玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/1130.4321.1829.11250.9515.0978.87N/A-
2024/1025.117.5721.82220.5313.3974.26N/A-
2024/923.34-9.5723.96195.4212.3970.30.5-
2024/825.8122.0648.18172.0810.9968.120.52-
2024/721.15-0.0832.92146.276.2861.910.57-
2024/621.167.9828.78125.122.861.450.46-
2024/519.6-5.2626.22103.96-1.2561.020.46-
2024/420.69-0.2310.0284.36-6.057.540.49-
2024/320.7428.68-3.3163.68-10.2563.680.41-
2024/216.11-39.93-20.4142.94-13.2668.710.38-
2024/126.834.1-8.3126.83-8.3176.160.34-
2023/1225.779.34-17.29243.81-27.6169.940.44-
2023/1123.5714.34-22.64218.04-28.6663.00.49-
2023/1020.619.46-35.56194.48-29.3356.850.54-
2023/918.838.09-29.57173.87-28.5152.150.55-
2023/817.429.49-34.15155.04-28.3849.760.57-
2023/715.91-3.19-38.75137.62-27.5747.870.6-
2023/616.435.84-44.28121.71-25.850.760.47-
2023/515.53-17.42-41.77105.28-21.7555.770.43-
2023/418.8-12.32-30.5489.75-16.8160.50.4-
2023/321.455.91-23.8770.95-12.2170.950.41-
2023/220.25-30.791.1149.51-5.9780.660.36-
2023/129.26-6.08-10.3229.26-10.3290.880.32-
2022/1231.152.2635.39336.8244.3793.60.46-
2022/1130.46-4.7534.71305.6645.3589.180.49-
2022/1031.9819.6372.94275.246.6385.170.511.客戶訂單因應市場需求有顯著增加2.去年受到COVID-19疫情影響越南工廠停工,基期較低。
2022/926.731.05100.9243.2143.7579.160.611.客戶訂單因應市場需求有顯著增加2.去年受到COVID-19疫情影響越南工廠停工,基期較低。
2022/826.451.8563.73216.4838.8781.920.591.客戶訂單因應市場需求有顯著增加2.去年8月受到COVID-19疫情影響越南工廠停工,基期較低。
2022/725.97-11.9421.17190.0336.082.130.58-
2022/629.510.6145.27164.0538.6983.230.51-
2022/526.67-1.4931.76134.5637.3281.910.51-
2022/427.07-3.938.96107.8938.7775.260.56-
2022/328.1740.6843.5480.8238.7180.820.53-
2022/220.02-38.6329.5352.6536.2575.660.57-
2022/132.6341.840.7332.6340.7378.250.55-
2021/1223.011.7515.72233.363.664.120.741.客戶訂單因應市場需求有顯著增加。2.併購民盛公司增加冰上曲棍球鞋、摩托車車靴等產品營收。
2021/1122.6122.2829.37210.2971.3554.410.871.客戶訂單因應市場需求有顯著增加。2.併購民盛公司增加冰上曲棍球鞋、摩托車車靴等產品營收。
2021/1018.4938.9749.58187.6878.3247.960.981.客戶訂單因應市場需求有顯著增加。2.併購民盛公司增加冰上曲棍球鞋、摩托車車靴等產品營收。
2021/913.31-17.6310.89169.1882.1550.90.741.客戶訂單因應市場需求有顯著增加。2.併購民盛公司增加冰上曲棍球鞋、摩托車車靴等產品營收。
2021/816.16-24.6252.98155.8892.7257.890.651.客戶訂單因應市場需求有顯著增加。2.併購民盛公司增加冰上曲棍球鞋、摩托車車靴等產品營收。
2021/721.435.56148.37139.7298.6961.970.611.客戶訂單因應市場需求有顯著增加。2.併購民盛公司增加冰上曲棍球鞋、摩托車車靴等產品營收。
2021/620.30.32147.46118.2991.7460.020.541.客戶訂單因應市場需求有顯著增加。2.併購民盛公司增加冰上曲棍球鞋、摩托車車靴等產品營收。
2021/520.243.88138.397.9883.1959.340.541.客戶訂單因應市場需求有顯著增加。2.併購民盛公司增加冰上曲棍球鞋、摩托車車靴等產品營收。
2021/419.48-0.72120.8477.7572.7954.560.591.客戶訂單因應市場需求有顯著增加。2.併購民盛公司增加冰上曲棍球鞋、摩托車車靴等產品營收。
2021/319.6226.9451.2458.2761.0758.270.51.客戶訂單因應市場需求有顯著增加。2.併購民盛公司增加冰上曲棍球鞋、摩托車車靴等產品營收。
2021/215.46-33.32161.7838.6466.5758.520.49去年2月受到COVID-19疫情影響,基期較低。
2021/123.1816.5934.0623.1834.0660.550.48-
2020/1219.8813.752.06142.6-17.0349.720.58-
2020/1117.4841.38-0.93122.72-19.4741.840.69-
2020/1012.363.03-9.28105.24-21.934.920.83-
2020/912.013.61-15.0392.88-23.3131.190.62-
2020/810.5622.37-33.2780.88-24.4127.390.7-
2020/78.635.17-33.0170.32-22.8725.330.76-
2020/68.2-3.38-39.4361.69-21.225.520.57-
2020/58.49-3.72-32.2753.49-17.3930.290.48-
2020/48.82-32.01-12.5844.99-13.8127.70.53-
2020/312.97119.73-7.8936.17-14.1136.170.5-
2020/25.9-65.85-38.6223.2-17.2342.680.43-
2020/117.29-11.23-6.0517.29-6.050.0N/A-
2019/1219.4810.4131.3171.889.010.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/126.832023/129.262022/132.632021/123.182020/117.29
2024/216.112023/220.252022/220.022021/215.462020/25.9
2024/320.742023/321.452022/328.172021/319.622020/312.97
2024/420.692023/418.82022/427.072021/419.482020/48.82
2024/519.62023/515.532022/526.672021/520.242020/58.49
2024/621.162023/616.432022/629.52021/620.32020/68.2
2024/721.152023/715.912022/725.972021/721.432020/78.63
2024/825.812023/817.422022/826.452021/816.162020/810.56
2024/923.342023/918.832022/926.732021/913.312020/912.0
2024/1025.112023/1020.612022/1031.982021/1018.492020/1012.36
2024/1130.432023/1123.572022/1130.462021/1122.612020/1117.48
N/AN/A2023/1225.772022/1231.152021/1223.012020/1219.88
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 2.63%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.365.88-33.33
24Q2 (19)0.3413.33-70.43
24Q1 (18)0.350.0-78.87
23Q4 (17)0.2-62.96-86.3
23Q3 (16)0.54-53.04-67.07
23Q2 (15)1.15-19.01-17.86
23Q1 (14)1.42-2.744.41
22Q4 (13)1.46-10.98-37.34
22Q3 (12)1.6417.14-34.66
22Q2 (11)1.42.9430.84
22Q1 (10)1.36-41.63700.0
21Q4 (9)2.33-7.17703.45
21Q3 (8)2.51134.581692.86
21Q2 (7)1.07529.41494.44
21Q1 (6)0.17-41.3870.0
20Q4 (5)0.29107.14190.0
20Q3 (4)0.14-22.220.0
20Q2 (3)0.1880.00.0
20Q1 (2)0.10.00.0
19Q4 (1)0.10.00.0

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