玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 理想的成長型公司, 本業EPS的成長幅度會大於營收的成長幅度
  • 營收到某個數字後, 本業EPS呈現不成比例的增加, 有可能是規模經濟的效應
  • 如果是有淡旺季的公司, 是否有淡季不淡, 旺季更旺的情況
  • 漲很多的股票要留意 EPS 較上季是否有大幅衰退的情況
  • 如果EPS衰退,要觀察同業是不是有一樣的狀況
  • 要留意增資減資和公司債對股本及EPS的影響
成長能力-近20季
加權平均股數 QoQ YoYEPS QoQ YoY本業EPS QoQ YoY累計EPS QoQ YoY營收 QoQ YoY毛利率(%) QoQ YoY營業利益率 QoQ YoY稅後淨利率 QoQ YoY營業利益 QoQ YoY稅後淨利 QoQ YoY稅前淨利率(%) QoQ YoY稅後淨利率(%) QoQ YoY兩季平均(YOY)營收成長率(%)兩季平均(YOY)EPS成長率(%)兩季平均(YOY)本業EPS成長率(%)
24Q3 (20)1380.00.0-0.50-121.5582.140.27142.19-95.174.84-9.362588.8928.76-8.4111.4712.42-20.18-34.04-0.97-124.81-109.19-2.61-117.8292.06-0.28-122.76-110.29-0.69-121.6382.08-4.67-127.786.38-2.61-117.8292.06-12.71-72.36-1.60
24Q2 (19)1380.00.732.32-23.18103.51-0.64-145.39-328.575.3476.8278.031.4-17.021.0315.56-9.9510.983.91-56.56-25.6714.6541.9696.911.23-63.93-25.03.19-23.32104.4916.8613.6186.7114.6541.9696.91-6.34410.29-77.79
24Q1 (18)1380.731.473.02843.7561.51.41-10.19-42.913.02504.061.537.844.33-24.0817.2813.682.929.0066.05-9.2710.32608.3758.533.4173.1-31.114.16845.4563.7814.842218.7581.210.32608.3758.5322.45477.59-41.05
23Q4 (17)137-0.723.790.32111.43-91.921.57-71.91-70.10.50177.78-97.0436.2740.58-38.9415.20-19.28-35.325.42-48.63-66.93-2.0393.82-119.841.97-27.57-79.770.44111.43-91.620.64101.87-95.08-2.0393.82-119.8411.79-117.09912.26
23Q3 (16)1380.734.55-2.80-345.61-159.075.591896.43154.090.18-94.0-98.6125.8-16.99-48.2118.8334.31-5.8510.55100.57-12.81-32.86-541.67-334.212.7265.85-54.89-3.85-346.79-161.4-34.30-479.84-284.61-32.86-541.67-334.21-27.31-192.33903.88
23Q2 (15)1370.743.791.14-39.04-75.160.28-88.66-90.73.0060.43-63.5531.08-37.64-43.714.02-16.5-26.135.26-46.98-57.757.4414.29-38.971.64-66.87-76.131.56-38.58-74.39.0310.26-43.247.4414.29-38.97-26.87-45.91-70.81
23Q1 (14)1363.033.031.87-52.78-48.632.47-52.95-9.851.87-88.95-48.6349.84-16.090.0616.79-28.55-8.69.92-39.48-12.376.51-36.36-37.764.95-49.18-12.232.54-51.62-47.38.19-37.1-38.886.51-36.36-37.761.57-34.6242.84
22Q4 (13)1320.0-2.223.96-16.4627.745.25138.6449.1516.9230.4569.0359.419.2322.1523.5017.522.6516.3935.4532.0710.23-27.0810.09.7461.5361.535.25-16.2725.613.02-29.9218.3610.23-27.0810.04.74-6.6055.86
22Q3 (12)1320.0-2.224.743.27153.482.20-26.9131.7412.9757.5988.7949.82-9.7535.3420.005.3710.9912.10-2.8132.2414.0315.0979.876.03-12.2378.936.273.29147.8318.5816.7890.1714.0315.0979.870.5414.69-8.53
22Q2 (11)1320.0-2.224.5926.165.73.019.851.698.23126.164.655.210.8226.6618.983.32-5.3812.459.98-3.4112.1916.5432.56.8721.8122.246.0725.9361.8715.9118.7331.0512.1916.5432.56.6221.76-6.16
22Q1 (10)132-2.22-2.223.6417.4263.232.74-22.168.33.64-63.6463.2349.812.4324.3418.37-4.12-1.5511.32-8.781.9810.4612.4734.625.64-6.4726.744.8215.3159.613.4021.8234.9410.4612.4734.6217.2741.6044.31
21Q4 (9)1350.00.03.1065.7846.233.52110.7811.7510.0145.7199.0148.6332.1119.3719.166.33-9.1112.4135.63-4.249.3019.2324.176.0378.9314.24.1865.2245.6411.0012.5917.99.3019.2324.178.2916.6433.60
