玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/100.09-18.2930.770.91.960.31N/A-
2024/90.112.4873.720.81-0.440.33.26銷售量增加
2024/80.1126.0441.340.7-6.640.283.52-
2024/70.08-3.0-21.070.6-11.980.273.67-
2024/60.09-8.49-18.050.51-10.270.273.73-
2024/50.14.745.090.42-8.490.283.63-
2024/40.09-3.96-14.620.33-11.790.244.18-
2024/30.0962.68-20.250.24-10.650.244.61-
2024/20.06-31.91-19.720.14-2.960.254.48-
2024/10.09-16.013.110.0913.110.264.17-
2023/120.133.6312.391.06-26.610.254.26-
2023/110.0811.63-6.730.96-29.220.215.06-
2023/100.078.53-27.050.88-30.660.215.08-
2023/90.06-16.61-37.990.82-30.940.254.48銷售數量減少
2023/80.08-29.62-25.630.75-30.280.293.81-
2023/70.110.71-30.090.68-30.760.33.61-
2023/60.1117.3416.140.57-30.890.33.82-
2023/50.09-14.9-11.480.46-36.760.323.67-
2023/40.11-10.30.980.37-40.860.33.89-
2023/30.1263.77-56.120.27-49.250.274.61銷售數量減少
2023/20.07-4.05-47.380.15-41.970.245.15-
2023/10.08-16.54-35.620.08-35.620.254.96-
2022/120.0910.89-46.811.45-35.030.274.66-
2022/110.08-12.69-55.021.36-34.060.284.48銷售量減少
2022/100.09-7.74-56.981.28-32.030.34.18銷售數量減少
2022/90.10.01-61.671.18-28.760.363.31銷售量減少
2022/80.1-33.84-30.481.08-22.510.353.41-
2022/70.1567.33-16.930.98-21.580.353.4-
2022/60.09-10.56-9.980.83-22.390.34.04-
2022/50.1-2.91-41.340.73-23.70.482.53-
2022/40.11-61.02-34.160.63-19.790.512.35-
2022/30.2796.3739.040.53-16.110.532.39-
2022/20.1417.39-31.750.26-40.950.432.96-
2022/10.12-31.05-49.010.12-49.010.472.68-
2021/120.17-6.21-42.662.23-12.780.572.32-
2021/110.18-16.5-9.282.06-8.850.661.99-
2021/100.22-17.81-12.91.88-8.810.632.1-
2021/90.2681.44-5.191.66-8.240.62.35-
2021/80.15-20.95-19.191.39-8.80.433.24-
2021/70.1881.34-18.581.25-7.410.463.04-
2021/60.1-41.72-49.781.06-5.150.443.23-
2021/50.178.95-33.560.964.690.532.66-
2021/40.16-17.68-7.020.7920.020.562.53-
2021/30.19-3.6217.260.6329.660.632.01-
2021/20.2-12.2924.930.4336.140.731.73-
2021/10.23-22.4647.770.2347.770.731.73-
2020/120.348.38-3.482.565.880.751.86-
2020/110.2-19.83-38.062.267.250.731.91-
2020/100.25-10.53-14.432.0615.470.711.96-
2020/90.2854.6421.61.8121.330.692.13-
2020/80.18-20.36-23.191.5321.280.612.39-
2020/70.2311.8565.371.3531.480.692.11銷售量增加
2020/60.2-22.936.011.1226.250.642.18-
2020/50.2652.49128.170.9224.290.62.31銷售量增加
2020/40.173.8143.480.665.110.52.78-
2020/30.172.6820.980.48-4.030.482.87-
2020/20.163.737.270.32-13.390.632.22-
2020/10.16-49.35-27.820.16-27.820.791.77-
2019/120.31-4.7819.122.4145.470.0N/A-
2019/110.3210.75127.342.1150.340.0N/A銷售量增加
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/10.092023/10.082022/10.122021/10.232020/10.16
2024/20.062023/20.072022/20.142021/20.22020/20.16
2024/30.092023/30.122022/30.272021/30.192020/30.17
2024/40.092023/40.112022/40.112021/40.162020/40.17
2024/50.12023/50.092022/50.12021/50.172020/50.26
2024/60.092023/60.112022/60.092021/60.12020/60.2
2024/70.082023/70.112022/70.152021/70.182020/70.23
2024/80.112023/80.082022/80.12021/80.152020/80.18
2024/90.112023/90.062022/90.12021/90.262020/90.28
2024/100.092023/100.072022/100.092021/100.222020/100.25
N/AN/A2023/110.082022/110.082021/110.182020/110.2
N/AN/A2023/120.12022/120.092021/120.172020/120.3
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季
合約負債 QoQ YoY

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