玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/106.86-14.03-0.21110.7174.2724.67N/A轉投資公司「北基實業」自112/12取得控制力, 113年起認列該公司營收,故使本年度營收增加。
2024/97.98-18.6810.46103.8583.3229.351.38轉投資公司「北基實業」自112/12取得控制力, 113年起認列該公司營收,故使本年度營收增加。
2024/89.82-15.037.9495.8793.9747.610.85轉投資公司「北基實業」自112/12取得控制力, 113年起認列該公司營收,8月有建案過戶完成認列營收2億,故使本月營收大增。
2024/711.55-55.9672.2986.05103.449.170.82轉投資公司(北基實業)自112/12取得控制力, 113年起認列該公司營收,7月有建案過戶完成認列營收4億, 故使本月營收大增。
2024/626.24130.52325.3974.5109.2654.190.63轉投資公司(北基實業)自112/12取得控制力, 113年起認列該公司營收,6月有建案過戶完成認列營收19億, 故使本月營收大增。
2024/511.38-31.3386.0648.2663.9735.070.97轉投資公司(北基實業)自112/12取得控制力, 113年起認列該公司營收,5月有建案過戶完成認列營收4億, 故使本月營收大增。
2024/416.57132.9179.6636.8858.1830.011.13轉投資公司(北基實業)自112/12取得控制力, 113年起認列該公司營收,4月有建案過戶完成認列營收9億, 故使本月營收大增。
2024/37.1212.5318.1520.3116.7720.312.48-
2024/26.32-7.8917.3213.1916.0420.052.51-
2024/16.870.1114.896.8714.8920.462.46-
2023/126.861.8514.9877.1214.2420.472.18-
2023/116.73-2.118.0370.2614.1720.342.19-
2023/106.88-4.8216.9363.5313.7820.722.15-
2023/96.73-5.4818.8256.1512.4120.550.49-
2023/87.126.1617.5849.4211.5919.990.5-
2023/76.78.7110.2942.310.6418.990.53-
2023/66.170.8313.9635.610.718.210.54-
2023/56.123.219.1329.4310.0418.070.54-
2023/45.93-1.66.3923.317.8917.340.56-
2023/36.0211.742.9817.398.4117.390.5-
2023/25.39-9.812.3511.3711.5217.330.51-
2023/15.980.1810.785.9810.7817.640.5-
2022/125.964.5611.1367.522.0317.550.47-
2022/115.7-3.024.9861.5423.2117.250.48-
2022/105.883.898.6755.8325.4317.60.47-
2022/95.66-6.4613.5749.9527.7517.790.4-
2022/86.05-0.4224.9444.2929.8217.540.41-
2022/76.0812.3239.7738.2330.6316.620.43-
2022/65.415.4153.7332.1629.0416.120.42一、111年6月平均售價較去年同期平均售價高。二、111年6月站數相較去年同期多9個站點。
2022/55.13-7.8327.3226.7424.9816.550.41-
2022/45.57-4.7522.621.6124.4316.220.42-
2022/35.8521.9128.9316.0425.0816.040.36-
2022/24.8-11.0620.5610.1922.9715.560.37-
2022/15.390.525.215.3925.2116.190.36-
2021/125.37-1.2235.6955.3125.6716.210.36-
2021/115.430.3847.949.9424.6815.830.37-
2021/105.418.5840.5744.5122.3315.240.39-
2021/94.982.8831.0739.120.1814.180.37-
2021/84.8411.3922.7934.1118.7312.710.41-
2021/74.3523.5411.5629.2718.0911.90.44-
2021/63.52-12.69-0.8224.9219.3112.10.46-
2021/54.03-11.2432.6921.423.4313.110.43-
2021/44.540.1671.7417.3721.4613.060.43一、110年04月平均售價較去年同期平均售價高。二、110年04月站數相較去年同期多4個站點。
2021/34.5413.9932.0812.8210.0412.820.38-
2021/23.98-7.647.818.290.8412.240.4-
2021/14.318.91-4.844.31-4.8411.940.41-
2020/123.967.66-11.6744.01-14.5511.480.41-
2020/113.67-4.59-13.4940.06-14.8211.330.42-
2020/103.851.24-13.7236.38-14.9611.60.41-
2020/93.8-3.6-11.2132.53-15.111.650.35-
2020/83.951.2-10.1728.73-15.5911.390.36-
2020/73.99.82-14.9924.78-16.3910.490.39-
2020/63.5516.8-18.1320.89-16.659.230.49-
2020/53.0414.87-31.3817.34-16.349.120.5-
2020/42.65-22.96-37.2314.3-12.259.770.47-
2020/33.43-6.95-17.2111.65-3.5311.650.33-
2020/23.69-18.48-1.188.223.6112.70.3-
2020/14.531.097.894.537.8913.250.29-
2019/124.485.444.7351.51-1.920.0N/A-
2019/114.25-4.84-3.947.03-2.510.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/16.872023/15.982022/15.392021/14.312020/14.53
2024/26.322023/25.392022/24.82021/23.982020/23.69
2024/37.122023/36.022022/35.852021/34.542020/33.43
2024/416.572023/45.932022/45.572021/44.542020/42.65
2024/511.382023/56.122022/55.132021/54.032020/53.04
2024/626.242023/66.172022/65.412021/63.522020/63.55
2024/711.552023/76.72022/76.082021/74.352020/73.9
2024/89.822023/87.122022/86.052021/84.842020/83.95
2024/97.982023/96.732022/95.662021/94.982020/93.8
2024/106.862023/106.882022/105.882021/105.412020/103.85
N/AN/A2023/116.732022/115.72021/115.432020/113.67
N/AN/A2023/126.862022/125.962021/125.372020/123.96
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 12.52%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)4.62-17.3512.68
24Q2 (19)5.59-66.9441.16
24Q1 (18)16.9180.28431.76
23Q4 (17)9.38128.78302.58
23Q3 (16)4.13.5487.21
23Q2 (15)3.9624.5357.14
23Q1 (14)3.1836.4845.21
22Q4 (13)2.336.3913.11
22Q3 (12)2.19-13.128.82
22Q2 (11)2.5215.07149.5
22Q1 (10)2.196.31143.33
21Q4 (9)2.0621.18221.88
21Q3 (8)1.768.32900.0
21Q2 (7)1.0112.22320.83
21Q1 (6)0.940.62260.0
20Q4 (5)0.64276.47255.56
20Q3 (4)0.17-29.170.0
20Q2 (3)0.24-4.00.0
20Q1 (2)0.2538.890.0
19Q4 (1)0.180.00.0

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