玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 理想的成長型公司, 本業EPS的成長幅度會大於營收的成長幅度
  • 營收到某個數字後, 本業EPS呈現不成比例的增加, 有可能是規模經濟的效應
  • 如果是有淡旺季的公司, 是否有淡季不淡, 旺季更旺的情況
  • 漲很多的股票要留意 EPS 較上季是否有大幅衰退的情況
  • 如果EPS衰退,要觀察同業是不是有一樣的狀況
  • 要留意增資減資和公司債對股本及EPS的影響
成長能力-近20季
加權平均股數 QoQ YoYEPS QoQ YoY本業EPS QoQ YoY累計EPS QoQ YoY營收 QoQ YoY毛利率(%) QoQ YoY營業利益率 QoQ YoY稅後淨利率 QoQ YoY營業利益 QoQ YoY稅後淨利 QoQ YoY稅前淨利率(%) QoQ YoY稅後淨利率(%) QoQ YoY兩季平均(YOY)營收成長率(%)兩季平均(YOY)EPS成長率(%)兩季平均(YOY)本業EPS成長率(%)
24Q3 (20)482.132.130.67-30.9381.080.56-29.11460.01.9553.545.412.98-15.129.064.011.125.5211.72-39.2185.159.61-24.2125.290.35-48.53133.330.32-30.4377.7813.45-37.5612.749.61-24.2125.2915.8896.201910.44
24Q2 (19)470.00.00.97223.33-17.090.793850.0-17.711.27323.33-14.193.5146.8613.2363.301.17-5.3519.2898.56-1.4312.6813.21-29.120.68195.6511.480.46228.57-16.3621.5442.74-4.5212.6813.21-29.1222.611561.661981.66
24Q1 (18)470.00.00.302900.0-6.250.02113.33-50.00.30-83.87-6.252.39-1.6527.8162.577.14.849.71406.31322.1711.201156.640.350.23387.5475.00.140-6.6715.099531.2567.4811.201156.640.351.771401.35-68.34
23Q4 (17)470.00.00.01-97.3102.13-0.15-250.074.141.860.5460.342.435.1928.5758.42-3.69-5.01-3.17-150.0846.09-1.06-113.8291.15-0.08-153.3327.270-100.0100.0-0.16-101.3493.73-1.06-113.8291.15-10.14-82.84-169.79
23Q3 (16)470.00.00.37-68.3860.870.10-89.58200.01.8525.013.52.31-25.486.9460.66-9.37.156.33-67.64431.937.67-57.1362.50.15-75.41400.00.18-67.2763.6411.93-47.1240.687.67-57.1362.520.1598.621105.21
23Q2 (15)470.00.01.17265.6210.380.962300.024.681.48362.55.713.165.7812.3266.8812.0610.3419.56750.4323.0217.89124.190.560.611425.038.640.55266.6710.022.56150.398.6717.89124.190.5632.36216.861203.45
23Q1 (14)470.00.00.32168.09-5.880.04106.9-66.670.32-72.41-5.881.87-1.061.6359.68-2.96-6.052.30139.12-51.687.98166.61-9.420.04136.36-55.560.15168.18-6.259.01453.33-12.277.98166.61-9.42-6.78-68.13-186.55
22Q4 (13)470.00.0-0.47-304.35-188.68-0.58-480.0-352.171.16-28.83-21.621.89-12.5-25.8861.508.640.0-5.88-594.12-208.09-11.98-353.81-223.76-0.11-466.67-178.57-0.22-300.0-188.0-2.55-130.07-123.63-11.98-353.81-223.76-17.12-191.33-296.50
22Q3 (12)470.00.00.23-78.3666.67-0.10-112.9916.671.6316.4371.582.16-21.7410.256.61-6.610.391.19-92.52129.244.72-73.47997.670.03-93.18137.50.11-78.01000.08.48-59.153240.744.72-73.47997.6714.1366.73214.34
22Q2 (11)470.00.01.06211.7670.970.77541.6767.391.40311.7650.542.7650.0-3.1660.61-4.582.7615.90234.039.8817.79101.9373.90.44388.897.320.5212.572.4120.76102.1421.6217.79101.9373.911.0887.95246.92
22Q1 (10)470.00.00.34-35.859.680.12-47.8350.00.34-77.039.681.84-27.841.6663.523.285.874.76-12.543.378.81-8.998.90.09-35.7150.00.16-36.06.6710.27-4.829.848.81-8.998.91.13815.41121.92