21Q3 (8)1350.00.01.87-32.490.541.67-43.58-28.636.8737.4136.0836.81-15.5313.7518.02-10.17-16.389.15-29.01-33.947.80-15.22-5.573.37-40.04-24.782.53-32.530.89.77-19.52-15.857.80-15.22-5.57-3.37-4.14-13.29
21Q2 (7)1350.00.02.7724.22965.382.9617.0854.845.00124.22376.1943.588.79109.4220.067.578.4712.8916.13840.889.2018.4525.855.6226.291837.933.7524.17971.4312.1422.261126.269.2018.4525.853.5614.71-1.34
21Q1 (6)1350.00.02.235.19182.282.53-19.68321.672.23-55.67182.2840.06-1.6749.2518.66-11.4832.7211.10-14.35121.567.773.7487.684.45-15.72232.093.025.23182.249.936.4368.597.773.7487.6812.119.597.47
20Q4 (5)1350.00.02.1213.9852.523.1534.6256.725.0372.8510.5540.7425.922.7821.08-2.1811.7712.96-6.4326.817.49-9.3226.525.2817.8655.752.8714.3452.669.33-19.6424.237.49-9.3226.52--0.00
20Q3 (4)1350.00.01.86615.380.02.34654.840.02.91177.140.032.3655.50.021.5591.730.013.85910.950.08.26461.90.04.481444.830.02.51617.140.011.611072.730.08.26461.90.0--0.00
20Q2 (3)1350.00.00.26-67.090.00.31-48.330.01.0532.910.020.81-22.470.011.24-20.060.01.37-72.650.01.47-64.490.00.29-78.360.00.35-67.290.00.99-83.190.01.47-64.490.0--0.00
20Q1 (2)1350.00.00.79-43.170.00.60-70.150.00.79-82.640.026.84-19.110.014.06-25.450.05.01-50.980.04.14-30.070.01.34-60.470.01.07-43.090.05.89-21.570.04.14-30.070.0--0.00
19Q4 (1)1350.00.01.390.00.02.010.00.04.550.00.033.180.00.018.860.00.010.220.00.05.920.00.03.390.00.01.880.00.07.510.00.05.920.00.0--0.00
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/1011.8828.3824.54109.88-5.4930.51N/A-
2024/99.26-1.170.6298.0-8.1828.760.83-
2024/89.37-7.5614.3588.74-9.0128.890.82-
2024/710.137.8720.4279.38-11.1529.430.81-
2024/69.39-5.1511.5769.24-14.4331.40.59-
2024/59.9-18.160.6259.85-17.4533.530.55-
2024/412.15.02-5.649.94-20.2932.250.58-
2024/311.5233.67-28.7337.84-24.0737.840.53-
2024/28.62-51.27-50.7726.32-21.8439.050.511.因春節假期,出貨天數少。2.配合客戶產品鋪貨及市場需求。
2024/117.6935.689.5217.699.5244.120.45-
2023/1212.73-6.95-41.46142.69-33.3935.960.68-
2023/1113.6943.44-31.58129.96-32.4732.430.75-
2023/109.543.72-45.88116.27-32.5826.930.91-
2023/99.212.31-42.29106.73-31.0625.80.91-
2023/88.19-2.66-52.0297.53-29.7725.020.94去年因疫情銷售暢旺,營收放量成長,今年因主力客戶去化庫存以致營收下滑。
2023/78.41-0.05-49.9189.34-26.6626.680.89-
2023/68.42-14.45-47.4680.92-22.9431.080.7-
2023/59.84-23.23-42.172.51-18.5238.840.56-
2023/412.82-20.71-42.1962.66-12.9546.510.46-
2023/316.17-7.66-5.0849.840.0549.840.55-
2023/217.518.459.4733.672.7355.430.51.去年2月因春節假期,出貨天數少,基期較低。2.配合客戶產品鋪貨及市場需求。
2023/116.16-25.74-25.8616.16-25.8657.920.48-
2022/1221.768.7529.88214.2326.759.40.69-
2022/1120.0113.4520.05192.4726.3553.580.77-
2022/1017.6310.615.88172.4627.1250.650.81-
2022/915.94-6.6253.24154.8328.5449.820.79客戶為因應產品鋪貨及市場需求,故出貨量較往年增加。
2022/817.071.6150.39138.8926.2149.90.79客戶為因應產品鋪貨及市場需求,故出貨量較往年增加。
