玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/116.92.278.8868.79-0.920.77N/A-
2024/106.75-5.294.9561.89-1.8820.37N/A-
2024/97.129.580.8755.14-2.6520.090.42-
2024/86.50.5-8.7348.02-3.1618.740.45-
2024/76.4712.06-4.4541.52-2.2218.620.46-
2024/65.77-9.57-10.8735.05-1.818.510.41-
2024/56.380.43-6.929.280.218.520.41-
2024/46.369.892.2622.92.3816.870.45-
2024/35.7822.34-11.0916.542.4216.540.45-
2024/24.73-21.58-0.4810.7611.5516.530.45-
2024/16.034.3623.246.0323.2418.140.41-
2023/125.78-8.852.7975.19-18.1118.540.37-
2023/116.34-1.41-14.6969.42-19.4819.830.35-
2023/106.43-8.99-6.9763.08-19.9320.620.34-
2023/97.06-0.832.3156.65-21.1720.960.4-
2023/87.125.21-1.1449.59-23.6720.370.41-
2023/76.774.6-10.7342.46-26.4820.10.41-
2023/66.47-5.6-13.935.69-28.8619.540.42-
2023/56.8610.32-9.1829.22-31.519.580.42-
2023/46.21-4.55-25.9922.37-36.2817.480.47-
2023/36.5137.08-32.6216.15-39.5216.150.52-
2023/24.75-2.88-39.879.64-43.4315.260.55-
2023/14.89-12.96-46.54.89-46.517.940.47-
2022/125.62-24.34-39.3991.83-16.2819.960.5-
2022/117.437.5-22.086.21-14.1421.240.47-
2022/106.910.15-23.278.78-13.3221.020.47-
2022/96.9-4.24-28.2571.87-12.2421.690.53-
2022/87.21-4.98-23.1864.96-10.1222.320.51-
2022/77.580.65-18.2157.78-8.1322.670.5-
2022/67.53-0.2-16.4850.19-6.3823.480.51-
2022/57.55-10.09-13.8342.66-4.3425.620.47-
2022/48.4-13.13-4.8935.11-2.0125.970.46-
2022/39.6722.361.8926.71-1.0726.710.48-
2022/27.9-13.594.2117.05-2.6826.320.49-
2022/19.14-1.39-7.949.14-7.9427.950.46-
2021/129.27-2.631.9109.696.3627.80.47-
2021/119.535.862.08100.426.7928.140.46-
2021/109.0-6.43-1.1490.897.2828.00.47-
2021/99.622.52-6.7781.898.2928.270.46-
2021/89.381.15-2.8672.2810.6727.680.47-
2021/79.272.792.6462.8913.0527.060.49-
2021/69.022.9612.453.6215.0726.620.48-
2021/58.76-0.766.4844.615.6227.080.47-
2021/48.83-6.932.3635.8318.0825.90.49-
2021/39.4925.1418.3327.024.3227.00.51-
2021/27.58-23.6830.5117.5227.8326.620.52-
2021/19.939.1525.859.9325.8528.370.48-
2020/129.1-2.4611.04103.135.0827.530.43-
2020/119.332.515.4994.034.4728.750.41-
2020/109.1-11.76-0.4984.724.4529.080.41-
2020/910.326.8112.2475.625.0829.010.43-
2020/89.666.8915.4165.34.0326.720.47-
2020/79.0412.577.655.632.1625.290.5-
2020/68.03-2.46-3.3946.61.1724.880.43-
2020/58.23-4.61-3.6738.572.1724.870.43-
2020/48.637.593.6730.353.9722.450.48-
2020/38.0238.02-0.1721.724.0921.720.55-
2020/25.81-26.4-1.5313.76.7621.90.55-
2020/17.89-3.6913.827.8913.820.0N/A-
2019/128.2-7.3337.1698.1926.670.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/16.032023/14.892022/19.142021/19.932020/17.89
2024/24.732023/24.752022/27.92021/27.582020/25.81
2024/35.782023/36.512022/39.672021/39.492020/38.02
2024/46.362023/46.212022/48.42021/48.832020/48.63
2024/56.382023/56.862022/57.552021/58.762020/58.23
2024/65.772023/66.472022/67.532021/69.022020/68.03
2024/76.472023/76.772022/77.582021/79.272020/79.04
2024/86.52023/87.122022/87.212021/89.382020/89.66
2024/97.122023/97.062022/96.92021/99.622020/910.32
2024/106.752023/106.432022/106.912021/109.02020/109.1
2024/116.92023/116.342022/117.432021/119.532020/119.33
N/AN/A2023/125.782022/125.622021/129.272020/129.1
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 1.5%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.150.015.38
24Q2 (19)0.157.14-25.0
24Q1 (18)0.1475.0-33.33
23Q4 (17)0.08-38.46-27.27
23Q3 (16)0.13-35.044.44
23Q2 (15)0.2-4.76185.71
23Q1 (14)0.2190.91250.0
22Q4 (13)0.1122.22-15.38
22Q3 (12)0.0928.57-93.92
22Q2 (11)0.0716.67-94.26
22Q1 (10)0.06-53.85-95.16
21Q4 (9)0.13-91.22-89.68
21Q3 (8)1.4821.3120.33
21Q2 (7)1.22-1.6110.91
21Q1 (6)1.24-1.590
20Q4 (5)1.262.441300.0
20Q3 (4)1.2311.820.0
20Q2 (3)1.100.0

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