21Q4 (9)470.00.00.531666.67-61.030.23291.67-76.531.4855.79-32.732.5530.1-27.9761.5019.937.295.44233.66-62.979.682151.16-46.780.14275.0-73.080.252400.0-61.5410.794096.3-45.099.682151.16-46.78-0.56785.7582.79
21Q3 (8)470.00.00.03-95.16-94.34-0.12-126.09-138.710.952.1513.11.96-31.23-7.5551.28-13.06-12.48-4.07-128.13-152.520.43-95.8-96.38-0.08-119.51-150.00.01-96.55-96.0-0.27-101.58-102.140.43-95.8-96.3813.122.42174.45
21Q2 (7)470.00.00.62100.087.880.46475.0666.670.93200.0210.02.8557.4671.6958.98-1.7-11.7214.47335.84441.9510.2326.457.350.41583.33925.00.2993.3381.2517.0782.5764.6110.2326.457.354.3011.40191.58
21Q1 (6)470.00.00.31-77.211133.330.08-91.84129.630.31-85.911133.331.81-48.8760.1860.004.68-15.13.32-77.4127.448.09-55.53727.130.06-88.46142.860.15-76.921600.09.35-52.42892.378.09-55.53727.139.0639.7062.14
20Q4 (5)470.00.01.36156.6-52.610.98216.13-67.332.20161.9-79.053.5466.98-15.5157.32-2.17-10.0414.6989.55-45.0418.1953.24-44.070.52225.0-53.570.65160.0-52.2119.6555.46-21.1218.1953.24-44.07--0.00
20Q3 (4)470.00.00.5360.610.00.31416.670.00.84180.00.02.1227.710.058.59-12.30.07.75190.260.011.8724.550.00.16300.00.00.2556.250.012.6421.890.011.8724.550.0--0.00
20Q2 (3)470.00.00.331200.00.00.06122.220.00.301100.00.01.6646.90.066.81-5.460.02.67122.070.09.53838.760.00.04128.570.00.161700.00.010.37978.810.09.53838.760.0--0.00
20Q1 (2)470.00.0-0.03-101.050.0-0.27-109.00.0-0.03-100.290.01.13-73.030.070.6710.910.0-12.10-145.270.0-1.29-103.970.0-0.14-112.50.0-0.01-100.740.0-1.18-104.740.0-1.29-103.970.0--0.00
19Q4 (1)470.00.02.870.00.03.000.00.010.500.00.04.190.00.063.720.00.026.730.00.032.520.00.01.120.00.01.360.00.024.910.00.032.520.00.0--0.00
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/110.65-7.8-23.4410.2217.962.43N/A-
2024/100.7-35.6728.69.5822.422.8N/A-
2024/91.097.6145.28.8821.962.990.28-
2024/81.0114.2324.447.7919.293.20.26-
2024/70.89-32.2618.36.7818.563.310.25-
2024/61.3117.078.785.8918.593.510.26-
2024/51.123.175.254.5921.733.310.27-
2024/41.08-3.0529.773.4728.182.910.31-
2024/31.1257.8810.842.3927.482.390.26-
2024/20.7125.162.921.2746.822.310.27-
2024/10.56-45.81215.050.56215.052.450.26去年同期因春節長假及大陸疫情影響,致使營收較今年同期減少
2023/121.0423.6559.199.7112.192.430.22022年12月因疫情爆發,市場業績影響較大,故同期對比超過50%
2023/110.8454.5532.618.678.342.140.23-
2023/100.55-27.11-9.687.826.242.110.23-
2023/90.75-7.96.997.287.672.310.24-
2023/80.818.511.216.537.742.760.2-
2023/70.75-37.633.095.727.273.010.19-
2023/61.213.2111.094.977.933.090.24-
2023/51.0627.5423.33.776.962.90.26-
2023/40.83-17.590.992.711.682.530.29-
2023/31.0146.9227.31.881.991.880.36-
2023/20.69283.1446.10.87-17.191.520.44-
2023/10.18-72.66-68.860.18-68.861.470.46春節長假及疫情影響,致使本月營收較去年同期下降
2022/120.663.15-41.158.66-5.591.90.4-
2022/110.644.99-35.648.0-0.661.940.39-
2022/100.61-13.2436.377.364.222.030.37-
2022/90.7-4.4827.786.762.062.150.31-
