玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/100.994.7618.099.61-1.773.12N/A-
2024/90.95-19.42-8.338.62-3.643.250.38-
2024/81.184.641.477.67-3.033.220.39-
2024/71.1222.99.976.49-3.813.210.39-
2024/60.92-22.02-16.265.37-6.273.070.42-
2024/51.1719.59-5.834.45-3.913.080.42-
2024/40.985.619.493.28-3.212.430.53-
2024/30.9380.74-12.942.29-10.492.290.6-
2024/20.51-39.57-37.081.37-8.742.330.59-
2024/10.85-12.0525.390.8525.392.860.48-
2023/120.97-7.3925.7811.812.862.850.47-
2023/111.0424.1825.410.8311.832.920.46-
2023/100.84-18.6728.579.7810.553.040.44-
2023/91.03-10.840.68.949.113.220.42-
2023/81.1613.4163.637.916.013.280.41本月營收較去年同期增加64%,主係筆記型電腦(NB)庫存去化已差不多,因此筆電用轉印膜銷售成長所致。
2023/71.02-6.4127.046.75-0.043.360.4-
2023/61.09-12.3210.865.72-3.713.160.44-
2023/51.2551.7713.974.63-6.63.140.45-
2023/40.82-23.06-8.133.38-12.432.710.52-
2023/31.0730.61-9.462.56-13.722.560.53-
2023/20.8220.4310.621.5-16.532.270.6-
2023/10.68-11.78-35.570.68-35.572.280.6-
2022/120.77-7.67-25.5410.45-7.322.260.57-
2022/110.8327.32-20.269.68-5.482.220.58-
2022/100.65-11.07-24.148.85-3.82.10.61-
2022/90.743.81-9.498.2-1.72.250.66-
2022/80.71-11.941.027.46-0.862.50.59-
2022/70.81-18.33-0.486.75-1.052.880.51-
2022/60.99-9.8517.435.95-1.132.970.59-
2022/51.0922.3216.84.96-4.143.170.56-
2022/40.89-24.17-19.453.87-8.772.810.63-
2022/31.1859.59-2.642.97-4.982.970.53-
2022/20.74-29.85-3.571.79-6.462.830.56-
2022/11.051.95-8.381.05-8.383.130.5-
2021/121.03-1.13-21.9511.28-9.862.940.5-
2021/111.0521.135.9710.25-8.432.720.54-
2021/100.866.09-23.49.2-9.822.380.62-
2021/90.8115.88-30.318.34-8.142.320.73-
2021/80.7-13.26-41.867.52-4.872.350.72-
2021/70.81-3.63-38.226.821.782.580.65-
2021/60.84-10.34-22.56.0111.52.890.74-
2021/50.94-15.64-11.765.1720.053.260.65-
2021/41.11-8.355.764.2430.443.090.69-
2021/31.2158.079.613.1342.233.130.63-
2021/20.77-33.3544.971.9275.183.240.6本年累計營收較去年同期增加75%,主係受疫情影響筆記型電腦(NB)用轉印膜銷售上升所致。
2021/11.15-13.14103.421.15103.423.460.57本月營收較去年同期增加103%,主係受疫情影響筆記型電腦(NB)用轉印膜銷售上升所致。
2020/121.3234.2440.7212.5122.743.440.49-
2020/110.99-12.442.6511.1920.913.280.52-
2020/101.13-3.4611.1110.223.023.50.48-
2020/91.17-3.3212.169.0824.683.680.41-
2020/81.21-7.8413.37.9126.773.60.42-
2020/71.3120.8940.096.729.543.450.43-
2020/61.082.0835.525.3927.213.190.42-
2020/51.061.127.24.3125.283.220.41-
2020/41.05-5.0141.13.2524.672.680.5-
2020/31.1109.0663.22.218.12.20.66本月營收較去年同期增加63%,主係受疫情影響筆記型電腦(NB)用轉印膜銷售上升所致。
2020/20.53-6.4820.61.09-7.662.030.72-
2020/10.57-39.92-24.260.57-24.262.470.59-
2019/120.94-2.076.210.190.610.0N/A-
2019/110.96-5.230.29.250.080.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/10.852023/10.682022/11.052021/11.152020/10.57
2024/20.512023/20.822022/20.742021/20.772020/20.53
2024/30.932023/31.072022/31.182021/31.212020/31.1
2024/40.982023/40.822022/40.892021/41.112020/41.05
2024/51.172023/51.252022/51.092021/50.942020/51.06
2024/60.922023/61.092022/60.992021/60.842020/61.08
2024/71.122023/71.022022/70.812021/70.812020/71.31
2024/81.182023/81.162022/80.712021/80.72020/81.21
2024/90.952023/91.032022/90.742021/90.812020/91.17
2024/100.992023/100.842022/100.652021/100.862020/101.13
N/AN/A2023/111.042022/110.832021/111.052020/110.99
N/AN/A2023/120.972022/120.772021/121.032020/121.32
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季
合約負債 QoQ YoY

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