玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 理想的成長型公司, 本業EPS的成長幅度會大於營收的成長幅度
  • 營收到某個數字後, 本業EPS呈現不成比例的增加, 有可能是規模經濟的效應
  • 如果是有淡旺季的公司, 是否有淡季不淡, 旺季更旺的情況
  • 漲很多的股票要留意 EPS 較上季是否有大幅衰退的情況
  • 如果EPS衰退,要觀察同業是不是有一樣的狀況
  • 要留意增資減資和公司債對股本及EPS的影響
成長能力-近20季
加權平均股數 QoQ YoYEPS QoQ YoY本業EPS QoQ YoY累計EPS QoQ YoY營收 QoQ YoY毛利率(%) QoQ YoY營業利益率 QoQ YoY稅後淨利率 QoQ YoY營業利益 QoQ YoY稅後淨利 QoQ YoY稅前淨利率(%) QoQ YoY稅後淨利率(%) QoQ YoY兩季平均(YOY)營收成長率(%)兩季平均(YOY)EPS成長率(%)兩季平均(YOY)本業EPS成長率(%)
24Q3 (20)350.02.940.11-82.54-81.670.23-42.564.291.1610.48-16.551.21-14.18-21.4338.399.7826.377.27-36.2310.823.21-79.57-75.610.09-43.75-10.00.04-81.82-80.04.01-76.41-75.593.21-79.57-75.61-1.14-18.02362.08
24Q2 (19)350.09.380.6346.51-12.50.40766.67-13.041.05144.1936.361.4111.9-20.3434.975.21.2711.401063.2712.7615.7133.4722.930.161500.0-11.110.2246.67-4.3517.0016.220.415.7133.4722.9311.21689.92325.22
24Q1 (18)359.3834.620.431333.334200.0-0.06-116.2200.43-68.844200.01.2610.5329.933.24-3.82-6.680.98-91.782.0811.771138.955250.00.01-92.860.00.151400.0014.631218.022609.2611.771138.955250.0-7.72619.1624.03
23Q4 (17)32-5.8823.080.03-95.0142.860.37164.29164.291.38-0.72-36.71.14-25.97-10.2434.5613.7628.2411.9281.71198.750.95-92.78164.630.1440.0180.00.01-95.0150.01.11-93.24183.460.95-92.78164.63-19.48-55.8447.36
23Q3 (16)346.2530.770.60-16.67-42.310.14-69.57-62.161.3980.52-38.51.54-12.99-10.4730.38-12.02-6.296.56-35.11-45.2913.162.97-16.50.1-44.44-52.380.2-13.04-25.9316.4316.36-18.0513.162.97-16.534.743541.66-34.78
23Q2 (15)3223.0828.00.727100.0-34.550.460-33.330.777600.0-39.841.7782.47-14.0834.53-3.0616.310.11953.12-24.0412.785709.09-3.330.181700.0-33.330.230-14.8114.122514.81-5.8712.785709.09-3.3329.423607.14-50.00
23Q1 (14)260.08.330.01114.29-94.440.00-100.0100.00.01-99.54-94.440.97-23.62-35.3335.6232.1740.790.96-75.9400.22114.97-92.440.01-80.000100.0-100.00.54140.6-85.90.22114.97-92.44-24.893.78-81.08
22Q4 (13)260.08.33-0.07-106.73-117.50.14-62.16-67.442.18-3.5439.741.27-26.16-24.426.95-16.87-4.573.99-66.72-63.23-1.47-109.33-125.830.05-76.19-72.22-0.02-107.41-120.0-1.33-106.63-117.32-1.47-109.33-125.83-21.33-56.09-54.27
22Q3 (12)264.08.331.04-5.45108.00.37-46.388.822.2676.5694.831.72-16.534.3832.429.2-11.2311.99-9.922.8315.7619.2167.480.21-22.2240.00.270.0125.020.0533.6770.3515.7619.2167.4810.41252.83601.81
22Q2 (11)254.178.71.10511.11111.540.691250.060.471.28611.1182.862.0637.3344.0629.6917.35-14.6313.31018.113.22354.357.010.27068.750.27575.0125.015.00291.6469.1113.22354.357.0113.31228.06568.02
22Q1 (10)240.04.350.18-55.00.0-0.06-113.95-142.860.18-88.460.01.5-10.7135.1425.30-10.41-23.050.00-100.0-100.02.91-48.86-19.830-100.0-100.00.04-60.00.03.83-50.13-15.452.91-48.86-19.8310.27-37.50-43.74