2022/80.731.423.16.06-0.242.540.26-
2022/70.72-33.721.545.33-0.692.670.25-
2022/61.0926.35-6.714.61-1.032.770.28-
2022/50.864.317.363.520.862.480.31-
2022/40.824.19-6.842.66-1.062.090.37-
2022/30.7968.34-12.91.841.761.840.44-
2022/20.47-18.3543.531.0516.632.170.37-
2022/10.58-48.961.160.581.162.690.3-
2021/121.1314.22-31.329.188.682.560.28-
2021/110.99123.08-9.688.0518.341.980.36-
2021/100.44-19.08-44.597.0723.711.70.42-
2021/90.55-22.77-30.186.6234.821.960.39-
2021/80.710.282.766.0847.172.580.3-
2021/70.71-39.58.965.3756.082.680.29累計營收較去年同期增加超過50%,係新冠病毒疫情獲得控制,業績回溫
2021/61.1745.78107.584.6667.042.850.34新冠病毒疫情獲得控制,業績回溫
2021/50.8-9.4834.743.4956.792.60.38新冠病毒疫情獲得控制,業績回溫
2021/40.89-2.8173.672.6964.832.120.46新冠病毒疫情獲得控制,業績回溫
2021/30.91178.0873.221.8160.991.810.64新冠病毒疫情獲得控制,業績回溫
2021/20.33-42.46229.00.950.222.540.46新冠病毒疫情獲得控制,業績回溫
2021/10.57-65.3414.440.5714.443.310.35-
2020/121.6450.17-21.718.45-41.563.540.29-
2020/111.0936.28-24.276.81-44.932.670.39-
2020/100.83.1427.275.71-47.662.270.46-
2020/90.7812.82-36.594.91-52.262.120.56主係新冠病毒疫情影響,復工後終端銷售客人進店率低致營業額較去年大幅減少。
2020/80.696.33-36.284.13-54.381.90.63主係新冠病毒疫情影響,復工後終端銷售客人進店率低致營業額較去年大幅減少。
2020/70.6514.73-24.693.44-56.841.810.66主係新冠病毒疫情影響,復工後終端銷售客人進店率低致營業額較去年大幅減少。
2020/60.57-4.93-67.242.79-60.731.670.76主係新冠病毒疫情影響,復工後終端銷售客人進店率低致營業額較去年大幅減少。
2020/50.5916.66-48.82.23-58.651.630.78營收變化主係新冠病毒疫情影響,復工後終端銷售客人進店率低致營業額較去年大幅減少。
2020/40.51-3.06-55.321.63-61.361.141.12主係新冠病毒疫情影響,四月復工後終端銷售客人進店率低致營業額較去年大幅減少。
2020/30.53428.18-75.951.12-63.591.120.92主係新冠病毒疫情影響,大陸地區業務因應當地政府政策延後復工及3月復工後終端消費者進店率低致營業額較去年大幅減少。
2020/20.1-79.98-66.480.6-33.442.690.38主係新冠病毒疫情影響,大陸地區業務因應當地政府政策延後復工致正常營業天數較去年大幅減少。
2020/10.5-76.25-17.080.5-17.080.0N/A-
2019/122.145.034.7114.456.430.0N/A-
成長能力-近10年
加權平均股數 YoYEPS YoY本業EPS YoY營收 YoY毛利率(%) YoY營業利益率 YoY稅後淨利率 YoY營業利益 YoY稅前淨利 YoY稅後淨利 YoY
2023 (10)470.01.8660.340.96405.269.7112.1261.892.427.3944.98.8044.030.7263.641.1426.670.8860.0
2022 (9)470.01.16-21.620.19-70.778.66-5.5660.433.785.10-12.076.11-19.180.44-16.980.9-3.230.55-21.43
2021 (8)470.01.48-32.730.65-38.689.178.5258.23-4.995.80-17.267.56-38.540.53-10.170.93-16.960.7-32.69
2020 (7)470.02.20-79.051.06-88.848.45-41.5661.29-9.567.01-80.7812.30-64.280.59-88.81.12-80.321.04-79.12
2019 (6)4720.5110.50-5.239.508.5714.466.4867.771.0936.47-13.4334.438.445.27-7.875.69-2.44.9815.55
2018 (5)39457.1411.08-66.158.7593.5813.5856.2767.0411.0742.1316.0931.7514.915.7281.595.8382.764.3195.02
2017 (4)7-78.7932.731275.214.52234.818.6999.7760.3616.6436.2950.9627.6341.843.15200.03.19170.342.21179.75
2016 (3)330.02.38580.01.35486.964.35107.1451.75-4.5424.04232.519.48250.991.05600.01.18637.50.79558.33
2015 (2)3300.3500.2302.1054.2107.2305.5500.1500.1600.120

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