玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/100.22-16.76-32.342.75-9.810.79N/A-
2024/90.27-10.05-21.212.53-7.070.860.49-
2024/80.32.06-11.852.26-5.050.860.49-
2024/70.299.3-1.931.96-3.920.850.5-
2024/60.27-6.3-9.481.67-4.260.80.45-
2024/50.2915.15-9.771.4-3.190.830.43-
2024/40.25-17.39-10.221.11-1.340.760.47-
2024/30.340.62-2.380.871.50.870.32-
2024/20.21-39.15-20.210.563.70.960.29-
2024/10.35-11.7726.850.3526.851.190.24-
2023/120.4-8.846.513.8917.171.170.22-
2023/110.4432.0522.123.4918.531.110.23-
2023/100.33-3.077.983.0518.031.010.26-
2023/90.340.63-7.752.7219.380.980.21-
2023/80.3413.5418.312.3824.640.930.23-
2023/70.30.896.462.0425.760.910.23-
2023/60.3-6.626.171.7429.790.890.24-
2023/50.3214.5867.281.4530.550.90.23民國111年下半年度疫情趨緩,消費者購買電子票券意願回升,加上本公司發展品牌事業及農良事業之營收挹注下,營收較去年同期增加
2023/40.28-10.1835.861.1322.980.850.25-
2023/30.3114.947.920.8519.340.850.22-
2023/20.27-3.2532.360.5426.930.920.21-
2023/10.28-25.9222.080.2822.081.010.19-
2022/120.374.5212.373.328.631.040.17-
2022/110.3616.7621.032.948.171.030.17-
2022/100.31-17.211.292.586.610.960.19-
2022/90.3729.0778.572.286.010.940.0本公司於111年7月取得農良公司100%股權,經會計師核閱111年第3季合併財報判斷屬共同控制下之組織重組,致111年1~9月合併營收增加
2022/80.292.1768.331.91-1.720.80.0去年同期受疫情影響,營收減少
2022/70.2819.57132.221.62-8.450.70.0去年同期受疫情影響,營收減少
2022/60.2323.82135.321.34-18.740.630.02去年同期受疫情影響,營收減少
2022/50.19-6.92-7.731.11-28.630.680.01-
2022/40.2-28.66-42.260.92-31.820.690.01-
2022/30.2940.98-20.230.71-28.120.710.01-
2022/20.2-10.77-28.350.43-32.550.760.01-
2022/10.23-31.81-35.90.23-35.90.850.01-
2021/120.3312.57-9.413.05-26.350.90.0-
2021/110.37.37-21.512.72-28.00.780.0-
2021/100.2832.84-24.692.42-28.710.650.0-
2021/90.2121.67-39.132.15-29.20.50.0-
2021/80.1740.95-52.211.94-27.950.390.0疫情因素,致本公司營收減少
2021/70.1221.16-70.521.77-24.250.430.0疫情因素,致本公司營收減少
2021/60.1-51.45-74.971.65-14.430.660.0疫情因素,致本公司營收減少
2021/50.21-41.76-47.881.551.30.920.0-
2021/40.35-1.4326.751.3518.330.990.0-
2021/30.3626.6129.440.9915.610.990.0-
2021/20.28-20.17-2.630.649.061.00.0-
2021/10.35-3.6220.620.3520.621.10.0-
2020/120.37-2.45-9.124.14-6.841.110.0-
2020/110.383.011.183.78-6.611.080.0-
2020/100.377.385.783.4-7.41.060.0-
2020/90.34-4.481.03.04-8.771.110.0-
2020/80.36-13.05-6.052.7-9.871.160.0-
2020/70.412.860.142.34-10.421.20.0-
2020/60.41.113.231.93-12.391.070.0-
2020/50.3941.642.981.53-15.70.950.0-
2020/40.280.65-20.261.14-20.690.840.0-
2020/30.28-4.76-29.90.86-20.820.860.0-
2020/20.29-1.1-2.480.58-15.650.990.0-
2020/10.29-27.4-25.590.29-25.591.070.0-
2019/120.48.62-0.014.451.540.0N/A-
2019/110.377.7-6.214.041.690.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/10.352023/10.282022/10.232021/10.352020/10.29
2024/20.212023/20.272022/20.22021/20.282020/20.29
2024/30.32023/30.312022/30.292021/30.362020/30.28
2024/40.252023/40.282022/40.22021/40.352020/40.28
2024/50.292023/50.322022/50.192021/50.212020/50.39
2024/60.272023/60.32022/60.232021/60.12020/60.4
2024/70.292023/70.32022/70.282021/70.122020/70.41
2024/80.32023/80.342022/80.292021/80.172020/80.36
2024/90.272023/90.342022/90.372021/90.212020/90.34
2024/100.222023/100.332022/100.312021/100.282020/100.37
N/AN/A2023/110.442022/110.362021/110.32020/110.38
N/AN/A2023/120.42022/120.372021/120.332020/120.37
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 59.77%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)1.06-4.5-10.17
24Q2 (19)1.11-5.13-8.26
24Q1 (18)1.173.54-7.14
23Q4 (17)1.13-4.24-8.87
23Q3 (16)1.18-2.48-7.81
23Q2 (15)1.21-3.97-9.7
23Q1 (14)1.261.61-6.67
22Q4 (13)1.24-3.12-8.82
22Q3 (12)1.28-4.48-14.09
22Q2 (11)1.34-0.74-11.84
22Q1 (10)1.35-0.74-2.17
21Q4 (9)1.36-8.72-2.86
21Q3 (8)1.49-1.977.19
21Q2 (7)1.5210.1411.76
21Q1 (6)1.38-1.43-4.83
20Q4 (5)1.40.721.45
20Q3 (4)1.392.210.0
20Q2 (3)1.36-6.210.0
20Q1 (2)1.455.070.0
19Q4 (1)1.380.00.0

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