玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/115.694.6927.9673.590.517.78N/A-
2024/105.43-18.3813.5267.9-1.2719.24N/A-
2024/96.66-6.85-2.0362.47-2.3722.20.86-
2024/87.15-14.893.9955.81-2.4125.00.77-
2024/78.4-11.142.648.67-3.2927.570.7-
2024/69.45-2.748.8940.27-4.4425.160.91-
2024/59.7262.22-0.5830.82-7.8922.541.01-
2024/45.99-12.36-3.7721.1-10.9115.651.46-
2024/36.84141.72-5.7215.11-13.4615.111.67-
2024/22.83-48.07-43.778.27-18.9512.132.08-
2024/15.4541.125.155.455.1513.751.83-
2023/123.86-13.17-19.6377.08-25.1213.091.21-
2023/114.45-7.12-41.0273.22-25.3916.030.99-
2023/104.79-29.56-47.3168.78-24.0918.450.86-
2023/96.8-1.12-30.8263.99-21.521.850.7-
2023/86.87-16.02-42.7757.2-20.2323.740.65-
2023/78.18-5.69-20.3150.32-15.6926.640.58-
2023/68.68-11.21-17.6242.14-14.7324.680.82-
2023/59.7857.023.0933.46-13.9523.250.87-
2023/46.23-14.15-25.0523.69-19.4518.511.09-
2023/37.2544.15-17.4917.46-17.2417.461.37-
2023/25.03-2.88-8.4310.21-17.0615.011.6-
2023/15.187.85-24.025.18-24.0217.521.37-
2022/124.8-36.27-29.53102.9527.721.420.99-
2022/117.54-17.03-10.698.1532.9926.440.8-
2022/109.08-7.5338.6990.6138.6130.920.69-
2022/99.82-18.1989.1381.5338.632.10.68110年第三季因受越南疫情封控停工影響,導致基期較低所致。
2022/812.0116.91148.8671.733.7132.820.66110年第三季因受越南疫情封控停工影響,導致基期較低所致。
2022/710.27-2.529.3159.722.3230.290.72-
2022/610.5411.112.1949.4220.9628.320.88-
2022/59.4814.1442.0438.8927.2926.580.94-
2022/48.31-5.4819.1729.4123.1722.591.1-
2022/38.7959.9822.721.124.8221.11.26-
2022/25.49-19.4262.9812.3126.3819.131.39本月(2022.02)各事業部出貨暢旺
2022/16.820.037.016.827.0122.061.21-
2021/126.82-19.1646.280.62-5.1421.81.1-
2021/118.4328.7240.1673.8-8.1220.171.19-
2021/106.5526.09-15.065.37-12.0316.571.45-
2021/95.197.64-28.7658.82-11.6817.961.42-
2021/84.83-39.24-41.1453.63-9.5823.081.1-
2021/77.94-22.95-9.1648.8-4.5224.931.02-
2021/610.3154.43-9.0240.86-3.5723.950.97-
2021/56.68-4.237.5530.55-1.5820.811.11-
2021/46.97-2.676.3923.87-3.8617.51.32-
2021/37.16112.5-15.5416.9-7.5416.91.27-
2021/23.37-47.09-20.939.74-0.6114.41.49-
2021/16.3736.6715.026.3715.0217.051.26-
2020/124.66-22.5-15.084.99-16.8718.380.94-
2020/116.01-21.94-16.0580.33-16.9821.010.82-
2020/107.715.68-6.8174.31-17.0523.20.74-
2020/97.29-11.07-16.5466.61-18.0924.230.82-
2020/88.2-6.22-24.3159.31-18.2828.270.7-
2020/78.74-22.83-20.6551.11-17.2226.280.75-
2020/611.3382.57-7.1542.37-16.4824.091.03-
2020/56.21-5.26-45.1531.04-19.4321.241.17-
2020/46.55-22.74-5.2124.83-8.7419.291.29-
2020/38.4898.950.6418.28-9.9418.281.52-
2020/24.26-23.03-19.499.8-17.4515.291.82-
2020/15.540.99-15.815.54-15.810.0N/A-
2019/125.48-23.46-10.89102.240.680.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/15.452023/15.182022/16.822021/16.372020/15.54
2024/22.832023/25.032022/25.492021/23.372020/24.26
2024/36.842023/37.252022/38.792021/37.162020/38.48
2024/45.992023/46.232022/48.312021/46.972020/46.55
2024/59.722023/59.782022/59.482021/56.682020/56.21
2024/69.452023/68.682022/610.542021/610.312020/611.33
2024/78.42023/78.182022/710.272021/77.942020/78.74
2024/87.152023/86.872022/812.012021/84.832020/88.2
2024/96.662023/96.82022/99.822021/95.192020/97.29
2024/105.432023/104.792022/109.082021/106.552020/107.71
2024/115.692023/114.452022/117.542021/118.432020/116.01
N/AN/A2023/123.862022/124.82021/126.822020/124.66
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 12.75%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)1.931.05819.05
24Q2 (19)1.91-19.41282.0
24Q1 (18)2.370523.68

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