玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/101.79-11.6121.4919.9221.455.94N/A-
2024/92.03-4.5414.4318.1321.446.220.51-
2024/82.122.432.0316.1122.397.050.45-
2024/72.07-27.33-7.6413.9826.216.890.46-
2024/62.8545.0430.1211.9134.816.730.46-
2024/51.973.0623.379.0636.355.810.54-
2024/41.91-1.22111.057.0940.455.260.59主係本期曲棍球桿出貨增加
2024/31.9335.5612.145.1925.065.190.63-
2024/21.42-22.2-1.483.2634.244.690.7-
2024/11.8327.6887.011.8387.015.310.61主係本期曲棍球桿出貨增加
2023/121.43-29.758.3119.881.664.950.61-
2023/112.0438.5138.9818.451.175.290.58-
2023/101.47-16.7432.2116.4-2.135.320.57-
2023/91.77-14.8827.1114.93-4.586.090.48-
2023/82.08-7.29-16.4813.16-7.686.520.45-
2023/72.242.3823.2411.08-5.816.030.49-
2023/62.1937.52-13.468.84-11.134.690.78-
2023/51.5976.29-2.596.64-10.344.220.87-
2023/40.9-47.51-58.185.05-12.534.070.9本期較去年同期減少,主係本期曲棍球桿出貨數量減少所致。
2023/31.7219.0981.784.1514.754.150.9主係本期曲棍球桿出貨增加
2023/21.4547.6865.662.43-9.053.751.0主係本期曲棍球桿出貨增加
2023/10.98-26.04-45.410.98-45.413.770.99-
2022/121.32-9.8654.919.5638.613.910.76主係本期曲棍球桿出貨增加
2022/111.4731.766.0118.2337.563.980.74-
2022/101.11-19.951.6116.7641.245.00.59-
2022/91.39-44.0714.9715.6545.285.70.47主係本期曲棍球桿出貨增加
2022/82.4936.836.1114.2649.126.840.39主係本期曲棍球桿出貨增加
2022/71.82-28.114.0511.7652.25.990.45主係本期曲棍球桿出貨增加
2022/62.5354.8142.569.9466.296.330.48主係本期曲棍球桿出貨增加
2022/51.64-24.3179.487.4150.154.740.64主係本期曲棍球桿出貨增加
2022/42.16128.15135.255.7843.513.980.77主係本期曲棍球桿出貨增加
2022/30.958.53-32.673.6116.373.611.03-
2022/20.87-51.33-23.582.6757.013.521.05主係本期曲棍球桿出貨增加
2022/11.79109.85222.611.79222.614.030.92主係本期曲棍球桿出貨增加
2021/120.85-38.3115.3114.1136.233.340.74-
2021/111.3926.29135.1813.2537.843.690.67主係本期曲棍球桿出貨增加
2021/101.1-9.42114.9611.8731.494.140.6主係本期曲棍球桿出貨增加
2021/91.21-33.7948.8410.7726.484.790.44-
2021/81.834.58145.979.5624.124.620.46主係本期曲棍球桿出貨增加
2021/71.7567.5830.297.7311.093.710.57-
2021/61.0414.54-1.975.986.52.871.0-
2021/50.91-0.79-40.94.948.493.240.88-
2021/40.92-34.7119.284.0233.833.470.82-
2021/31.4123.1934.373.1138.833.110.79-
2021/21.14105.44243.781.742.762.441.01主係本期曲棍球桿出貨增加
2021/10.56-24.98-35.140.56-35.141.891.3-
2020/120.7425.81-19.4610.36-27.971.841.4-
2020/110.5915.43-41.389.61-28.561.911.35-
2020/100.51-37.29-46.799.03-27.522.071.25-
2020/90.819.4-40.048.52-25.912.90.8-
2020/80.74-44.6-39.417.7-24.023.150.74-
2020/71.3426.076.886.96-21.93.950.59-
2020/61.07-30.94-53.195.61-26.623.380.76本期較去年同期減少,主係本期曲棍球桿出貨數量減少所致。
2020/51.54100.2560.664.55-15.383.360.77疫情趨緩,5月出貨增加。
2020/40.77-26.45-47.663.01-31.912.151.2-
2020/31.05215.2-28.022.24-24.042.241.17-
2020/20.33-61.24-45.371.19-20.152.111.24-
2020/10.86-6.85-2.750.86-2.752.780.94-
2019/120.92-8.4350.5114.38-3.230.0N/A本期較去年同期增加,主係本期曲棍球桿出貨數量增加所致
2019/111.014.78-6.1713.46-5.530.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/11.832023/10.982022/11.792021/10.562020/10.86
2024/21.422023/21.452022/20.872021/21.142020/20.33
2024/31.932023/31.722022/30.952021/31.412020/31.05
2024/41.912023/40.92022/42.162021/40.922020/40.77
2024/51.972023/51.592022/51.642021/50.912020/51.54
2024/62.852023/62.192022/62.532021/61.042020/61.07
2024/72.072023/72.242022/71.822021/71.752020/71.34
2024/82.122023/82.082022/82.492021/81.832020/80.74
2024/92.032023/91.772022/91.392021/91.212020/90.81
2024/101.792023/101.472022/101.112021/101.12020/100.51
N/AN/A2023/112.042022/111.472021/111.392020/110.59
N/AN/A2023/121.432022/121.322021/120.852020/120.74
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 3.32%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.17-10.530.0
24Q2 (19)0.1911.760.0
24Q1 (18)0.17-5.56-5.56
23Q4 (17)0.185.885.88
23Q3 (16)0.17-10.5313.33
23Q2 (15)0.195.5611.76
23Q1 (14)0.185.8828.57
22Q4 (13)0.1713.3313.33
22Q3 (12)0.15-11.7625.0
22Q2 (11)0.1721.436.25
22Q1 (10)0.14-6.670.0
21Q4 (9)0.1525.0-6.25
21Q3 (8)0.12-25.0-7.69
21Q2 (7)0.1614.2933.33
21Q1 (6)0.14-12.5-17.65
20Q4 (5)0.1623.08700.0
20Q3 (4)0.138.330.0
20Q2 (3)0.12-29.410.0
20Q1 (2)0.17750.00.0
19Q4 (1)0.020.00.0

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