玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/11155.7390.932.731028.163.32319.74N/A-
2024/1081.56-1.082.67872.443.42251.63N/A-
2024/982.45-5.893.1790.883.5255.530.19-
2024/887.622.531.65708.423.55268.670.18-
2024/785.46-10.61.02620.83.82270.830.18-
2024/695.596.483.05535.354.29266.570.15-
2024/589.7810.560.01439.754.56261.210.16-
2024/481.2-10.012.0349.985.79253.320.16-
2024/390.2410.196.55268.786.99268.780.14-
2024/281.89-15.273.66178.547.22275.880.14-
2024/196.65-0.710.4396.6510.43345.580.11-
2023/1297.34-35.781.811092.435.61328.360.14-
2023/11151.5890.824.27995.096.0310.990.15-
2023/1079.44-0.663.09843.516.31245.60.19-
2023/979.97-7.226.57764.076.66250.750.19-
2023/886.191.896.18684.16.67263.540.18-
2023/784.59-8.86.56597.916.74267.110.18-
2023/692.763.334.64513.326.77262.120.17-
2023/589.7612.764.06420.577.25254.050.17-
2023/479.6-6.04.07330.88.15243.280.18-
2023/384.697.212.46251.29.51251.20.17-
2023/278.99-9.7413.0166.528.07262.120.16-
2023/187.52-8.443.9787.523.97328.50.13-
2022/1295.6-34.2319.31034.3617.01318.030.14-
2022/11145.3888.6718.83938.7616.78297.460.15-
2022/1077.052.6916.32793.3916.41233.260.19-
2022/975.03-7.5615.26716.3416.42235.580.2-
2022/881.172.2612.35641.316.56249.190.19-
2022/779.37-10.4510.65560.1317.2254.280.18-
2022/688.642.766.46480.7618.35251.380.14-
2022/586.2612.786.11392.1221.42238.040.15-
2022/476.481.5731.79305.8626.57221.680.16-
2022/375.37.7223.26229.3724.92229.370.15-
2022/269.9-16.9526.99154.0825.74234.210.15-
2022/184.175.0424.7384.1724.73286.640.12-
2021/1280.13-34.4923.62883.9731.54268.70.14-
2021/11122.3384.6832.03803.8432.39253.660.15-
2021/1066.241.7434.39681.5132.45203.580.18-
2021/965.1-9.8931.24615.2732.25209.070.19-
2021/872.240.7131.74550.1732.37227.240.17-
2021/771.73-13.8439.57477.9332.46236.280.17-
2021/683.262.4252.29406.1931.28222.580.1受惠疫情影響,加速無接觸經濟發展,且618檔期帶動營收大幅成長。
2021/581.2940.0746.67322.9326.77200.410.11-
2021/458.03-4.9920.27241.6521.24174.160.13-
2021/361.0910.9816.93183.6121.55183.610.15-
2021/255.04-18.4311.12122.5323.99187.340.14-
2021/167.484.1136.9267.4836.92224.950.12-
2020/1264.82-30.0325.59671.9829.64206.750.16-
2020/1192.6587.9838.66607.1630.09191.540.18-
2020/1049.29-0.6321.22514.5128.66153.720.22-
2020/949.6-9.5422.31465.2329.5155.830.19-
2020/854.846.6928.69415.6330.42160.90.19-
2020/751.39-5.9926.72360.7930.68161.480.19-
2020/654.67-1.3535.51309.431.37158.340.14-
2020/555.4214.8637.29254.7330.51155.910.14-
2020/448.25-7.6328.85199.3128.75150.020.14-
2020/352.245.4633.46151.0628.71151.060.14-
2020/249.530.4939.9598.8226.34150.430.14-
2020/149.29-4.515.0949.2915.090.0N/A-
2019/1251.61-22.7522.29518.323.350.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/196.652023/187.522022/184.172021/167.482020/149.29
2024/281.892023/278.992022/269.92021/255.042020/249.53
2024/390.242023/384.692022/375.32021/361.092020/352.24
2024/481.22023/479.62022/476.482021/458.032020/448.25
2024/589.782023/589.762022/586.262021/581.292020/555.42
2024/695.592023/692.762022/688.642021/683.262020/654.67
2024/785.462023/784.592022/779.372021/771.732020/751.39
2024/887.622023/886.192022/881.172021/872.242020/854.84
2024/982.452023/979.972022/975.032021/965.12020/949.6
2024/1081.562023/1079.442022/1077.052021/1066.242020/1049.29
2024/11155.732023/11151.582022/11145.382021/11122.332020/1192.65
N/AN/A2023/1297.342022/1295.62021/1280.132020/1264.82
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 4.6%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)1.16-23.6896.61
24Q2 (19)1.52181.48-1.3
24Q1 (18)0.54-59.09-8.47
23Q4 (17)1.32123.73-34.98
23Q3 (16)0.59-61.69-35.16
23Q2 (15)1.54161.02-1.28
23Q1 (14)0.59-70.94-7.81
22Q4 (13)2.03123.08136.05
22Q3 (12)0.91-41.6735.82
22Q2 (11)1.56143.75188.89
22Q1 (10)0.64-25.5872.97
21Q4 (9)0.8628.36145.71
21Q3 (8)0.6724.0776.32
21Q2 (7)0.5445.9514.89
21Q1 (6)0.375.71-28.85
20Q4 (5)0.35-7.89-18.6
20Q3 (4)0.38-19.150.0
20Q2 (3)0.47-9.620.0
20Q1 (2)0.5220.930.0
19Q4 (1)0.430.00.0

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