玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/103.15-2.0520.0229.0430.279.58N/A-
2024/93.220.5619.0625.8831.649.620.75-
2024/83.20.1833.7922.6633.659.580.76-
2024/73.20.3540.7719.4633.639.30.78-
2024/63.189.2241.1816.2632.318.90.77-
2024/52.924.1348.3613.0830.328.410.81-
2024/42.84.0147.010.1625.927.770.88-
2024/32.6918.0334.127.3619.417.360.89-
2024/22.28-4.6217.374.6712.327.250.9-
2024/12.39-7.267.892.397.897.590.86-
2023/122.58-1.51-2.0827.48-21.77.820.83-
2023/112.62-0.35-5.8924.91-23.297.950.81-
2023/102.63-2.84-8.0622.29-24.927.730.84-
2023/92.713.0-9.3119.66-26.727.370.95-
2023/82.395.41-17.5816.96-28.896.921.01-
2023/72.270.64-20.1114.56-30.466.491.08-
2023/62.2614.78-22.6512.29-32.096.131.08-
2023/51.973.17-33.5810.04-33.95.881.12-
2023/41.9-5.09-37.498.07-33.985.851.13-
2023/32.013.28-33.926.17-32.816.171.18-
2023/21.94-12.32-32.634.16-32.276.791.07-
2023/12.22-15.84-31.952.22-31.957.630.96-
2022/122.63-5.34-23.6635.1-6.978.270.9-
2022/112.78-2.64-15.6832.47-5.298.620.87-
2022/102.86-4.16-14.1529.69-4.198.740.85-
2022/92.982.7-16.6626.83-2.998.730.97-
2022/82.92.18-18.5123.85-0.968.660.98-
2022/72.84-2.55-15.9720.942.088.720.98-
2022/62.92-1.44-12.1918.15.658.920.93-
2022/52.96-2.89-2.1915.199.949.040.92-
2022/43.050.321.9312.2313.358.970.93-
2022/33.045.3118.799.1817.729.180.84-
2022/22.88-11.4412.216.1417.29.590.8-
2022/13.26-5.5922.013.2622.0110.010.77-
2021/123.454.5422.0437.7426.9110.080.68-
2021/113.3-0.8718.034.2927.4210.210.67-
2021/103.33-6.9719.5530.9928.5110.470.66-
2021/93.580.4230.5927.6629.6910.520.62-
2021/83.565.3634.3824.0829.5510.270.63-
2021/73.381.8229.7820.5228.759.730.67-
2021/63.329.7730.817.1328.559.340.68-
2021/53.031.223.0613.8128.028.570.74-
2021/42.9916.9127.1210.7929.488.120.78-
2021/32.56-0.511.677.830.417.80.8-
2021/22.57-3.7153.955.2442.048.070.77本月營收較去年同期增加達50%以上,主要是去年同期因新冠肺炎疫情,導致中國廠區延後復工,基期較低所影響。
2021/12.67-5.5632.192.6732.198.290.75-
2020/122.831.07-2.6829.73-1.098.410.57-
2020/112.80.438.6526.91-0.928.320.58-
2020/102.781.618.2124.11-1.928.180.59-
2020/92.743.335.1521.33-3.18.00.56-
2020/82.651.764.9118.59-4.217.80.58-
2020/72.612.62-1.5215.93-5.587.60.59-
2020/62.543.28-0.1813.33-6.347.350.57-
2020/52.464.54-6.2410.79-7.687.10.59-
2020/42.352.7-6.398.33-8.096.310.67-
2020/32.2937.151.985.98-8.755.980.73-
2020/21.67-17.32-5.293.69-14.356.590.67-
2020/12.02-30.48-20.622.02-20.627.50.59-
2019/122.912.852.0630.06-8.410.0N/A-
2019/112.570.02-9.3727.16-9.40.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/12.392023/12.222022/13.262021/12.672020/12.02
2024/22.282023/21.942022/22.882021/22.572020/21.67
2024/32.692023/32.012022/33.042021/32.562020/32.29
2024/42.82023/41.92022/43.052021/42.992020/42.35
2024/52.922023/51.972022/52.962021/53.032020/52.46
2024/63.182023/62.262022/62.922021/63.322020/62.54
2024/73.22023/72.272022/72.842021/73.382020/72.61
2024/83.22023/82.392022/82.92021/83.562020/82.65
2024/93.222023/92.72022/92.982021/93.582020/92.74
2024/103.152023/102.632022/102.862021/103.332020/102.78
N/AN/A2023/112.622022/112.782021/113.32020/112.8
N/AN/A2023/122.582022/122.632021/123.452020/122.83
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 0.07%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.010.00.0
24Q2 (19)0.010.00
24Q1 (18)0.010.00
23Q4 (17)0.010.00.0
23Q3 (16)0.0100.0

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