玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/110.3716.516.523.92-12.011.07N/A-
2024/100.32-17.3712.093.55-13.561.05N/A-
2024/90.389.3154.553.24-15.450.971.91市場需求增加
2024/80.3547.84-4.252.85-20.291.021.82-
2024/70.24-45.23-18.972.5-22.111.141.63-
2024/60.43-7.6275.812.27-22.421.391.22市場需求增加
2024/50.47-4.5-4.151.84-31.441.441.18-
2024/40.492.4810.11.37-37.521.181.44-
2024/30.48127.73-18.180.88-49.660.881.38-
2024/20.2110.04-51.280.4-65.50.671.81市場需求減少
2024/10.19-28.9-73.880.19-73.880.81.5市場需求減少
2023/120.27-22.37-62.924.72-56.320.91.42市場需求減少
2023/110.3522.6-62.594.45-55.850.871.45市場需求減少
2023/100.2813.92-76.844.11-55.170.891.42市場需求減少
2023/90.25-32.28-74.233.83-51.850.91.71市場需求減少
2023/80.3725.12-57.913.58-48.780.91.72市場需求減少
2023/70.2918.82-69.363.22-47.491.031.51市場需求減少
2023/60.25-49.63-73.982.92-43.451.181.58市場需求減少
2023/50.499.69-47.832.68-36.631.521.23-
2023/40.44-23.84-44.892.19-33.441.461.27-
2023/30.5835.61-33.081.74-29.721.741.23-
2023/20.43-41.02-23.471.16-27.91.881.14-
2023/10.730.93-30.290.73-30.292.380.9-
2022/120.72-21.67-31.8110.8130.472.860.72-
2022/110.92-24.091.4110.0939.613.10.66-
2022/101.2226.7670.299.1745.123.040.67客戶需求增加。
2022/90.9610.640.47.9541.912.780.72-
2022/80.87-8.92-2.396.9942.122.770.73-
2022/70.950.8938.326.1251.942.830.71客戶需求增加。
2022/60.940.9965.535.1754.752.690.68客戶需求增加。
2022/50.9415.8851.714.2352.532.620.7客戶需求增加。
2022/40.81-7.5330.533.2952.762.240.82客戶需求增加。
2022/30.8755.0928.052.4861.712.481.08客戶需求增加。
2022/20.56-46.2755.421.6188.582.671.0客戶需求增加。
2022/11.05-1.27113.01.05113.03.020.88客戶需求增加。
2021/121.0616.49128.698.2928.02.690.99客戶需求量增加
2021/110.9127.4570.647.2320.542.311.15客戶訂單增加所致。
2021/100.714.5128.616.3215.652.291.16-
2021/90.68-23.1116.05.614.182.260.69-
2021/80.8929.0684.234.9213.932.150.73客戶需求增加。
2021/70.6920.7491.364.035.081.880.83客戶需求增加。
2021/60.57-7.42-19.243.34-3.851.810.51-
2021/50.62-0.2916.752.770.071.920.48-
2021/40.62-9.2918.952.15-3.851.660.55-
2021/30.6888.2430.681.54-10.741.540.59-
2021/20.36-26.37-27.450.85-28.771.320.69-
2021/10.496.0-29.710.49-29.710.0N/A-
2020/120.460.0-42.966.4887.740.0N/A-
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股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/10.192023/10.732022/11.052021/10.492020/120.46
2024/20.212023/20.432022/20.562021/20.36N/AN/A
2024/30.482023/30.582022/30.872021/30.68N/AN/A
2024/40.492023/40.442022/40.812021/40.62N/AN/A
2024/50.472023/50.492022/50.942021/50.62N/AN/A
2024/60.432023/60.252022/60.942021/60.57N/AN/A
2024/70.242023/70.292022/70.952021/70.69N/AN/A
2024/80.352023/80.372022/80.872021/80.89N/AN/A
2024/90.382023/90.252022/90.962021/90.68N/AN/A
2024/100.322023/100.282022/101.222021/100.71N/AN/A
2024/110.372023/110.352022/110.922021/110.91N/AN/A
N/AN/A2023/120.272022/120.722021/121.06N/AN/A
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 1.35%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.030.00
24Q2 (19)0.0350.00
24Q1 (18)0.0200

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