玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/100.92-1.347.158.013.282.92N/A-
2024/90.93-12.1810.137.092.82.940.24-
2024/81.0612.9513.016.161.772.830.25-
2024/70.9413.3318.015.1-0.282.610.27-
2024/60.83-0.858.024.16-3.662.490.26-
2024/50.841.124.063.33-6.22.280.29-
2024/40.8334.6212.242.49-9.211.760.38-
2024/30.6195.45-18.641.66-17.111.660.36-
2024/20.31-56.96-59.281.05-16.191.690.35因農曆新年假期導致工作天數較少
2024/10.7313.1353.880.7353.882.150.27去年1月中開始農曆新年假期
2023/120.65-16.291.889.17-18.822.280.25-
2023/110.77-10.1214.228.53-20.052.480.23-
2023/100.861.42.627.76-22.372.650.22-
2023/90.85-9.89-8.846.9-24.652.580.22-
2023/80.9417.95-1.016.05-26.442.510.23-
2023/70.83.74-25.015.11-29.762.370.24-
2023/60.77-4.48-29.134.31-30.572.310.21-
2023/50.89.07-21.333.55-30.882.30.21-
2023/40.74-2.43-31.582.74-33.252.270.21-
2023/30.76-2.17-16.992.0-33.852.00.23-
2023/20.7762.63-9.791.25-41.11.880.25-
2023/10.48-25.09-62.350.48-62.351.790.26因客戶仍持續去化庫存導致需求疲弱及農曆春節期間工作日減少,致本期營業收入淨額較去年同期減少。
2022/120.63-6.15-56.7411.3-16.642.150.25客戶去化庫存故需求減少
2022/110.68-19.25-47.6610.67-11.782.440.22-
2022/100.84-9.93-27.469.99-7.492.720.2-
2022/90.93-2.15-27.579.16-5.12.940.2-
2022/80.95-10.64-13.278.23-1.653.10.19-
2022/71.06-1.943.77.280.093.170.19-
2022/61.086.018.056.21-0.53.180.18-
2022/51.02-5.125.995.13-2.133.010.19-
2022/41.0818.3719.664.11-3.972.840.2-
2022/30.916.29-20.333.03-10.273.030.19-
2022/20.86-32.11-3.372.12-5.133.580.16-
2022/11.26-13.94-6.291.26-6.294.020.14-
2021/121.4713.5411.0813.5630.33.910.12-
2021/111.2911.94.7812.0933.093.730.12-
2021/101.15-10.0610.010.837.543.530.13-
2021/91.2817.1523.549.6541.783.40.08-
2021/81.16.8521.228.3645.073.120.08-
2021/71.022.1637.577.2749.52.990.09-
2021/61.03.9967.956.2451.662.870.06主要係泰國子公司尚未成長
2021/50.967.137.685.2448.93.010.05-
2021/40.9-21.181.924.2851.692.930.05本年度客戶訂單較去年同期增加,兩地工廠出貨順利,致使營收較去年同期成長。
2021/31.1428.9122.813.3874.413.380.04本月營收較去年同期增加,主要係客戶需求強勁與產品出貨順暢。
2021/20.89-34.16130.32.23122.183.550.04本月營收較去年同期增加,主係去年受疫情影響,導致深圳區工廠業務延期。
2021/11.352.01117.141.35117.143.90.04本月營收較去年同期增加,主要係客戶需求強勁與新產品出貨順暢,且今年一月較去年同期工作天數增加。
2020/121.327.163.2310.4132.533.60.03本月營收較去年同期增加,主要係客戶需求強勁與新產品出貨順暢
2020/111.2317.4755.979.0929.03.320.03本月營收較去年同期增加,主要係因深圳及泰國廠區客戶需求增加所致。
2020/101.051.0139.487.8525.62.990.04-
2020/91.0414.9520.76.823.72.690.05-
2020/80.921.2610.175.7724.252.250.06-
2020/70.7524.72-1.624.8627.282.040.06-
2020/60.6-14.749.254.1234.432.180.07-
2020/50.7-20.7139.153.5239.892.510.06-
2020/40.88-5.0364.982.8240.082.20.07本月營收較去年同期增加,主要係因深圳及泰國廠區客戶需求增加所致。
2020/30.93141.7472.841.9431.051.940.1本月營收較去年同期增加,主要係因泰國廠區客戶需求增加所致。
2020/20.38-37.929.381.017.081.810.11-
2020/10.62-23.35.70.625.72.220.09-
2019/120.812.3330.867.85-20.940.0N/A-
2019/110.795.05-7.667.04-24.380.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/10.732023/10.482022/11.262021/11.352020/10.62
2024/20.312023/20.772022/20.862021/20.892020/20.38
2024/30.612023/30.762022/30.912021/31.142020/30.93
2024/40.832023/40.742022/41.082021/40.92020/40.88
2024/50.842023/50.82022/51.022021/50.962020/50.7
2024/60.832023/60.772022/61.082021/61.02020/60.6
2024/70.942023/70.82022/71.062021/71.022020/70.75
2024/81.062023/80.942022/80.952021/81.12020/80.9
2024/90.932023/90.852022/90.932021/91.282020/91.04
2024/100.922023/100.862022/100.842021/101.152020/101.05
N/AN/A2023/110.772022/110.682021/111.292020/111.23
N/AN/A2023/120.652022/120.632021/121.472020/121.32
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季
合約負債 QoQ YoY

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