玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/104.1118.2479.9828.7610.4311.59N/A歐洲綠能產品銷售進入旺季,台灣自動化市場需求回溫及併入怡進營收,故本月營收較去年變動達79.98%
2024/93.48-13.0324.8824.653.759.960.98-
2024/84.061.1657.1421.170.949.031.08因本業營收回溫加上併購子公司怡進,故本月營收較去年8月變動達57.14%
2024/72.48-2.860.417.17-6.817.741.26-
2024/62.55-5.392.1914.69-7.937.670.75-
2024/52.711.980.0112.14-9.817.710.75-
2024/42.41-7.21-12.489.44-12.286.830.85-
2024/32.643.04-14.657.02-12.217.020.88-
2024/21.82-30.35-27.644.43-10.716.570.94-
2024/12.6121.696.662.616.667.090.87-
2023/122.14-8.12-22.1230.52-18.756.760.99-
2023/112.332.11-19.4128.37-18.487.40.9-
2023/102.28-17.95-21.8826.04-18.47.610.88-
2023/92.789.422.6123.76-18.057.80.91111/7/1取得達昇能源100%股權,係屬共同控制下組織重整,應視為自始即取得,故追溯重編去年合併營收。
2023/82.542.97-13.7120.97-20.187.520.95111/7/1取得達昇能源100%股權,係屬共同控制下組織重整,應視為自始即取得,故追溯重編去年合併營收。
2023/72.47-1.13-25.4318.43-21.07.670.93111/7/1取得達昇能源100%股權,係屬共同控制下組織重整,應視為自始即取得,故追溯重編去年合併營收。
2023/62.5-7.4-29.3515.96-20.277.950.92111/7/1取得達昇能源100%股權,係屬共同控制下組織重整,應視為自始即取得,故追溯重編去年合併營收。
2023/52.7-2.01-19.7313.46-18.328.50.86111/7/1取得達昇能源100%股權,係屬共同控制下組織重整,應視為自始即取得,故追溯重編去年合併營收。
2023/42.76-9.51-24.0610.76-17.958.310.88111/7/1取得達昇能源100%股權,係屬共同控制下組織重整,應視為自始即取得,故追溯重編去年合併營收。
2023/33.0421.26-22.838.0-15.628.01.03111/7/1取得達昇能源100%股權,係屬共同控制下組織重整,應視為自始即取得,故追溯重編去年合併營收。
2023/22.512.67-0.784.96-10.487.711.07111/7/1取得達昇能源100%股權,係屬共同控制下組織重整,應視為自始即取得,故追溯重編去年合併營收。
2023/12.45-11.15-18.652.45-18.658.091.02111/7/1取得達昇能源100%股權,係屬共同控制下組織重整,應視為自始即取得,故追溯重編去年合併營收。
2022/122.75-4.92-12.9437.562.668.571.05111/7/1取得達昇能源100%股權,係屬共同控制下組織重整,應視為自始即取得,故追溯重編去年合併營收及今年累計營收數。
2022/112.9-1.0216.6834.814.148.531.05111/7/1取得達昇能源100%股權,係屬共同控制下組織重整,應視為自始即取得,故追溯重編去年合併營收及今年累計營收數。
2022/102.927.78-2.1731.923.138.591.04111/7/1取得達昇能源100%股權,係屬共同控制下組織重整,應視為自始即取得,故追溯重編去年合併營收及今年累計營收數。
2022/92.71-7.99-9.7128.723.958.981.1-
2022/82.95-11.01-2.5426.015.629.781.01-
2022/73.31-5.827.7623.066.7710.170.97-
2022/63.525.4810.519.756.610.40.89-
2022/53.34-5.8-4.3316.235.7910.80.86-
2022/43.54-9.715.4512.898.789.910.93-
2022/33.9260.418.789.356.449.350.87-
2022/22.45-17.8714.715.42-0.988.260.98-
2022/12.984.83-10.992.98-10.998.270.98-
2021/122.8415.891.1535.5529.067.920.84-
2021/112.45-6.74-7.8132.7132.238.090.82-
2021/102.63-12.5428.030.2637.058.660.77-
2021/93.01-0.6832.127.6337.989.110.54-
2021/83.03-1.5947.6224.6238.739.290.53-
2021/73.08-3.4343.3921.637.579.750.5-
2021/63.18-8.6846.4318.5236.659.740.51-
2021/53.4913.6748.3215.3434.789.860.5新產品開始貢獻營收,5月營收創3年來新高
2021/43.07-7.113.6711.8531.268.50.58-
2021/33.354.918.338.7838.768.780.45-
2021/22.13-36.2839.075.4867.058.290.48年增加達50%以上,主要係因去年受疫情影響大陸子公司春節延遲復工營業天數較少所致。
2021/13.3519.1491.63.3591.68.810.45主要係因109年1月適逢農曆春節營業天數較少,致營收增加百分比大於50%以上
2020/122.815.617.0227.54-5.537.520.6-
2020/112.6629.4916.8924.74-6.776.990.65-
2020/102.05-9.7412.322.08-8.996.380.71-
2020/92.2810.9713.5120.02-10.726.470.81-
2020/82.05-4.41-11.3817.75-13.16.370.82-
2020/72.14-1.37-9.2315.7-13.326.670.78-
2020/62.17-7.5-16.9913.55-13.947.230.77-
2020/52.35-12.87-10.8111.38-13.338.10.69-
2020/42.7-11.47-12.179.03-13.967.280.76-
2020/33.0598.870.996.33-14.716.330.82-
2020/21.53-12.22-11.883.28-25.485.90.88-
2020/11.75-33.44-34.371.75-34.376.650.78-
2019/122.6215.350.9329.16-20.460.0N/A-
2019/112.2724.41-21.7826.53-22.10.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/12.612023/12.452022/12.982021/13.352020/11.75
2024/21.822023/22.512022/22.452021/22.132020/21.53
2024/32.62023/33.042022/33.922021/33.32020/33.05
2024/42.412023/42.762022/43.542021/43.072020/42.7
2024/52.72023/52.72022/53.342021/53.492020/52.35
2024/62.552023/62.52022/63.522021/63.182020/62.17
2024/72.482023/72.472022/73.312021/73.082020/72.14
2024/84.02023/82.542022/82.952021/83.032020/82.05
2024/93.482023/92.782022/92.712021/93.012020/92.28
2024/104.112023/102.282022/102.922021/102.632020/102.05
N/AN/A2023/112.332022/112.92021/112.452020/112.66
N/AN/A2023/122.142022/122.752021/122.842020/122.81
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 6.15%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.6972.523.21
24Q2 (19)0.4-20.0-29.82
24Q1 (18)0.513.64-38.27
23Q4 (17)0.44-21.43-59.26
23Q3 (16)0.56-1.75-57.58
23Q2 (15)0.57-29.63-50.0
23Q1 (14)0.81-25.0-37.21
22Q4 (13)1.08-18.18-14.29
22Q3 (12)1.3215.79-14.29
22Q2 (11)1.14-11.6318.75
22Q1 (10)1.292.3851.76
21Q4 (9)1.26-18.1880.0
21Q3 (8)1.5460.42129.85
21Q2 (7)0.9612.9454.84
21Q1 (6)0.8521.4346.55
20Q4 (5)0.74.48-2.78
20Q3 (4)0.678.060.0
20Q2 (3)0.626.90.0
20Q1 (2)0.58-19.440.0
19Q4 (1)0.720.00.0

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