21Q4 (9)240.04.350.40-20.025.00.4326.4738.711.5634.4848.571.6831.2554.1328.24-22.67-21.4510.85-6.95-4.245.69-39.53-17.420.1820.050.00.1-16.6725.07.68-34.75-12.835.69-39.53-17.4210.38-11.932.77
21Q3 (8)244.354.350.50-3.85-7.410.34-20.93-20.931.1665.7161.111.28-10.49-0.7836.525.05.1811.663.46-12.539.4111.76-3.290.15-6.25-11.760.120.0-7.6911.7732.69-3.219.4111.76-3.299.1792.5293.10
21Q2 (7)230.04.550.52188.89225.00.43207.1400.70288.89268.421.4328.8393.2434.785.7810.2711.27114.67531.88.42131.9677.640.16166.67900.00.12200.0300.08.8795.81658.128.42131.9677.6415.3372.5776.15
21Q1 (6)230.04.550.18-43.75500.00.14-54.84366.670.18-82.86500.01.111.8312.1232.88-8.547.245.25-53.66556.253.63-47.31365.380.06-50.0500.00.04-50.0300.04.53-48.58362.243.63-47.31365.38-6.83-42.25-41.38
20Q4 (5)230.04.550.32-40.74203.230.31-27.91121.431.0545.83-1.871.09-15.513.5435.953.544.0211.33-15.0223.716.89-29.19195.960.12-29.41300.00.08-38.46214.298.81-27.55198.226.89-29.19195.96--0.00
20Q3 (4)234.550.00.54237.50.00.4300.00.72278.950.01.2974.320.034.7210.080.013.33610.730.09.73105.270.00.17950.00.00.13333.330.012.16939.320.09.73105.270.0--0.00
20Q2 (3)220.00.00.16433.330.00.00-100.00.00.19533.330.00.74-25.250.031.542.870.0-2.61-426.250.04.74507.690.0-0.02-300.00.00.03200.00.01.1719.390.04.74507.690.0--0.00
20Q1 (2)220.00.00.03109.680.00.03-78.570.00.03-97.20.00.993.120.030.66-11.280.00.80-77.140.00.78110.860.00.01-66.670.00.01114.290.00.98110.930.00.78110.860.0--0.00
19Q4 (1)220.00.0-0.310.00.00.140.00.01.070.00.00.960.00.034.560.00.03.500.00.0-7.180.00.00.030.00.0-0.070.00.0-8.970.00.0-7.180.00.0--0.00
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/100.4446.68-7.014.32-9.171.18N/A-
2024/90.3-30.23-12.223.88-9.411.211.29-
2024/80.43-8.03-12.093.58-9.171.411.1-
2024/70.47-6.48-32.933.14-8.751.41.1-
2024/60.517.340.192.67-2.561.411.04-
2024/50.43-10.01-37.072.17-3.181.391.05-
2024/40.48-1.52-19.271.7411.621.341.09-
2024/30.4828.394.161.2630.451.261.3-
2024/20.38-6.510.470.7854.661.091.51比較去年2月主要客戶有增加出貨約400萬
2024/10.430.57147.040.4147.041.071.54(1)113年1月工作日比去年較多; (2)OBM有新品上市及ODM有銷售出貨
2023/120.31-12.67-12.885.42-17.081.141.54-
2023/110.35-25.77-10.585.11-17.321.171.49-
2023/100.4838.46-7.514.76-17.781.311.33-
2023/90.34-30.13-15.134.28-18.781.541.18-
2023/80.49-29.83-24.743.94-19.081.71.07-
2023/70.739.716.493.45-18.211.890.96-
2023/60.5-26.3-27.552.74-22.791.770.86-
2023/50.6815.443.522.24-21.631.740.88-
2023/40.5927.07-16.081.56-29.161.41.1-
2023/30.4636.17-15.010.97-35.30.971.57-
2023/20.34109.06-31.110.5-46.970.861.77-
2023/10.16-53.95-64.20.16-64.20.911.66因IC缺料致出貨較少,且因本月工作日較少,故營業額較去年同期減少。
2022/120.35-10.36-18.396.5418.731.271.12-
2022/110.4-23.22-15.316.1821.911.321.08-
2022/100.5227.06-34.025.7925.681.580.9-
2022/90.41-38.05-18.165.2737.871.720.86-
2022/80.65-0.787.394.8746.212.010.74因去年IC缺料致出貨少,今年可出貨較多,另因某專案進入量產出貨,故營業額較去年8月增加。
