玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/100.61-5.87-27.446.74-23.951.95N/A-
2024/90.65-5.87-21.196.13-23.592.061.21-
2024/80.69-5.03-14.165.48-23.861.941.29-
2024/70.7236.44-18.854.79-25.081.921.3-
2024/60.53-20.13-41.894.07-26.091.891.3-
2024/50.67-4.73-32.473.53-22.941.981.25-
2024/40.713.62-17.712.87-20.341.961.26-
2024/30.61-4.78-35.432.17-21.152.171.09-
2024/20.65-29.11-31.221.56-13.612.830.83-
2024/10.91-28.715.540.915.543.260.72-
2023/121.2818.6518.3111.21-10.343.190.77-
2023/111.0828.06-11.879.94-13.052.740.89-
2023/100.842.23-37.78.86-13.192.460.99-
2023/90.822.51-21.18.02-9.462.521.06-
2023/80.8-10.210.17.2-7.92.611.02-
2023/70.89-2.29-2.226.39-8.822.790.96-
2023/60.91-7.18-32.635.5-9.812.751.03-
2023/50.9816.09-11.484.59-3.282.791.02-
2023/40.85-10.84-10.283.6-0.762.741.04-
2023/30.951.41-12.942.752.592.751.01-
2023/20.948.7810.681.813.282.880.97-
2023/10.86-20.0816.230.8616.233.160.88-
2022/121.08-11.62-6.0912.5146.083.650.77-
2022/111.22-9.4723.4311.4354.183.610.78本月營收較去年同期增加,係新增子公司之營收及客戶訂單增加
2022/101.3529.4666.9710.2158.923.190.88本月營收較去年同期增加,係新增子公司之營收及客戶訂單增加
2022/91.0430.0983.638.8657.762.760.9本月營收較去年同期增加,係新增子公司之營收及客戶訂單增加
2022/80.8-12.3132.197.8154.853.070.8本月營收較去年同期增加,係新增子公司之營收及客戶訂單增加
2022/70.91-32.6721.467.0157.943.380.73本月營收較去年同期增加,係新增子公司之營收及客戶訂單增加
2022/61.3621.9587.56.165.383.420.57本月營收較去年同期增加,係新增子公司之營收及客戶訂單增加
2022/51.1117.6681.844.7459.983.150.62本月營收較去年同期增加,係新增子公司之營收及客戶訂單增加
2022/40.95-13.4955.493.6354.292.890.68本月營收較去年同期增加,係新增子公司之營收及客戶訂單增加
2022/31.0928.9572.492.6853.872.680.69本月營收較去年同期增加,係新增子公司之營收及客戶訂單增加
2022/20.8514.2372.341.5943.242.740.67本月營收較去年同期增加,係去年疫情影響營收減少,今年因疫情趨緩訂單回流並增加新子公司產品,因此營收較去年大幅上升
2022/10.74-35.4420.080.7420.082.880.64-
2021/121.1516.1732.338.5637.932.950.57-
2021/110.9922.4659.657.4138.842.370.71本月營收較去年同期增加,係去年疫情影響造成營收減少;今年景氣回升,本公司客戶訂單增加,因此營收較去年大幅上升
2021/100.8142.3739.356.4236.111.980.84-
2021/90.57-6.34-12.525.6135.661.930.85-
2021/80.61-19.43-6.165.0544.622.080.79-
2021/70.753.9268.664.4456.152.090.79本月營收較去年同期增加,係新增銷售微波及半導體零件產品所致
2021/60.7218.27108.063.6953.821.940.75本月營收較去年同期增加,係新增銷售微波及半導體零件產品所致
2021/50.610.6116.482.9644.621.850.79本月營收較去年同期增加,係新增銷售微波及半導體零件產品所致
2021/40.61-4.0361.912.3533.121.730.84本月營收較去年同期增加,係新增銷售微波及半導體零件產品所致
2021/30.6328.8335.521.7425.351.740.81-
2021/20.49-20.4-18.151.1120.21.980.71-
2021/10.62-28.8591.740.6291.742.110.67本月營收較去年同期增加,係新增銷售微波及半導體零件產
2020/120.8740.15101.286.21-27.342.070.66本月營收較去年同期增加,係新增銷售微波及半導體零件產品所致
2020/110.626.89-17.165.34-34.181.850.74-
2020/100.58-10.62-15.124.72-35.911.870.73-
2020/90.650.4523.664.14-38.041.740.73-
2020/80.6544.81-31.133.49-43.31.440.88-
2020/70.4528.2-35.562.84-45.491.081.18-
2020/60.3523.06-57.332.4-47.01.010.58COVID-19疫情影響
2020/50.28-24.75-70.142.05-44.741.130.52COVID-19疫情影響
2020/40.38-19.67-45.811.77-36.031.440.4-
2020/30.47-22.19-40.681.39-32.751.390.41-
2020/20.686.4963.510.92-27.871.350.42新冠肺炎疫情影響營收減少
2020/10.32-25.32-64.680.32-64.681.50.38春節工作天數減少及武漢肺炎部份延遲出貨
2019/120.43-42.32-15.488.5434.310.0N/A-
2019/110.759.5127.288.1138.660.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/10.912023/10.862022/10.742021/10.622020/10.32
2024/20.652023/20.942022/20.852021/20.492020/20.6
2024/30.612023/30.952022/31.092021/30.632020/30.47
2024/40.72023/40.852022/40.952021/40.612020/40.38
2024/50.672023/50.982022/51.112021/50.612020/50.28
2024/60.532023/60.912022/61.362021/60.722020/60.35
2024/70.722023/70.892022/70.912021/70.752020/70.45
2024/80.692023/80.82022/80.82021/80.612020/80.65
2024/90.652023/90.822022/91.042021/90.572020/90.65
2024/100.612023/100.842022/101.352021/100.812020/100.58
N/AN/A2023/111.082022/111.222021/110.992020/110.62
N/AN/A2023/121.282022/121.082021/121.152020/120.87
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 0.3%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.02-33.33-93.55
24Q2 (19)0.030.0-57.14
24Q1 (18)0.03-50.0-40.0
23Q4 (17)0.06-80.650.0
23Q3 (16)0.31342.861450.0
23Q2 (15)0.0740.0-46.15
23Q1 (14)0.05-16.67400.0
22Q4 (13)0.06200.0500.0
22Q3 (12)0.02-84.62-96.3
22Q2 (11)0.131200.0-77.59
22Q1 (10)0.010.0-80.0
21Q4 (9)0.01-98.15-50.0
21Q3 (8)0.54-6.958.82
21Q2 (7)0.581060.02800.0
21Q1 (6)0.05150.0150.0
20Q4 (5)0.02-94.120.0
20Q3 (4)0.341600.00.0
20Q2 (3)0.020.00.0
20Q1 (2)0.020.00.0
19Q4 (1)0.020.00.0

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