- 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
- 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
- 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
- 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
- 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
| 年/月 | 營收 | 月增率(%) | 去年同期年增率(%) | 累計營收 | 累計營收年增率(%) | 近三月累計營收 | 存貨銷售比 | 自結稅前EPS | 自結稅前累計EPS | 備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024/10 | 1.26 | 42.06 | -1.35 | 8.06 | -17.24 | 3.21 | N/A | - | ||
| 2024/9 | 0.89 | -15.63 | -45.34 | 6.79 | -19.65 | 2.5 | 2.44 | - | ||
| 2024/8 | 1.06 | 91.3 | 22.25 | 5.9 | -13.51 | 2.29 | 2.67 | - | ||
| 2024/7 | 0.55 | -18.78 | -34.81 | 4.85 | -18.69 | 1.87 | 3.26 | - | ||
| 2024/6 | 0.68 | 5.89 | 24.87 | 4.29 | -16.02 | 2.04 | 2.97 | - | ||
| 2024/5 | 0.64 | -10.74 | -9.1 | 3.61 | -20.89 | 2.45 | 2.47 | - | ||
| 2024/4 | 0.72 | -34.2 | -24.77 | 2.97 | -23.05 | 2.32 | 2.61 | - | ||
| 2024/3 | 1.09 | 113.71 | -11.52 | 2.25 | -22.48 | 2.25 | 2.35 | - | ||
| 2024/2 | 0.51 | -21.49 | -8.06 | 1.16 | -30.57 | 1.57 | 3.37 | 受通膨等原因影響，整體市場需求下降 | ||
| 2024/1 | 0.65 | 59.05 | -41.76 | 0.65 | -41.76 | 2.56 | 2.07 | 受通膨等原因影響，整體市場需求下降 | ||
| 2023/12 | 0.41 | -72.63 | -59.43 | 11.64 | -53.7 | 3.19 | 1.92 | 受通膨等原因影響，整體市場需求下降 | ||
| 2023/11 | 1.5 | 16.64 | -10.72 | 11.23 | -53.47 | 4.41 | 1.39 | 受通膨等原因影響，整體市場需求下降 | ||
| 2023/10 | 1.28 | -21.28 | -28.4 | 9.74 | -56.65 | 3.77 | 1.62 | 受通膨等原因影響，整體市場需求下降 | ||
| 2023/9 | 1.63 | 88.7 | 8.23 | 8.45 | -59.1 | 3.34 | 2.09 | 受通膨等原因影響，整體市場需求下降 | ||
| 2023/8 | 0.86 | 1.99 | -66.21 | 6.82 | -64.39 | 2.25 | 3.09 | 受通膨等原因影響，整體市場需求下降 | ||
| 2023/7 | 0.85 | 55.58 | -64.18 | 5.96 | -64.11 | 2.1 | 3.33 | 受通膨等原因影響，整體市場需求下降 | ||
| 2023/6 | 0.54 | -22.91 | -76.87 | 5.11 | -64.1 | 2.21 | 3.64 | 受通膨等原因影響，整體市場需求下降 | ||
| 2023/5 | 0.71 | -26.13 | -67.47 | 4.57 | -61.57 | 2.9 | 2.77 | 受通膨等原因影響，整體市場需求下降 | ||
| 2023/4 | 0.96 | -22.62 | -57.0 | 3.86 | -60.26 | 2.75 | 2.92 | 歐洲地區需求下滑，客戶訂單減少 | ||
| 2023/3 | 1.23 | 122.07 | -50.81 | 2.91 | -61.23 | 2.91 | 2.94 | 越南代工廠生產良率已改善，但產量仍未達目標，影響出貨 | ||
| 2023/2 | 0.56 | -50.26 | -77.68 | 1.67 | -66.46 | 2.68 | 3.19 | 越南代工廠生產良率尚未提昇，量產未如預期，影響出貨 | ||
| 2023/1 | 1.12 | 10.78 | -55.28 | 1.12 | -55.28 | 3.8 | 2.25 | 生產技術移轉問題導致量產延後，延遲出貨，影響營收較去年下降 | ||
| 2022/12 | 1.01 | -39.77 | -50.67 | 25.15 | -13.49 | 4.48 | 1.65 | 受全球通膨、烏俄戰爭等影響導致需求下滑及代工廠轉移至越南，生產技術移轉問題導致量產延後，延遲出貨，影響營收較去年下降 | ||
