玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/104.480.4317.7842.1219.2913.47N/A-
2024/94.46-1.6919.2437.6419.4713.450.01-
2024/84.531.6516.9633.1919.513.30.01-
2024/74.463.6618.9328.6519.9113.10.01-
2024/64.3-0.8220.1124.1920.0912.770.01-
2024/54.345.1519.9119.8920.0912.50.01-
2024/44.132.1819.915.5520.1411.670.01-
2024/34.0414.9914.9911.4320.2211.430.01-
2024/23.51-9.4412.357.3923.2911.20.01-
2024/13.881.7335.223.8835.2211.530.01-
2023/123.81-0.8218.5942.9619.1211.450.01-
2023/113.841.1121.939.1519.1711.380.01-
2023/103.81.6822.4535.3118.8911.410.01-
2023/93.74-3.5723.4331.5118.4711.360.01-
2023/83.883.3620.027.7717.8311.210.01-
2023/73.754.6927.6523.8917.4910.950.01-
2023/63.58-0.9931.920.1415.7710.640.01-
2023/53.625.1333.7716.5612.7910.570.01-
2023/43.44-1.9916.9812.948.0510.080.01-
2023/33.5112.356.049.55.159.50.01-
2023/23.128.9815.085.994.639.210.01-
2023/12.87-10.77-4.792.87-4.799.230.01-
2022/123.211.933.9436.0638.389.470.01-
2022/113.151.57-1.3632.8543.029.280.01-
2022/103.12.4925.2829.750.29.360.01主係去年同期受疫情影響所致。
2022/93.03-6.2578.2126.5953.779.20.01主係去年同期受疫情影響所致。
2022/83.239.96181.2123.5751.18.880.01主係去年同期受疫情影響所致。
2022/72.948.17440.9420.3440.768.360.01去年同期因應第三級疫情警戒,配合政府防疫措施,全國廠館暫停營業,自7/13微解封後陸續恢復營業(部分據點7/27始復業)
2022/62.720.4142329.417.425.138.360.01主係因去年同期因應疫情警戒提升至第三級,配合政府防疫措施,全國廠館暫停營業所致。
2022/52.7-8.0674.814.685.658.960.01主係因去年同期因應疫情三級警戒,配合政府防疫措施,全國廠館自5/15起暫停營業所致。
2022/42.94-11.16-9.1711.98-3.08.970.01-
2022/33.3121.94-1.429.04-0.819.040.01-
2022/22.72-9.841.485.73-0.468.820.01-
2022/13.01-2.58-2.153.01-2.159.30.01-
2021/123.09-3.26-5.6726.06-29.178.770.02-
2021/113.229.02-2.022.97-31.477.370.02-
2021/102.4845.79-23.6519.77-34.655.320.03-
2021/91.747.92-49.6117.29-35.973.390.04-
2021/81.15111.52-65.3515.6-34.021.70.08本月營收及本年累計營收較去年同期減少係受疫情影響所致。
2021/70.548384.68-83.3214.45-28.912.10.07因應疫情警戒標準提升至三級,本公司配合政府防疫措施,全國據點於7/1至7/12暫停營業,並自7/13起陸續恢復營業。
2021/60.01-99.58-99.7813.9-18.544.790.03因應全國疫情三級警戒,本公司配合政府防疫措施,全國廠館暫停營業所致。
2021/51.55-52.22-43.7413.9-1.438.140.01-
2021/43.24-3.5823.8212.358.829.270.01-
2021/33.3625.5313.529.114.329.110.01-
2021/22.68-13.07-7.395.75-0.389.030.01-
2021/13.08-6.096.633.086.639.620.01-
2020/123.280.497.2736.84.329.780.01-
2020/113.260.527.2933.524.049.880.01-
2020/103.24-3.786.930.263.719.930.01-
2020/93.371.7115.1127.013.349.940.0-
2020/83.321.837.6323.641.859.540.0-
2020/73.269.659.5520.320.968.970.0-
2020/62.977.963.3817.07-0.518.330.0-
2020/52.755.15-9.0614.1-1.38.320.0-
2020/42.62-11.6-9.5411.350.788.460.0-
2020/32.962.42.928.734.358.730.0-
2020/22.890.0812.265.785.098.830.0-
2020/12.89-5.53-1.212.89-1.218.980.0-
2019/123.060.528.4735.2717.080.0N/A-
2019/113.040.157.4732.2117.970.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/13.882023/12.872022/13.012021/13.082020/12.89
2024/23.512023/23.122022/22.722021/22.682020/22.89
2024/34.042023/33.512022/33.312021/33.362020/32.96
2024/44.132023/43.442022/42.942021/43.242020/42.62
2024/54.342023/53.622022/52.72021/51.552020/52.75
2024/64.32023/63.582022/62.722021/60.012020/62.97
2024/74.462023/73.752022/72.942021/70.542020/73.26
2024/84.532023/83.882022/83.232021/81.152020/83.32
2024/94.462023/93.742022/93.032021/91.72020/93.37
2024/104.482023/103.82022/103.12021/102.482020/103.24
N/AN/A2023/113.842022/113.152021/113.22020/113.26
N/AN/A2023/123.812022/123.212021/123.092020/123.28
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 109.67%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)8.71.8721.17
24Q2 (19)8.544.0217.47
24Q1 (18)8.2111.8513.87
23Q4 (17)7.342.237.0
23Q3 (16)7.18-1.24-2.18
23Q2 (15)7.270.8312.71
23Q1 (14)7.215.120.57
22Q4 (13)6.86-6.5412.09
22Q3 (12)7.3413.828.55
22Q2 (11)6.457.8616.64
22Q1 (10)5.98-2.298.93
21Q4 (9)6.127.1822.4
21Q3 (8)5.713.2510.66
21Q2 (7)5.530.7311.04
21Q1 (6)5.499.830.71
20Q4 (5)5.0-3.117.92
20Q3 (4)5.163.610.0
20Q2 (3)4.9818.570.0
20Q1 (2)4.2-0.940.0
19Q4 (1)4.240.00.0

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