.87-12.0338.96.5770.195.00.854月營收較去年同期成長,主要係接單量增加所致。
2021/32.12109.0956.274.786.894.70.763月營收較去年同期成長,主要係接單量增加所致。
2021/21.01-35.24185.242.58122.764.070.87較去年同期成長,主係宅經濟發燒,訂單增加所致。
2021/11.575.1795.091.5795.094.740.751月營收較去年同期成長,主要係接單量增加所致。
2020/121.49-11.6332.4115.7833.194.880.63-
2020/111.69-1.2148.3614.2933.274.980.62-
2020/101.717.6455.4612.6131.484.650.6610月營收較去年同期成長,主係接單量增加所致。
2020/91.5816.638.9210.928.384.490.53-
2020/81.36-12.2212.119.3232.414.380.54-
2020/71.555.372.837.9636.634.10.587月營收較去年同期成長,主係接單量增加所致。
2020/61.4736.19120.656.4130.053.890.456月營收較去年同期成長,主係接單量增加所致
2020/51.08-19.6276.894.9415.893.780.475月營收較去年同期成長,主係接單量增加所致
2020/41.34-1.0346.583.865.693.060.58-
2020/31.36281.6619.712.52-8.02.520.71-
2020/20.36-55.71-48.081.16-27.632.280.78因新型冠狀病毒疫情影響,大陸春節延後復工生產所致。
2020/10.8-28.61-12.340.8-12.340.0N/A-
2019/121.12-0.9983.5911.85-2.690.0N/A12月營收較去年同期成長,主係接單量增加所致。
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/11.362023/10.792022/11.872021/11.572020/10.8
2024/20.542023/20.982022/21.892021/21.012020/20.36
2024/31.182023/31.412022/32.812021/32.122020/31.36
2024/41.322023/41.162022/41.282021/41.872020/41.34
2024/51.132023/51.042022/51.352021/51.72020/51.08
2024/60.82023/60.952022/60.952021/61.252020/61.47
2024/70.922023/71.282022/70.942021/71.412020/71.55
2024/81.212023/81.32022/80.722021/81.362020/81.36
2024/91.422023/91.472022/90.852021/91.172020/91.58
2024/100.922023/101.142022/100.942021/101.212020/101.71
2024/110.862023/111.022022/111.412021/111.72020/111.69
N/AN/A2023/121.282022/121.612021/122.022020/121.49
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季
合約負債 QoQ YoY

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