| 2022/11 | 1.68 | -6.45 | -24.34 | 24.14 | -10.67 | 4.97 | 1.49 | - | ||
| 2022/10 | 1.79 | 18.99 | -31.62 | 22.46 | -9.45 | 5.85 | 1.26 | - | ||
| 2022/9 | 1.51 | -41.09 | -44.29 | 20.67 | -6.84 | 6.42 | 0.96 | - | ||
| 2022/8 | 2.56 | 8.13 | 0.07 | 19.17 | -1.64 | 7.27 | 0.85 | - | ||
| 2022/7 | 2.36 | 0.43 | 16.81 | 16.61 | -1.9 | 6.89 | 0.9 | - | ||
| 2022/6 | 2.35 | 8.44 | -5.88 | 14.25 | -4.44 | 6.74 | 0.9 | - | ||
| 2022/5 | 2.17 | -2.36 | -11.85 | 11.89 | -4.15 | 6.9 | 0.88 | - | ||
| 2022/4 | 2.22 | -11.48 | -6.48 | 9.72 | -2.25 | 7.22 | 0.84 | - | ||
| 2022/3 | 2.51 | 0.73 | -3.87 | 7.5 | -0.92 | 7.5 | 0.96 | - | ||
| 2022/2 | 2.49 | -0.33 | 3.31 | 4.99 | 0.62 | 7.04 | 1.02 | - | ||
| 2022/1 | 2.5 | 22.21 | -1.92 | 2.5 | -1.92 | 6.76 | 1.07 | - | ||
| 2021/12 | 2.05 | -7.62 | -26.81 | 29.07 | 7.48 | 6.88 | 0.89 | - | ||
| 2021/11 | 2.21 | -15.45 | 3.49 | 27.02 | 11.44 | 7.54 | 0.81 | - | ||
| 2021/10 | 2.62 | -3.04 | -0.04 | 24.81 | 12.21 | 7.88 | 0.78 | - | ||
| 2021/9 | 2.7 | 5.82 | 1.84 | 22.19 | 13.86 | 7.28 | 0.48 | - | ||
| 2021/8 | 2.55 | 26.22 | -2.04 | 19.49 | 15.75 | 7.08 | 0.5 | - | ||
| 2021/7 | 2.02 | -19.09 | -19.61 | 16.93 | 19.01 | 6.98 | 0.5 | - | ||
| 2021/6 | 2.5 | 1.56 | 1.5 | 14.91 | 27.31 | 7.34 | 0.4 | - | ||
| 2021/5 | 2.46 | 3.59 | 24.28 | 12.41 | 34.19 | 7.45 | 0.39 | - | ||
| 2021/4 | 2.38 | -9.0 | 26.76 | 9.95 | 36.88 | 7.4 | 0.39 | - | ||
| 2021/3 | 2.61 | 8.26 | 42.47 | 7.57 | 40.4 | 7.57 | 0.42 | - | ||
| 2021/2 | 2.41 | -5.38 | 46.23 | 4.96 | 39.34 | 7.76 | 0.41 | - | ||
| 2021/1 | 2.55 | -8.8 | 33.4 | 2.55 | 33.4 | 7.48 | 0.43 | - | ||
| 2020/12 | 2.8 | 30.63 | 59.82 | 27.04 | -4.5 | 7.56 | 0.41 | 本月客戶端需求較去年同期增加 | ||
| 2020/11 | 2.14 | -18.35 | 25.38 | 24.25 | -8.74 | 7.41 | 0.42 | - | ||
| 2020/10 | 2.62 | -1.21 | 28.77 | 22.11 | -11.08 | 7.88 | 0.39 | - | ||
| 2020/9 | 2.65 | 1.78 | 18.04 | 19.49 | -14.63 | 7.78 | 0.51 | - | ||
| 2020/8 | 2.61 | 3.58 | -0.63 | 16.83 | -18.2 | 7.59 | 0.52 | - | ||
| 2020/7 | 2.52 | 2.16 | -8.01 | 14.23 | -20.77 | 6.96 | 0.57 | - | ||
| 2020/6 | 2.46 | 24.36 | -16.91 | 11.71 | -23.06 | 6.32 | 0.97 | - | ||
| 2020/5 | 1.98 | 5.65 | -24.91 | 9.25 | -24.55 | 5.69 | 1.07 | - | ||
| 2020/4 | 1.87 | 2.27 | -22.9 | 7.27 | -24.45 | 5.36 | 1.14 | - | ||
| 2020/3 | 1.83 | 11.12 | -24.33 | 5.39 | -24.98 | 5.39 | 1.02 | - | ||