2022/716.84.8411.61121.8223.4249.830.79-
2022/616.02-5.7331.32105.0225.5555.20.57-
2022/517.0-23.3514.4788.9924.5656.220.56-
2022/422.1830.1734.271.9927.2150.20.63-
2022/317.0455.1326.249.8124.3349.810.68-
2022/210.98-49.612.7232.7723.3849.530.68-
2022/121.7930.0929.5521.7929.5555.210.61-
2021/1216.750.5213.51169.0840.0248.630.65-
2021/1116.669.5234.19152.3343.7142.280.75-
2021/1015.2246.2612.15135.6644.9736.970.86-
2021/910.4-8.36-4.99120.4550.5336.810.75客戶為因應產品鋪貨及市場需求,故出貨量較往年增加。
2021/811.35-24.58-0.74110.0559.3438.610.71客戶為因應產品鋪貨及市場需求,故出貨量較往年增加。
2021/715.0523.3650.9698.6971.2642.110.65客戶為因應產品鋪貨及市場需求,故出貨量較往年增加。
2021/612.2-17.8266.1583.6475.5143.580.57客戶為因應產品鋪貨及市場需求,故出貨量較往年增加。
2021/514.85-10.13164.3571.4477.2244.870.551.去年5月受到COVID-19疫情影響,基期較低。2.客戶為因應產品鋪貨及市場需求,故出貨量較往年增加。
2021/416.5322.41110.4456.5963.1139.770.631.去年4月受到COVID-19疫情影響,基期較低。2.客戶為因應產品鋪貨及市場需求,故出貨量較往年增加。
2021/313.538.5656.3640.0649.2640.060.561.去年3月受到COVID-19疫情影響,基期較低。2.客戶為因應產品鋪貨及市場需求,故出貨量較往年增加。
2021/29.74-42.0874.8226.5645.941.320.541.因去年2月受到COVID-19疫情影響,基期較低。2.客戶為因應產品鋪貨及市場需求,故出貨量較往年增加。
2021/116.8213.9833.1416.8233.1444.00.51-
2020/1214.7618.8322.74120.752.740.740.55-
2020/1112.42-8.4615.06106.00.4236.930.61-
2020/1013.5723.930.9293.58-1.2435.950.62-
2020/910.95-4.2669.2780.01-5.1832.360.55美日等國恢復戶外活動,報復性消費湧現,客戶積極佈局市場,致本公司出貨較往年同期呈現大幅成長。
2020/811.4414.754.3569.06-11.3728.750.61因疫情趨緩,客戶端需求升溫,致本月營收較同期大幅增加。
2020/79.9735.7817.6957.62-18.2722.930.77-
2020/67.3430.738.7647.65-23.1820.810.76-
2020/55.62-28.46-31.2440.31-27.0922.10.71-
2020/47.85-9.04-36.234.69-26.3722.060.72-
2020/38.6354.92-16.026.84-22.8926.840.65-
2020/25.57-55.89-21.1818.21-25.7730.230.58-
2020/112.635.08-27.6312.63-27.6335.450.49-
2019/1212.0211.3919.56117.575.770.0N/A-
2019/1110.794.15-22.05105.554.40.0N/A-
成長能力-近10年
加權平均股數 YoYEPS YoY本業EPS YoY營收 YoY毛利率(%) YoY營業利益率 YoY稅後淨利率 YoY營業利益 YoY稅前淨利 YoY稅後淨利 YoY
2023 (10)1373.790.50-96.919.92-24.96143.0-33.2516.15-20.567.88-40.3-2.56011.27-60.15-1.7300.69-96.92
2022 (9)132-2.2216.2063.3113.2223.9214.2326.720.336.8913.2014.6811.6735.8628.2845.2532.4578.122.4166.37
2021 (8)1350.09.9299.210.6766.46169.0840.0219.025.9611.5122.068.5945.3519.4770.9418.2294.8713.4797.8
2020 (7)1350.04.9810.426.4142.13120.752.717.956.49.4316.425.913.3211.3919.649.35-1.066.8110.55
2019 (6)1350.04.518.414.5136.67117.575.7816.8717.078.1030.655.725.159.5238.179.4517.686.168.26
2018 (5)1350.754.1627.223.30-25.51111.159.0614.41-4.326.20-8.425.4424.26.89-0.148.0354.425.6928.73
2017 (4)1340.753.2727.244.43111.96101.9213.8515.065.616.7739.014.38-0.456.958.265.25.484.4228.12
2016 (3)133-0.752.575040.02.09089.521.8914.2633.94.87524.364.40519.724.36531.884.93267.913.455650.0
2015 (2)1340.00.050-0.43087.86-7.8410.6540.870.7800.7100.6901.3400.060
2014 (1)1340.0-0.580-1.05095.33-16.957.560-0.900-0.710-0.860-0.190-0.780

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