玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/107.423.5642.5562.07.8121.33N/A-
2024/97.176.3622.254.584.3519.841.07-
2024/86.7413.6913.6147.412.0918.91.12-
2024/75.93-4.9314.3540.670.417.771.19-
2024/66.2411.156.7434.74-1.6317.481.0-
2024/55.61-0.4-4.0428.51-3.2917.381.01-
2024/45.63-8.14-11.8222.9-3.1117.11.02-
2024/36.1315.02-11.5317.260.1117.260.89-
2024/25.33-8.03-3.711.137.9417.470.88-
2024/15.8-8.5821.455.821.4517.880.86-
2023/126.3410.4-6.1469.6-3.617.30.85-
2023/115.7410.290.1163.25-3.3416.820.87-
2023/105.21-11.21-11.2557.51-3.6717.010.86-
2023/95.87-1.11-0.2952.3-2.8516.980.82-
2023/85.9314.432.6146.44-3.1616.960.82-
2023/75.18-11.26-10.9840.5-3.9516.870.83-
2023/65.84-0.09-7.7335.32-2.8318.080.75-
2023/55.85-8.47-10.0629.48-1.7919.170.71-
2023/46.39-7.841.3223.630.4818.860.72-
2023/36.9325.23.7517.240.1717.240.78-
2023/25.5415.995.110.31-2.0917.070.78-
2023/14.77-29.36-9.34.77-9.317.270.78-
2022/126.7617.7716.0772.211.1818.360.7-
2022/115.74-2.22-1.9165.4410.717.490.73-
2022/105.87-0.2513.259.7112.0817.530.73-
2022/95.881.779.6853.8411.9617.490.58-
2022/85.78-0.735.8547.9512.2517.940.56-
2022/75.82-8.014.4842.1713.1918.660.54-
2022/66.33-2.619.0136.3514.7219.140.5-
2022/56.53.1117.9430.0216.019.490.49-
2022/46.3-5.6418.7823.5215.4718.250.52-
2022/36.6826.8418.0117.2114.3117.210.5-
2022/25.270.0919.4210.5312.0816.350.53-
2022/15.26-9.595.585.265.5816.930.51-
2021/125.82-0.487.1464.942.5116.860.45-
2021/115.8512.8418.4359.122.0716.40.46-
2021/105.18-3.355.3253.270.5516.010.48-
2021/95.36-1.775.0948.080.0616.40.46-
2021/85.46-2.0219.3642.72-0.5316.840.45-
2021/75.57-4.0224.0737.26-2.916.890.45-
2021/65.815.3621.9231.68-6.4816.630.44-
2021/55.513.8514.025.88-11.1316.480.45-
2021/45.31-6.25-2.4420.36-16.1315.380.48-
2021/35.6628.35-14.8615.06-20.0815.060.49-
2021/24.41-11.5-30.49.4-22.9314.830.5-
2021/14.98-8.25-14.844.98-14.8415.360.48-
2020/125.4310.0-20.5563.35-23.4415.290.42-
2020/114.940.35-22.9857.91-23.714.960.43-
2020/104.92-3.57-22.1352.97-23.7614.60.44-
2020/95.111.56-19.6248.05-23.9314.170.3-
2020/84.571.84-35.8242.95-24.4113.830.31-
2020/74.49-5.69-37.7738.37-22.7714.090.3-
2020/64.76-1.47-32.0733.88-20.2215.040.14-
2020/54.83-11.13-35.9429.12-17.8816.930.13-
2020/45.44-18.18-27.4724.28-13.018.430.12-
2020/36.654.92-5.9418.84-7.6818.840.12-
2020/26.348.273.3712.19-8.619.030.12-
2020/15.85-14.4-18.795.85-18.7919.110.12-
2019/126.846.632.2582.7414.180.0N/A-
2019/116.411.46-0.575.9115.390.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/15.82023/14.772022/15.262021/14.982020/15.85
2024/25.332023/25.542022/25.272021/24.412020/26.34
2024/36.132023/36.932022/36.682021/35.662020/36.65
2024/45.632023/46.392022/46.32021/45.312020/45.44
2024/55.612023/55.852022/56.52021/55.512020/54.83
2024/66.242023/65.842022/66.332021/65.812020/64.76
2024/75.932023/75.182022/75.822021/75.572020/74.49
2024/86.742023/85.932022/85.782021/85.462020/84.57
2024/97.172023/95.872022/95.882021/95.362020/95.1
2024/107.422023/105.212022/105.872021/105.182020/104.92
N/AN/A2023/115.742022/115.742021/115.852020/114.94
N/AN/A2023/126.342022/126.762021/125.822020/125.43
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 51.48%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)15.763.4843.01
24Q2 (19)15.238.9443.27
24Q1 (18)13.9838.9735.47
23Q4 (17)10.06-8.711.72
23Q3 (16)11.023.67-0.54
23Q2 (15)10.633.0-2.48
23Q1 (14)10.324.35-1.81
22Q4 (13)9.89-10.740.92
22Q3 (12)11.081.658.84
22Q2 (11)10.93.7111.11
22Q1 (10)10.517.247.91
21Q4 (9)9.8-3.739.13
21Q3 (8)10.183.774.84
21Q2 (7)9.810.7210.6
21Q1 (6)9.748.4614.86
20Q4 (5)8.98-7.5216.17
20Q3 (4)9.719.470.0
20Q2 (3)8.874.60.0
20Q1 (2)8.489.70.0
19Q4 (1)7.730.00.0

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