| 2020/2 | 1.65 | -13.68 | -31.79 | 3.56 | -25.31 | 5.31 | 1.03 | - | ||
| 2020/1 | 1.91 | 9.25 | -18.65 | 1.91 | -18.65 | 5.37 | 1.02 | - | ||
| 2019/12 | 1.75 | 2.48 | -23.49 | 28.32 | -46.72 | 0.0 | N/A | - | ||
| 2019/11 | 1.71 | -16.14 | -23.61 | 26.57 | -47.76 | 0.0 | N/A | - |
| 年/月 | 營收 | 年/月 | 營收 | 年/月 | 營收 | 年/月 | 營收 | 年/月 | 營收 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024/1 | 0.65 | 2023/1 | 1.12 | 2022/1 | 2.5 | 2021/1 | 2.55 | 2020/1 | 1.91 |
| 2024/2 | 0.51 | 2023/2 | 0.56 | 2022/2 | 2.49 | 2021/2 | 2.41 | 2020/2 | 1.65 |
| 2024/3 | 1.09 | 2023/3 | 1.23 | 2022/3 | 2.51 | 2021/3 | 2.61 | 2020/3 | 1.83 |
| 2024/4 | 0.72 | 2023/4 | 0.96 | 2022/4 | 2.22 | 2021/4 | 2.38 | 2020/4 | 1.87 |
| 2024/5 | 0.64 | 2023/5 | 0.71 | 2022/5 | 2.17 | 2021/5 | 2.46 | 2020/5 | 1.98 |
| 2024/6 | 0.68 | 2023/6 | 0.54 | 2022/6 | 2.35 | 2021/6 | 2.5 | 2020/6 | 2.46 |
| 2024/7 | 0.55 | 2023/7 | 0.85 | 2022/7 | 2.36 | 2021/7 | 2.02 | 2020/7 | 2.52 |
| 2024/8 | 1.06 | 2023/8 | 0.86 | 2022/8 | 2.56 | 2021/8 | 2.55 | 2020/8 | 2.61 |
| 2024/9 | 0.89 | 2023/9 | 1.63 | 2022/9 | 1.51 | 2021/9 | 2.7 | 2020/9 | 2.65 |
| 2024/10 | 1.26 | 2023/10 | 1.28 | 2022/10 | 1.79 | 2021/10 | 2.62 | 2020/10 | 2.62 |
| N/A | N/A | 2023/11 | 1.5 | 2022/11 | 1.68 | 2021/11 | 2.21 | 2020/11 | 2.14 |
| N/A | N/A | 2023/12 | 0.41 | 2022/12 | 1.01 | 2021/12 | 2.05 | 2020/12 | 2.8 |
- 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
| 合約負債 QoQ YoY | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 24Q3 (20) | 0.02 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 24Q2 (19) | 0.02 | 0.0 | -77.78 |
| 24Q1 (18) | 0.02 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 23Q4 (17) | 0.02 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 23Q3 (16) | 0.02 | -77.78 | 0.0 |
| 23Q2 (15) | 0.09 | 350.0 | 800.0 |
| 23Q1 (14) | 0.02 | 0.0 | -33.33 |
| 22Q4 (13) | 0.02 | 0.0 | 100.0 |
| 22Q3 (12) | 0.02 | 100.0 | -33.33 |
| 22Q2 (11) | 0.01 | -66.67 | -90.91 |
| 22Q1 (10) | 0.03 | 200.0 | -50.0 |
| 21Q4 (9) | 0.01 | -66.67 | -95.45 |
| 21Q3 (8) | 0.03 | -72.73 | -96.88 |
| 21Q2 (7) | 0.11 | 83.33 | -26.67 |
| 21Q1 (6) | 0.06 | -72.73 | -72.73 |
| 20Q4 (5) | 0.22 | -77.08 | 83.33 |
| 20Q3 (4) | 0.96 | 540.0 | 0.0 |
| 20Q2 (3) | 0.15 | -31.82 | 0.0 |
| 20Q1 (2) | 0.22 | 83.33 | 0.0 |
| 19Q4 (1) | 0.12 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
