玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/101.273.46-0.5812.515.023.82N/A-
2024/91.23-6.03-0.1411.235.73.810.13-
2024/81.313.35-1.8210.06.463.790.13-
2024/71.275.08.78.697.843.790.13-
2024/61.21-7.75-1.037.427.693.770.15-
2024/51.314.430.536.219.573.870.14-
2024/41.25-4.3610.064.912.273.440.16-
2024/31.3149.323.133.6513.043.650.16-
2024/20.88-39.87-20.462.3419.483.80.15-
2024/11.46-0.0771.191.4671.194.40.13112/01適逢農曆春節 營業天數較少
2023/121.46-0.974.814.84-3.374.220.12-
2023/111.4815.13-7.6413.38-4.183.990.13-
2023/101.283.91-16.0611.91-3.733.850.14-
2023/91.23-7.6-8.2610.63-2.03.740.14-
2023/81.3414.441.179.39-1.113.720.14-
2023/71.17-4.4-3.668.06-1.483.690.14-
2023/61.22-6.3-8.216.89-1.13.660.16-
2023/51.314.334.245.670.573.710.15-
2023/41.14-10.381.594.37-0.473.510.16-
2023/31.2715.154.03.23-1.183.230.22-
2023/21.129.4125.791.96-4.283.350.21-
2023/10.85-38.82-26.90.85-26.93.850.18-
2022/121.39-12.741.4715.3614.164.520.14-
2022/111.64.6321.7813.9715.64.470.14-
2022/101.5313.5732.0912.3714.854.190.15-
2022/91.341.929.6810.8412.783.880.16-
2022/81.328.9618.649.510.733.860.16-
2022/71.21-8.9213.658.189.553.790.16-
2022/61.336.4120.556.978.873.70.17-
2022/51.2511.4221.915.646.443.590.18-
2022/41.12-8.25-2.914.392.733.220.2-
2022/31.2239.276.663.274.823.270.19-
2022/20.88-24.814.522.043.753.420.18-
2022/11.17-15.07-3.091.17-3.093.850.16-
2021/121.374.72-1.1713.467.363.840.16-
2021/111.3113.481.4612.088.433.510.18-
2021/101.1611.55.6710.779.343.310.19-
2021/91.04-6.77-11.579.619.83.210.18-
2021/81.114.383.18.5813.113.280.18-
2021/71.07-3.39-5.137.4614.763.190.18-
2021/61.17.623.356.418.923.280.22-
2021/51.02-11.2622.725.322.773.330.22-
2021/41.150.7937.874.2722.793.070.23-
2021/31.1549.5418.923.1218.03.120.17-
2021/20.77-36.37-17.481.9717.473.360.15-
2021/11.2-13.3960.841.260.843.890.13109/01適逢農曆春節 營業天數較少
2020/121.397.526.612.53-4.953.780.13-
2020/111.2918.27.6411.14-6.223.560.14-
2020/101.09-6.69-5.299.85-7.793.350.15-
2020/91.178.719.538.76-8.13.370.14-
2020/81.08-3.963.847.58-11.283.270.14-
2020/71.125.253.436.5-13.213.030.16-
2020/61.0727.79-9.45.38-16.042.740.18-
2020/50.84-0.3-26.224.31-17.542.640.18-
2020/40.84-13.05-19.23.48-15.142.730.18-
2020/30.963.75-11.42.64-13.762.640.22-
2020/20.9324.0311.941.68-15.052.980.19-
2020/10.75-42.6-34.590.75-34.593.250.18-
2019/121.38.570.7213.19-9.410.0N/A-
2019/111.23.99-18.7111.88-10.410.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/11.462023/10.852022/11.172021/11.22020/10.75
2024/20.882023/21.12022/20.882021/20.772020/20.93
2024/31.312023/31.272022/31.222021/31.152020/30.96
2024/41.252023/41.142022/41.122021/41.152020/40.84
2024/51.312023/51.32022/51.252021/51.022020/50.84
2024/61.212023/61.222022/61.332021/61.12020/61.07
2024/71.272023/71.172022/71.212021/71.072020/71.12
2024/81.312023/81.342022/81.322021/81.112020/81.08
2024/91.232023/91.232022/91.342021/91.042020/91.17
2024/101.272023/101.282022/101.532021/101.162020/101.09
N/AN/A2023/111.482022/111.62021/111.312020/111.29
N/AN/A2023/121.462022/121.392021/121.372020/121.39
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 3.63%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.244.359.09
24Q2 (19)0.23-4.170.0
24Q1 (18)0.249.099.09
23Q4 (17)0.220.00.0
23Q3 (16)0.22-4.35-4.35
23Q2 (15)0.234.55-4.17
23Q1 (14)0.220.0-4.35
22Q4 (13)0.22-4.350.0
22Q3 (12)0.23-4.170.0
22Q2 (11)0.244.354.35
22Q1 (10)0.234.554.55
21Q4 (9)0.22-4.350.0
21Q3 (8)0.230.015.0
21Q2 (7)0.234.559.52
21Q1 (6)0.220.00.0
20Q4 (5)0.2210.010.0
20Q3 (4)0.2-4.760.0
20Q2 (3)0.21-4.550.0
20Q1 (2)0.2210.00.0
19Q4 (1)0.20.00.0

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