玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/101.5-19.32-0.9116.8910.595.32N/A-
2024/91.86-5.1322.5115.3911.865.560.54-
2024/81.9612.9615.7113.5310.545.240.57-
2024/71.7412.2815.5811.579.715.070.59-
2024/61.55-13.4-0.699.838.735.160.66-
2024/51.78-2.2821.388.2910.695.20.65-
2024/41.8315.2115.996.58.084.910.69-
2024/31.595.69-8.054.685.284.680.75-
2024/21.5-5.679.263.0913.744.640.76-
2024/11.592.6918.311.5918.314.690.75-
2023/121.55-0.31-9.5118.37-4.834.620.76-
2023/111.552.59-13.3216.82-4.384.590.76-
2023/101.51-0.24-7.9715.27-3.364.730.74-
2023/91.52-10.4-16.5413.76-2.834.710.73-
2023/81.6912.84-4.712.24-0.814.750.72-
2023/71.5-3.52-17.7110.54-0.154.530.76-
2023/61.565.84-16.529.043.54.60.84-
2023/51.47-6.63-16.657.498.944.770.81-
2023/41.57-8.6619.256.0217.784.670.83-
2023/31.7225.5927.04.4417.274.440.9-
2023/21.372.1431.082.7211.834.430.9-
2023/11.34-21.46-2.741.34-2.744.850.82-
2022/121.71-4.510.6519.3131.215.150.72-
2022/111.798.9327.1917.5933.635.260.7-
2022/101.65-9.5420.3215.834.45.240.7-
2022/91.822.3151.1414.1636.265.420.68主要係因新產品及新客戶出貨較去年同期增加
2022/81.78-2.5645.1112.3434.315.470.67-
2022/71.82-2.1371.3810.5632.645.450.68主要係因新產品及新客戶出貨較去年同期增加
2022/61.865.6867.248.7426.664.950.83主要係因新產品及新客戶出貨較去年同期增加
2022/51.7633.5918.546.8718.844.440.93-
2022/41.32-2.736.515.1118.943.731.1-
2022/31.3629.6316.313.7923.993.790.87-
2022/21.05-24.2123.032.4328.743.980.83-
2022/11.38-10.6433.431.3833.434.340.76-
2021/121.559.7631.3414.7112.184.320.68-
2021/111.413.0529.4813.1710.293.980.73-
2021/101.3713.6128.9811.768.373.80.77-
2021/91.2-1.766.1110.396.143.490.82-
2021/81.2315.0716.219.196.143.40.84-
2021/71.06-4.5-12.97.964.743.670.78-
2021/61.11-25.08-9.836.98.133.840.74-
2021/51.4920.0423.915.7812.443.90.73-
2021/41.246.21-1.924.298.953.260.87-
2021/31.1737.126.33.0514.093.050.97-
2021/20.85-17.811.941.8919.53.060.97-
2021/11.04-12.0439.221.0439.223.30.9-
2020/121.188.210.0713.111.093.330.78-
2020/111.092.65-2.8511.940.283.280.79-
2020/101.06-6.52-5.3610.850.613.250.8-
2020/91.137.58-3.679.791.33.410.86-
2020/81.05-13.75-13.498.651.993.510.83-
2020/71.22-1.1312.857.64.593.660.8-
2020/61.242.94-3.456.383.143.70.76-
2020/51.2-4.991.785.144.873.560.79-
2020/41.2615.1317.133.945.843.20.88-
2020/31.131.497.62.681.242.681.01-
2020/20.8312.2413.031.58-2.752.651.02-
2020/10.74-30.45-15.930.74-15.932.930.92-
2019/121.07-4.519.7712.9720.060.0N/A-
2019/111.120.09.0611.921.080.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/11.592023/11.342022/11.382021/11.042020/10.74
2024/21.52023/21.372022/21.052021/20.852020/20.83
2024/31.592023/31.722022/31.362021/31.172020/31.1
2024/41.832023/41.572022/41.322021/41.242020/41.26
2024/51.782023/51.472022/51.762021/51.492020/51.2
2024/61.552023/61.562022/61.862021/61.112020/61.24
2024/71.742023/71.52022/71.822021/71.062020/71.22
2024/81.962023/81.692022/81.782021/81.232020/81.05
2024/91.862023/91.522022/91.822021/91.22020/91.13
2024/101.52023/101.512022/101.652021/101.372020/101.06
N/AN/A2023/111.552022/111.792021/111.412020/111.09
N/AN/A2023/121.552022/121.712021/121.552020/121.18
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 9.96%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.27-22.868.0
24Q2 (19)0.3559.0984.21
24Q1 (18)0.2210.0100.0
23Q4 (17)0.2-20.0185.71
23Q3 (16)0.2531.58257.14
23Q2 (15)0.1972.73-50.0
23Q1 (14)0.1157.14175.0
22Q4 (13)0.070.00.0
22Q3 (12)0.07-81.5840.0
22Q2 (11)0.38850.0375.0
22Q1 (10)0.04-42.86300.0
21Q4 (9)0.0740.0250.0
21Q3 (8)0.05-37.5150.0
21Q2 (7)0.08700.0300.0
21Q1 (6)0.01-50.0-50.0
20Q4 (5)0.020.0-33.33
20Q3 (4)0.020.00.0
20Q2 (3)0.020.00.0
20Q1 (2)0.02-33.330.0
19Q4 (1)0.030.00.0

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