玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/102.579.72-10.5227.3-1.77.36N/A-
2024/92.34-4.331.324.73-0.697.260.22-
2024/82.45-1.07-2.5722.39-0.897.50.21-
2024/72.47-4.09-3.2419.94-0.687.790.2-
2024/62.58-5.770.2317.47-0.318.160.19-
2024/52.74-3.76-0.5914.89-0.48.740.18-
2024/42.84-10.02-1.3912.15-0.369.010.17-
2024/33.165.14-3.319.31-0.049.310.17-
2024/23.01-4.171.326.141.7210.40.15-
2024/13.14-26.262.113.142.1110.180.15-
2023/124.2552.9129.1734.814.649.910.15-
2023/112.78-3.06-1.430.551.947.960.19-
2023/102.8724.224.5227.772.297.690.2-
2023/92.31-8.0-9.5424.92.047.380.21-
2023/82.51-1.755.1822.593.397.640.2-
2023/72.56-0.647.6320.083.177.880.2-
2023/62.57-6.55-0.517.522.558.210.19-
2023/52.75-4.542.7814.953.18.910.18-
2023/42.88-11.771.2212.193.179.120.17-
2023/33.2710.19-0.719.313.799.310.16-
2023/22.97-3.437.656.046.419.330.16-
2023/13.07-6.715.253.075.259.190.16-
2022/123.2916.7114.0733.265.128.860.17-
2022/112.822.76-2.6429.974.228.120.19-
2022/102.757.4914.027.154.997.690.2-
2022/92.556.9813.8724.44.077.320.2-
2022/82.390.53-2.7721.853.037.350.2-
2022/72.38-8.1516.4119.463.797.640.19-
2022/62.59-3.4614.3817.082.258.110.19-
2022/52.68-5.999.2114.50.358.820.17-
2022/42.85-13.461.3611.82-1.458.90.17-
2022/33.2919.484.148.97-2.318.970.17-
2022/22.76-5.58-3.385.68-5.718.560.18-
2022/12.921.1-7.82.92-7.88.710.18-
2021/122.89-0.393.431.64-10.688.20.21-
2021/112.920.339.0628.75-11.887.550.22-
2021/102.417.37-10.225.86-13.747.110.24-
2021/92.24-8.66-16.523.45-14.096.740.26-
2021/82.4620.383.7321.2-13.826.760.25-
2021/72.04-9.75-17.3118.75-15.76.750.25-
2021/62.26-7.81-10.1416.71-15.497.530.24-
2021/52.45-12.74-12.0114.45-16.278.430.21-
2021/42.81-11.09-13.7711.99-17.18.830.21-
2021/33.1610.85-23.599.18-18.069.180.19-
2021/22.85-9.91-19.56.02-14.838.810.2-
2021/13.1713.4-10.133.17-10.138.620.21-
2020/122.795.05-19.4835.43-16.178.130.22-
2020/112.66-0.92-19.0132.63-15.878.030.22-
2020/102.68-0.15-13.5429.98-15.587.740.23-
2020/92.6913.47-12.5427.29-15.787.520.24-
2020/82.37-4.04-25.124.61-16.117.350.25-
2020/72.47-1.93-24.1122.24-15.037.770.24-
2020/62.52-9.73-25.0319.77-13.748.560.2-
2020/52.79-14.49-28.9217.25-11.810.190.17-
2020/43.26-21.22-14.5514.47-7.5110.940.16-
2020/34.1416.790.3311.21-5.2411.210.15-
2020/23.540.56-0.667.07-8.2310.540.16-
2020/13.521.6-14.763.52-14.7610.270.17-
2019/123.475.67-6.3142.264.090.0N/A-
2019/113.285.76-5.3238.795.130.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/13.142023/13.072022/12.922021/13.172020/13.52
2024/23.012023/22.972022/22.762021/22.852020/23.54
2024/33.162023/33.272022/33.292021/33.162020/34.14
2024/42.842023/42.882022/42.852021/42.812020/43.26
2024/52.742023/52.752022/52.682021/52.452020/52.79
2024/62.582023/62.572022/62.592021/62.262020/62.52
2024/72.472023/72.562022/72.382021/72.042020/72.47
2024/82.452023/82.512022/82.392021/82.462020/82.37
2024/92.342023/92.312022/92.552021/92.242020/92.69
2024/102.572023/102.872022/102.752021/102.412020/102.68
N/AN/A2023/112.782022/112.822021/112.92020/112.66
N/AN/A2023/124.252022/123.292021/122.892020/122.79
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 24.11%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)12.4513.186.5
24Q2 (19)11.0-0.27-3.17
24Q1 (18)11.035.251.29
23Q4 (17)10.48-10.35-2.33
23Q3 (16)11.692.98.34
23Q2 (15)11.364.3211.15
23Q1 (14)10.891.4912.15
22Q4 (13)10.73-0.564.17
22Q3 (12)10.795.58-3.57
22Q2 (11)10.225.2511.45
22Q1 (10)9.71-5.733.3
21Q4 (9)10.3-7.955.21
21Q3 (8)11.1922.0318.92
21Q2 (7)9.17-2.45-5.76
21Q1 (6)9.4-3.98-2.49
20Q4 (5)9.794.04-5.04
20Q3 (4)9.41-3.290.0
20Q2 (3)9.730.930.0
20Q1 (2)9.64-6.50.0
19Q4 (1)10.310.00.0

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