玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/103.26-3.32-2.1841.9918.311.11N/A-
2024/93.37-24.578.5738.7320.4311.420.07-
2024/84.4725.15111.4535.3521.712.230.07土壤整治專案入帳及子公司挹注發電收入,營收增加
2024/73.58-14.56126.1130.8814.6512.70.06土壤整治專案入帳及子公司挹注發電收入,營收增加
2024/64.18-15.2712.4527.37.714.490.04-
2024/54.94-7.99-2.8623.126.8815.710.04-
2024/45.37-0.6646.8118.189.8714.170.04-
2024/35.459.2449.4412.81-0.5912.810.04-
2024/23.39-15.48-26.797.41-20.1110.840.04-
2024/14.0217.09-13.434.02-13.4311.270.04-
2023/123.43-10.37-27.0342.75-18.5410.590.06-
2023/113.8314.7-28.6739.32-17.7110.270.06-
2023/103.347.3-25.5235.49-16.328.560.07-
2023/93.1146.89-40.1932.16-15.246.810.1-
2023/82.1233.83-56.6629.05-11.287.420.09土 壤整治專案完成,營收減少
2023/71.58-57.51-60.3626.93-3.3210.390.07土 壤整治專案完成,營收減少
2023/63.72-26.81-13.8425.356.212.460.05-
2023/55.0839.0523.6721.6310.6212.360.05-
2023/43.661.11-13.5616.557.1511.910.05-
2023/33.62-21.99-5.7412.8914.9612.890.05-
2023/24.64-0.0534.369.2725.7413.970.05-
2023/14.64-1.318.154.6418.1514.70.04-
2022/124.7-12.3861.3852.4873.4814.540.04土 壤整治專案入帳,營收增加
2022/115.3619.7782.2647.7874.7715.040.04土壤整治專案入帳,營收增加
2022/104.48-13.8268.242.4273.8614.560.04土 壤整治專案入帳,營收增加
2022/95.26.4387.8537.9474.5614.070.05土壤整治專案入帳,營收增加
2022/84.8822.3985.132.7472.6213.190.06土壤整治專案入帳,營收增加
2022/73.99-7.6279.5927.8670.612.420.06土壤整治專案入帳,營收增加
2022/64.325.05157.4723.8769.1912.660.06土壤整治專案入帳,營收增加
2022/54.11-2.81111.7319.5557.2712.180.06土壤整治專案入帳,營收增加
2022/44.2310.2582.2515.4447.211.520.07土壤整治專案入帳,營收增加
2022/33.8411.1925.1311.2137.2411.210.07-
2022/23.45-12.124.467.3844.5110.290.08-
2022/13.9334.868.353.9368.359.780.08子公司挹注之紙業收入,較去年同期增加38.47%。
2021/122.91-1.0429.930.2512.868.520.09-
2021/112.9410.5333.4527.3411.38.370.09-
2021/102.66-3.7518.3224.49.128.070.09-
2021/92.774.8824.5221.738.097.630.1-
2021/82.6418.7410.4718.976.056.540.11-
2021/72.2232.42-11.3916.335.375.840.12-
2021/61.68-13.61-23.7214.118.65.940.0-
2021/51.94-16.34-14.1112.4315.197.330.0-
2021/42.32-24.2915.4110.4922.958.160.0-
2021/33.0710.5920.468.1725.288.170.0-
2021/22.7718.8837.165.128.377.350.0-
2021/12.334.0119.282.3319.286.780.0-
2020/122.241.65-10.4526.8-1.096.70.0-
2020/112.21-2.0-0.4124.56-0.146.680.0-
2020/102.251.28-13.5122.36-0.116.860.0-
2020/92.22-6.95-1.3720.111.647.120.0-
2020/82.39-4.759.7917.892.037.090.0-
2020/72.5113.9824.8715.50.946.970.0-
2020/62.2-2.7211.8512.99-2.656.470.0-
2020/52.2612.424.0410.79-5.166.820.0-
2020/42.01-20.98-16.338.53-7.346.580.0-
2020/32.5525.9218.736.52-4.166.520.0-
2020/22.023.39-4.433.98-14.696.480.0-
2020/11.95-21.91-23.211.95-23.216.670.0-
2019/122.513.04-12.8227.1-20.190.0N/A-
2019/112.21-14.89-6.7424.6-20.870.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/14.022023/14.642022/13.932021/12.332020/11.95
2024/23.392023/24.642022/23.452021/22.772020/22.02
2024/35.42023/33.622022/33.842021/33.072020/32.55
2024/45.372023/43.662022/44.232021/42.322020/42.01
2024/54.942023/55.082022/54.112021/51.942020/52.26
2024/64.182023/63.722022/64.322021/61.682020/62.2
2024/73.582023/71.582022/73.992021/72.222020/72.51
2024/84.472023/82.122022/84.882021/82.642020/82.39
2024/93.372023/93.112022/95.22021/92.772020/92.22
2024/103.262023/103.342022/104.482021/102.662020/102.25
N/AN/A2023/113.832022/115.362021/112.942020/112.21
N/AN/A2023/123.432022/124.72021/122.912020/122.24
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 39.2%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)4.281845.45140.45
24Q2 (19)0.22214.290
24Q1 (18)0.0740.00
23Q4 (17)0.05-97.190
23Q3 (16)1.78017700.0

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