玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/111.485.27-6.9818.132.824.04N/A-
2024/101.420.86-1.8716.663.793.81N/A-
2024/91.16-7.13-1.0315.254.343.780.12-
2024/81.25-9.04-2.1914.094.813.980.12-
2024/71.371.3513.312.845.554.250.11-
2024/61.36-11.05-3.5211.474.694.730.08-
2024/51.52-17.69-3.4310.115.95.390.07-
2024/41.85-7.974.728.597.755.860.06-
2024/32.010.8-2.66.748.616.740.04-
2024/22.0-26.874.874.7314.26.420.05-
2024/12.7361.5722.162.7322.166.010.05-
2023/121.696.42-10.5819.32-0.714.710.09-
2023/111.5911.062.6717.630.344.190.1-
2023/101.4321.913.8116.050.123.880.11-
2023/91.17-8.226.1214.62-1.043.660.11-
2023/81.285.3610.413.45-1.623.90.11-
2023/71.21-13.69-15.8812.17-2.734.20.1-
2023/61.4-10.98-1.5510.96-1.024.750.11-
2023/51.58-10.736.949.55-0.945.410.1-
2023/41.77-14.411.267.97-2.365.740.09-
2023/32.078.54-8.876.2-3.356.20.07-
2023/21.9-14.824.734.14-0.346.030.07-
2023/12.2318.26-4.292.23-4.295.670.07-
2022/121.8922.2118.3519.468.474.690.1-
2022/111.5523.1113.2917.577.513.910.12-
2022/101.2613.66-0.616.036.983.520.13-
2022/91.1-4.52-6.314.777.683.70.12-
2022/81.16-19.73-5.7513.679.04.030.11-
2022/71.441.038.2512.5110.64.340.1-
2022/61.43-3.2922.1611.077.794.650.1-
2022/51.48-15.475.019.645.955.490.08-
2022/41.75-22.973.068.176.125.830.08-
2022/32.2724.7420.936.426.996.420.05-
2022/21.82-22.16-7.264.150.655.750.06-
2022/12.3346.237.822.337.825.30.07-
2021/121.616.99-3.3417.94-9.614.220.08-
2021/111.368.0-4.716.35-10.183.810.09-
2021/101.267.15-1.8214.98-10.653.670.09-
2021/91.18-3.9613.8313.72-11.383.450.1-
2021/81.2317.7412.7212.54-13.193.440.1-
2021/71.04-10.74-6.5511.31-15.33.620.1-
2021/61.17-16.87-25.4910.27-16.14.270.08-
2021/51.41-17.04-15.849.1-14.724.970.07-
2021/41.69-9.62-15.497.69-14.515.530.06-
2021/31.87-4.34-20.646.0-14.236.00.06-
2021/21.96-9.49-9.524.13-10.975.780.06-
2021/12.1731.08-12.242.17-12.245.250.06-
2020/121.6515.35-10.6119.85-8.124.370.1-
2020/111.4311.26-14.0218.2-7.893.750.12-
2020/101.2924.24-10.8416.77-7.323.410.13-
2020/91.04-4.89-14.3215.48-7.023.240.12-
2020/81.09-2.39-19.0514.44-6.453.770.11-
2020/71.12-28.83-23.6913.35-5.244.350.09-
2020/61.57-6.1-4.5412.24-3.115.240.08-
2020/51.67-16.69-10.2310.67-2.96.040.07-
2020/42.0-15.13-5.769.0-1.46.530.06-
2020/32.369.06-2.77.0-0.087.00.06-
2020/22.17-12.210.014.631.316.480.07-
2020/12.4733.512.482.472.480.0N/A-
2019/121.8510.95-8.9721.61-0.120.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/12.732023/12.232022/12.332021/12.172020/12.47
2024/22.02023/21.92022/21.822021/21.962020/22.17
2024/32.012023/32.072022/32.272021/31.872020/32.36
2024/41.852023/41.772022/41.752021/41.692020/42.0
2024/51.522023/51.582022/51.482021/51.412020/51.67
2024/61.362023/61.42022/61.432021/61.172020/61.57
2024/71.372023/71.212022/71.442021/71.042020/71.12
2024/81.252023/81.282022/81.162021/81.232020/81.09
2024/91.162023/91.172022/91.12021/91.182020/91.04
2024/101.42023/101.432022/101.262021/101.262020/101.29
2024/111.482023/111.592022/111.552021/111.362020/111.43
N/AN/A2023/121.692022/121.892021/121.62020/121.65
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 42.82%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)7.739.88.72
24Q2 (19)7.0422.018.47
24Q1 (18)5.77-24.385.87
23Q4 (17)7.637.3133.86
23Q3 (16)7.119.5535.69
23Q2 (15)6.4919.0829.54
23Q1 (14)5.45-4.3912.6
22Q4 (13)5.78.785.36
22Q3 (12)5.244.592.95
22Q2 (11)5.013.519.15
22Q1 (10)4.84-10.5416.35
21Q4 (9)5.416.293.24
21Q3 (8)5.0910.892.41
21Q2 (7)4.5910.34-6.13
21Q1 (6)4.16-20.61-20.15
20Q4 (5)5.245.43-20.97
20Q3 (4)4.971.640.0
20Q2 (3)4.89-6.140.0
20Q1 (2)5.21-21.420.0
19Q4 (1)6.630.00.0

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