玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/100.258.014.952.613.660.72N/A-
2024/90.23-4.7-24.672.3513.530.90.48-
2024/80.24-44.02-14.32.1220.160.910.47-
2024/70.4386.8100.151.8826.741.00.43各產品項目皆成長,主係因儀器銷售增加
2024/60.23-30.48-12.581.4414.130.760.8-
2024/50.3369.9332.691.2121.190.750.81-
2024/40.2-11.86-24.270.8817.340.620.98-
2024/30.2210.18.190.6839.250.680.67-
2024/20.2-22.429.20.4661.560.730.63各產品項目皆成長,主係因測試收入增加
2024/10.26-2.88100.540.26100.540.780.59各產品項目皆成長,主係因儀器銷售增加
2023/120.276.236.912.81-12.840.740.73-
2023/110.2516.49.232.54-14.510.770.7-
2023/100.22-29.23-10.312.29-16.510.80.67-
2023/90.318.4111.482.07-17.110.80.56-
2023/80.2830.7230.291.76-20.650.760.59-
2023/70.22-18.41-6.451.48-26.150.730.62-
2023/60.265.52-34.571.27-28.670.770.72-
2023/50.25-3.019.191.0-26.930.710.78-
2023/40.2625.92-38.470.75-34.210.620.9-
2023/30.2131.47-37.950.49-31.710.490.69-
2023/20.1620.4318.630.29-26.40.540.63-
2023/10.13-48.22-49.490.13-49.490.610.56-
2022/120.258.53-39.43.222.950.720.47-
2022/110.23-4.42-38.792.979.410.750.46-
2022/100.24-12.02-11.042.7417.190.730.46-
2022/90.2726.7-6.112.520.910.720.35-
2022/80.22-6.1415.492.2225.360.850.29-
2022/70.23-42.93-33.332.026.530.870.29-
2022/60.476.1235.61.7743.281.050.34-
2022/50.23-45.3617.981.3745.710.980.37-
2022/40.4226.9860.371.1452.960.880.41由於客戶需求增加,致各產品項目皆有所成長,以測試收入成長最多
2022/30.33151.3981.440.7248.940.720.79各產品項目皆有成長,主係因儀器及檢測收入增加所致
2022/20.13-48.72-28.930.3929.220.80.71-
2022/10.26-37.87122.670.26122.671.050.54各產品項目皆有成長,主係因檢測收入增加所致
2021/120.419.6214.623.13-21.461.060.25-
2021/110.3838.92.972.71-25.050.940.29-
2021/100.27-7.14-17.92.34-28.210.750.36-
2021/90.2955.868.272.06-29.380.830.57-
2021/80.19-45.82-45.751.77-33.210.830.56-
2021/70.3516.07-7.381.58-31.330.840.56-
2021/60.353.236.581.24-35.960.760.64-
2021/50.19-25.73-54.160.94-43.160.640.75因去年同期儀器設備及試劑耗材銷售額增加,導致本月較去年同期營收減少
2021/40.2643.67-15.640.75-39.360.630.76-
2021/30.18-1.53-58.180.48-47.380.480.81因去年同期基因檢測收入增加,導致本月較去年同期營收減少
2021/20.1960.65-31.050.3-37.610.660.59-
2021/10.12-68.01-45.880.12-45.880.840.46-
2020/120.36-1.51-21.63.98-4.641.060.17-
2020/110.3710.73-19.643.62-2.540.970.19-
2020/100.3322.47-15.913.25-0.150.950.19-
2020/90.27-21.91-34.362.922.010.990.3-
2020/80.35-7.5-30.142.658.111.00.3-
2020/70.3733.593.972.3117.771.080.28-
2020/60.28-34.1-24.11.9320.881.020.43-
2020/50.4236.6926.521.6534.361.170.38-
2020/40.31-28.7922.651.2337.31.020.43-
2020/30.4462.3555.10.9243.080.920.54客戶需求增加
2020/20.2726.1135.940.4833.690.940.53-
2020/10.21-53.6730.950.2130.951.130.44-
2019/120.460.940.014.178.590.0N/A-
2019/110.4615.8722.93.719.760.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/10.262023/10.132022/10.262021/10.122020/10.21
2024/20.22023/20.162022/20.132021/20.192020/20.27
2024/30.222023/30.212022/30.332021/30.182020/30.44
2024/40.22023/40.262022/40.422021/40.262020/40.31
2024/50.332023/50.252022/50.232021/50.192020/50.42
2024/60.232023/60.262022/60.42021/60.32020/60.28
2024/70.432023/70.222022/70.232021/70.352020/70.37
2024/80.242023/80.282022/80.222021/80.192020/80.35
2024/90.232023/90.312022/90.272021/90.292020/90.27
2024/100.252023/100.222022/100.242021/100.272020/100.33
N/AN/A2023/110.252022/110.232021/110.382020/110.37
N/AN/A2023/120.272022/120.252021/120.412020/120.36
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 19.74%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.464.5515.0
24Q2 (19)0.447.320.0
24Q1 (18)0.41-10.8732.26
23Q4 (17)0.4615.058.62
23Q3 (16)0.4-9.0966.67
23Q2 (15)0.4441.94109.52
23Q1 (14)0.316.914.81
22Q4 (13)0.2920.83-38.3
22Q3 (12)0.2414.29-4.0
22Q2 (11)0.21-22.22-4.55
22Q1 (10)0.27-42.5550.0
21Q4 (9)0.4788.0104.35
21Q3 (8)0.2513.64-21.88
21Q2 (7)0.2222.22-43.59
21Q1 (6)0.18-21.74-57.14
20Q4 (5)0.23-28.12-61.02
20Q3 (4)0.32-17.950.0
20Q2 (3)0.39-7.140.0
20Q1 (2)0.42-28.810.0
19Q4 (1)0.590.00.0

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