玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/100.92-19.22-3.359.08-7.592.93N/A-
2024/91.1329.674.348.16-8.042.691.81-
2024/80.8728.42-10.17.03-9.772.292.13-
2024/70.68-6.7-20.816.15-9.732.322.1-
2024/60.73-19.86-16.355.47-8.122.431.96-
2024/50.9115.42-23.214.74-6.712.671.78-
2024/40.79-18.75-12.43.83-1.692.851.67-
2024/30.97-10.5714.713.041.533.041.46-
2024/21.0910.5223.322.07-3.663.071.44-
2024/10.98-1.93-22.420.98-22.422.941.51-
2023/121.04.57-12.6611.79-4.962.911.57-
2023/110.961.11-11.310.79-4.172.991.53-
2023/100.95-12.795.069.83-3.413.011.52-
2023/91.0911.7125.218.88-4.242.921.72-
2023/80.9713.11-8.867.79-7.282.711.85-
2023/70.86-1.45-14.176.82-7.052.921.72-
2023/60.87-26.44-9.815.96-5.932.961.76-
2023/51.1931.6734.645.08-5.232.941.78-
2023/40.96.39-7.43.9-13.072.631.98-
2023/30.85-3.86-22.453.0-14.643.01.81-
2023/20.88-30.47-20.92.15-11.113.31.64-
2023/11.2710.39-2.731.27-2.733.51.55-
2022/121.156.21-2.8912.414.083.131.82-
2022/111.0819.77-10.9111.2616.152.852.0-
2022/100.93.93-10.0110.1720.022.842.01-
2022/90.87-18.697.449.2724.052.942.04-
2022/81.076.5219.798.426.073.041.97-
2022/71.03.5669.077.3427.032.852.1疫情趨緩
2022/60.979.8198.786.3322.222.821.93疫情趨緩
2022/50.88-9.4442.515.3714.282.951.85-
2022/40.97-10.9-1.64.4810.03.181.72-
2022/31.09-1.9320.093.5113.723.511.59-
2022/21.11-14.5-3.92.4211.063.61.55-
2022/11.310.2128.121.328.123.71.51-
2021/121.18-2.56-27.2410.87-20.113.41.66-
2021/111.2120.98-0.89.69-19.143.021.86-
2021/101.024.09-8.618.48-21.232.72.09-
2021/90.81-9.34-24.647.47-22.662.292.64-
2021/80.8950.34-28.326.67-22.411.973.07-
2021/70.5921.76-45.495.77-21.411.73.56-
2021/60.49-21.26-54.315.18-17.232.12.84受新冠肺炎疫情影響
2021/50.62-37.47-53.04.69-9.622.522.36受新冠肺炎疫情影響
2021/40.998.7441.434.085.093.061.95-
2021/30.91-21.5311.063.09-2.893.091.92-
2021/21.1614.030.372.18-7.743.81.56-
2021/11.02-37.42-30.81.02-30.83.871.54-
2020/121.6332.855.2713.61-13.853.951.51-
2020/111.2211.46-16.9711.99-15.933.391.76-
2020/101.12.32-20.310.76-15.83.411.75-
2020/91.07-13.77-16.239.66-15.263.41.98-
2020/81.2414.340.148.59-15.143.41.99-
2020/71.092.04-7.197.35-17.283.471.95-
2020/61.07-18.99-8.886.26-18.813.082.32-
2020/51.3288.14-4.715.19-20.592.832.53-
2020/40.7-14.6-36.873.88-24.842.412.97-
2020/30.82-7.89-28.973.18-21.543.182.37-
2020/20.89-39.49-36.292.36-18.593.91.93-
2020/11.47-4.78-2.141.47-2.144.491.68-
2019/121.544.778.4715.8-3.060.0N/A-
2019/111.476.9823.6714.26-4.170.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/10.982023/11.272022/11.32021/11.022020/11.47
2024/21.092023/20.882022/21.112021/21.162020/20.89
2024/30.972023/30.852022/31.092021/30.912020/30.82
2024/40.792023/40.92022/40.972021/40.992020/40.7
2024/50.912023/51.192022/50.882021/50.622020/51.32
2024/60.732023/60.872022/60.972021/60.492020/61.07
2024/70.682023/70.862022/71.02021/70.592020/71.09
2024/80.872023/80.972022/81.072021/80.892020/81.24
2024/91.132023/91.092022/90.872021/90.812020/91.07
2024/100.922023/100.952022/100.92021/101.02020/101.1
N/AN/A2023/110.962022/111.082021/111.212020/111.22
N/AN/A2023/121.02022/121.152021/121.182020/121.63
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 57.93%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)3.871.844.88
24Q2 (19)3.81.884.11
24Q1 (18)3.730.03.32
23Q4 (17)3.731.084.78
23Q3 (16)3.691.17.58
23Q2 (15)3.651.117.04
23Q1 (14)3.611.44.64
22Q4 (13)3.563.792.59
22Q3 (12)3.430.591.18
22Q2 (11)3.41-1.161.79
22Q1 (10)3.45-0.584.55
21Q4 (9)3.472.366.44
21Q3 (8)3.391.190.3
21Q2 (7)3.351.52-2.05
21Q1 (6)3.31.23-5.44
20Q4 (5)3.26-3.55-11.89
20Q3 (4)3.38-1.170.0
20Q2 (3)3.42-2.010.0
20Q1 (2)3.49-5.680.0
19Q4 (1)3.70.00.0

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