玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/107.0413.96-14.0664.322.0619.9N/A-
2024/96.17-7.66-17.3357.284.4718.980.79-
2024/86.699.282.3351.117.9118.910.8-
2024/76.120.1516.544.428.818.570.81-
2024/66.11-3.611.8338.37.6618.840.95-
2024/56.34-0.827.6232.26.919.520.92-
2024/46.39-5.8624.9325.866.7318.920.95-
2024/36.7918.28-15.819.471.8619.470.98-
2024/25.74-17.294.1912.6814.7518.211.04-
2024/16.9425.3625.266.9425.2620.230.94-
2023/125.54-28.65-9.1176.31-13.2421.480.69-
2023/117.76-5.2510.0670.78-13.5523.420.64-
2023/108.199.63-0.3363.02-15.7822.190.67-
2023/97.4714.29-14.4154.83-17.6819.260.56-
2023/86.5324.42-6.3947.36-18.1817.250.62-
2023/75.25-3.86-22.1340.83-19.7916.60.65-
2023/65.46-7.23-26.7435.58-19.4416.470.56-
2023/55.8915.12-7.6830.11-17.9519.070.49-
2023/45.12-36.55-29.8424.23-20.1118.690.5-
2023/38.0646.386.1319.11-17.0319.110.38-
2023/25.51-0.57-12.8411.05-28.4317.140.43-
2023/15.54-9.03-39.245.54-39.2418.680.39-
2022/126.09-13.6-12.4187.971.3221.350.45-
2022/117.05-14.2-12.8481.882.5123.990.4-
2022/108.22-5.8423.5574.834.2423.920.4-
2022/98.7324.9920.7366.622.2722.450.54-
2022/86.983.51.1857.89-0.0221.180.58-
2022/76.74-9.55-5.6850.91-0.1920.580.59-
2022/67.4616.90.444.160.721.130.66-
2022/56.38-12.51-15.9836.710.7621.270.65-
2022/47.29-4.01-7.0530.335.1721.210.65-
2022/37.620.2-11.1723.039.7423.030.85-
2022/26.32-30.687.9615.4424.1322.390.87-
2022/19.1231.1238.529.1238.5224.160.81-
2021/126.95-14.0217.6286.8221.3921.690.69-
2021/118.0921.6225.8679.8721.7321.970.68-
2021/106.65-7.9918.2871.7821.2820.780.72-
2021/97.234.7523.7965.1321.5921.280.75-
2021/86.9-3.5149.9257.9121.3321.480.74-
2021/77.15-3.719.0551.0118.2722.170.72-
2021/67.43-2.1729.2943.8519.9322.870.9-
2021/57.59-3.2149.8936.4318.1823.990.86-
2021/47.85-8.2728.3628.8311.9522.250.93-
2021/38.5546.118.9320.996.8420.990.92-
2021/25.85-11.05-11.5912.44-0.1318.351.06-
2021/16.5811.3412.886.5812.8818.921.03-
2020/125.91-8.0-0.8171.52-4.4517.960.44-
2020/116.4314.29-0.2465.61-4.7717.890.45-
2020/105.62-3.71-17.5359.19-5.2316.060.5-
2020/95.8426.86-4.0853.56-3.7317.00.5-
2020/84.6-29.81-27.9347.73-3.6816.90.51-
2020/76.5614.1512.843.12-0.0917.370.49-
2020/65.7413.43.1736.57-2.116.920.71-
2020/55.07-17.11-17.3430.82-3.0318.370.65-
2020/46.11-15.01-1.7725.760.3819.920.6-
2020/37.198.5913.6919.641.0719.640.77-
2020/26.6213.5730.712.45-5.018.410.82-
2020/15.83-2.17-27.55.83-27.518.230.83-
2019/125.96-7.47-3.2874.86-20.710.0N/A-
2019/116.44-5.51-14.9768.9-21.930.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/16.942023/15.542022/19.122021/16.582020/15.83
2024/25.742023/25.512022/26.322021/25.852020/26.62
2024/36.792023/38.062022/37.62021/38.552020/37.19
2024/46.392023/45.122022/47.292021/47.852020/46.11
2024/56.342023/55.892022/56.382021/57.592020/55.07
2024/66.112023/65.462022/67.462021/67.432020/65.74
2024/76.122023/75.252022/76.742021/77.152020/76.56
2024/86.692023/86.532022/86.982021/86.92020/84.6
2024/96.172023/97.472022/98.732021/97.232020/95.84
2024/107.042023/108.192022/108.222021/106.652020/105.62
N/AN/A2023/117.762022/117.052021/118.092020/116.43
N/AN/A2023/125.542022/126.092021/126.952020/125.91
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 9.01%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)1.16480.07.41
24Q2 (19)0.2-42.86-77.53
24Q1 (18)0.35-14.63-57.83
23Q4 (17)0.41-62.04-76.97
23Q3 (16)1.0821.35-11.48
23Q2 (15)0.897.2371.15
23Q1 (14)0.83-53.3769.39
22Q4 (13)1.7845.9368.42
22Q3 (12)1.22134.62335.71
22Q2 (11)0.526.12246.67
22Q1 (10)0.4928.95345.45
21Q4 (9)0.3835.71216.67
21Q3 (8)0.2886.67115.38
21Q2 (7)0.1536.360
21Q1 (6)0.11-8.330
20Q4 (5)0.12-7.690
20Q3 (4)0.1300.0

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