2022/70.66-4.9450.594.2141.382.010.74因去年IC缺料致出貨少,今年可出貨較多,另因某專案進入量產出貨,故營業額較去年7月增加。
2022/60.695.326.523.5539.82.060.68-
2022/50.66-6.4160.422.8643.451.910.73本月增百分比超過50%,主要係因ODM客戶去年試產,今年開始量產,以及原物料價格上漲,銷貨價格相對調整。
2022/40.728.6949.922.239.051.750.8-
2022/30.5510.3833.531.534.471.51.03-
2022/20.58.6338.650.9535.011.391.11-
2022/10.464.9731.270.4631.271.361.13-
2021/120.43-6.9712.415.5133.91.680.86-
2021/110.47-40.1821.025.0736.131.740.83-
2021/100.7857.59142.64.6137.881.630.89因7-8月普遍性缺料問題致出貨減少,客戶累積訂單儘量10月出貨,另因缺料致售價也提高,所以營收成長。
2021/90.541.8429.883.8326.711.281.03-
2021/80.35-20.2-23.033.3326.251.340.99-
2021/70.44-20.14-3.912.9836.51.40.95-
2021/60.5533.5253.462.5447.151.430.762020年度因受新冠肺炎影響,國外交易活動多數停止,故需求下降,導致訂單減少。
2021/50.41-12.5468.691.9945.511.290.852020年度因受新冠肺炎疫情影響,國外交易活動多數停止,故需求下降,導致訂單減少。
2021/40.4714.62244.471.5840.511.240.882020年度因受新冠肺炎疫情影響,國外交易活動多數停止,故需求下降,導致訂單減少。
2021/30.4114.6119.311.1112.451.111.05-
2021/20.362.8410.180.78.821.091.07-
2021/10.35-10.117.460.357.461.121.04-
2020/120.390.146.174.11-29.241.091.08-
2020/110.3919.943.663.73-31.61.091.08-
2020/100.32-15.62-2.993.34-35.511.161.02-
2020/90.38-15.94-19.873.02-37.731.290.98-
2020/80.45-0.38-7.022.64-39.681.271.0-
2020/70.4627.541.642.18-43.781.061.2-
2020/60.3646.77-20.631.73-49.710.742.14-
2020/50.2478.58-60.251.37-54.090.722.19受新冠肺炎疫情劇烈影響,主要市場歐美多國仍處於封城狀態,經濟活動完全停擺,嚴重影響旗下雙業務。
2020/40.14-60.29-82.171.13-52.50.81.97受新冠肺炎疫情劇烈影響,主要市場歐美多國仍處於封城狀態,經濟活動完全停擺,嚴重影響旗下雙業務。
2020/30.345.84-37.30.99-38.40.991.4-
2020/20.320.3-31.130.65-38.961.011.37-
2020/10.32-11.18-45.210.32-45.210.961.45-
2019/120.3635.5-30.445.8114.460.0N/A-
2019/110.27-19.04-51.475.4519.620.0N/A因客戶訂單遞延,延遲出貨
成長能力-近10年
加權平均股數 YoYEPS YoY本業EPS YoY營收 YoY毛利率(%) YoY營業利益率 YoY稅後淨利率 YoY營業利益 YoY稅前淨利 YoY稅後淨利 YoY
2023 (10)3223.081.34-32.660.97-17.095.42-17.1333.5516.217.85-3.218.16-5.990.43-18.870.52-24.640.44-22.81
2022 (9)268.331.9928.391.17-12.696.5418.6928.87-11.988.11-18.988.6826.720.53-3.640.6950.00.5750.0
2021 (8)244.351.5547.621.3488.735.5134.0632.80-2.0910.0144.656.8515.710.5596.430.4670.370.3858.33
2020 (7)234.551.05-0.940.71-29.04.11-29.2633.506.896.924.375.9245.10.28-28.210.270.00.240.0
2019 (6)220.01.06-25.871.0029.875.8114.3731.34-0.256.63-2.364.08-34.930.3914.710.27-30.770.24-25.0
2018 (5)224.761.4385.710.778.455.08-0.9731.422.186.7923.916.27100.320.3421.430.39105.260.32100.0
2017 (4)2110.530.77-62.250.71-36.045.1325.4330.75-25.025.48-51.933.13-66.630.28-40.430.19-58.70.16-57.89
2016 (3)1911.762.04-2.861.1129.074.0935.8841.01-11.7911.40-9.819.38-22.290.4723.680.464.550.385.56
2015 (2)1730.772.106.60.8636.513.0125.4246.49-0.8712.6414.712.0712.80.3846.150.4441.940.3638.46
2014 (1)13225.01.9734.930.63350.02.445.4546.90011.02010.7000.26333.330.31342.860.26333.33

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