玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/110.53.3-1.034.22-12.691.33N/A-
2024/100.4942.495.093.72-14.061.15N/A-
2024/90.345.33-20.743.24-16.341.041.98-
2024/80.32-14.31-24.062.9-15.791.231.68-
2024/70.38-28.252.422.57-14.631.211.7-
2024/60.5372.415.062.2-17.01.231.3-
2024/50.31-22.59-29.241.67-22.151.111.43-
2024/40.39-4.62-19.821.37-20.370.991.6-
2024/30.41120.44-14.80.97-20.590.971.64-
2024/20.19-49.36-57.510.56-24.41.091.46客戶臨床進行中,以及公司產品新舊機種轉型期,導致2月營收年減57.51%
2024/10.37-30.4824.860.3724.861.411.13-
2023/120.535.14-5.65.376.981.50.99-
2023/110.519.691.174.848.571.41.06-
2023/100.467.461.054.339.511.321.12-
2023/90.430.910.293.8710.611.221.24-
2023/80.4315.571.263.4412.051.291.17-
2023/70.37-26.41.713.0113.771.31.17-
2023/60.516.18.772.6515.681.420.98-
2023/50.43-12.2850.532.1517.411.410.99本月營業收入較去年同期增加主因去年基期較低所致
2023/40.491.3420.541.7111.261.420.99-
2023/30.499.934.311.227.921.221.24-
2023/20.4448.8128.890.7410.431.31.17-
2023/10.3-47.45-8.960.3-8.961.361.12-
2022/120.5612.69-13.995.023.331.521.0-
2022/110.59.56-0.774.466.041.391.1-
2022/100.466.66-9.353.966.971.311.16-
2022/90.431.89-8.883.59.551.211.25-
2022/80.4216.089.553.0712.731.241.22-
2022/70.36-21.33.32.6513.251.111.37-
2022/60.4660.6814.322.2915.011.151.27-
2022/50.29-29.76-18.671.8315.181.161.27-
2022/40.41-12.2915.861.5424.841.221.21-
2022/30.4735.8440.271.1328.421.131.3-
2022/20.345.136.810.6721.291.321.11-
2022/10.33-50.358.370.338.371.490.99-
2021/120.6630.0110.994.8620.721.660.8-
2021/110.50.0944.154.222.391.480.9-
2021/100.57.2139.653.719.921.360.98-
2021/90.4722.5128.43.1917.311.21.08-
2021/80.389.4512.552.7215.581.141.14-
2021/70.35-12.910.222.3416.11.111.18-
2021/60.414.321.111.9917.21.111.06-
2021/50.350.0636.491.5916.241.041.13-
2021/40.356.171.241.2311.520.931.25-
2021/30.3332.4814.030.8816.230.881.33-
2021/20.25-16.7320.150.5517.61.141.02-
2021/10.3-49.1515.560.315.561.240.94-
2020/120.5968.86107.244.0227.971.30.78-
2020/110.35-3.036.193.4320.061.080.94-
2020/100.36-1.4227.153.0821.871.070.95-
2020/90.377.38-25.452.7221.20.0N/A-
2020/80.340.0162.632.3634.260.0N/A-
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股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/10.372023/10.32022/10.332021/10.32020/80.34
2024/20.192023/20.442022/20.342021/20.252020/90.37
2024/30.412023/30.492022/30.472021/30.332020/100.36
2024/40.392023/40.492022/40.412021/40.352020/110.35
2024/50.312023/50.432022/50.292021/50.352020/120.59
2024/60.532023/60.52022/60.462021/60.4N/AN/A
2024/70.382023/70.372022/70.362021/70.35N/AN/A
2024/80.322023/80.432022/80.422021/80.38N/AN/A
2024/90.342023/90.432022/90.432021/90.47N/AN/A
2024/100.492023/100.462022/100.462021/100.5N/AN/A
2024/110.52023/110.512022/110.52021/110.5N/AN/A
N/AN/A2023/120.532022/120.562021/120.66N/AN/A
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 12.95%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.45-8.16542.86
24Q2 (19)0.49-22.22444.44
24Q1 (18)0.6326.02000.0
23Q4 (17)0.5614.294900.0
23Q3 (16)0.07-22.220
23Q2 (15)0.09200.0800.0
23Q1 (14)0.03200.00.0
22Q4 (13)0.010-80.0

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