玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/1145.88-5.8-16.11671.46-7.74154.88N/A-
2024/1048.71-19.19-6.53625.57-7.06177.55N/A-
2024/960.28-12.06-4.76576.86-7.1204.571.34-
2024/868.56-9.472.02516.58-7.37215.231.28-
2024/775.736.7516.62448.02-8.65218.311.26-
2024/670.94-0.96-7.5372.29-12.51211.661.37-
2024/571.643.7-7.12301.35-13.61211.961.37-
2024/469.08-3.03-1.74229.71-15.46181.761.6-
2024/371.2571.95-17.36160.63-20.24160.632.05-
2024/241.43-13.58-27.1989.38-22.4131.072.51-
2024/147.9515.01-17.7347.95-17.73144.332.28-
2023/1241.69-23.77-25.76769.49-16.39148.52.34-
2023/1154.694.94-28.09727.8-15.79170.112.04-
2023/1052.12-17.66-34.35673.11-14.6182.611.9-
2023/963.3-5.79-20.92620.99-12.39195.431.81-
2023/867.193.47-22.86557.69-11.3208.831.69-
2023/764.94-15.33-29.13490.5-9.44218.781.62-
2023/676.7-0.56-13.51425.56-5.43224.151.71-
2023/577.149.7-3.35348.86-3.45233.671.64-
2023/470.31-18.4520.27271.72-3.47213.441.8-
2023/386.2251.51-3.55201.41-9.7201.412.05-
2023/256.91-2.36-14.9115.19-13.81171.352.41-
2023/158.283.77-12.7258.28-12.72190.512.17-
2022/1256.16-26.16-12.42920.4412.44211.621.96-
2022/1176.07-4.188.52864.2814.56235.51.76-
2022/1079.39-0.8221.55788.2115.17246.551.68-
2022/980.05-8.1122.8708.8214.5258.81.45-
2022/887.12-4.9334.89628.7713.52267.441.4-
2022/791.633.3132.09541.6610.7260.141.44-
2022/688.6911.1221.8450.027.17226.961.53-
2022/579.8136.5210.97361.334.1227.671.52-
2022/458.46-34.6-15.41281.522.3214.741.62-
2022/389.433.676.28223.068.25223.061.52-
2022/266.880.1418.93133.669.61197.81.71-
2022/166.784.121.6366.781.63201.011.69-
2021/1264.13-8.4911.5818.5616.93199.541.55-
2021/1170.097.3116.61754.4317.41200.581.54-
2021/1065.310.1914.48684.3417.5195.071.58-
2021/965.180.931.08619.0317.82199.131.3-
2021/864.58-6.91.77553.8420.16206.761.25-
2021/769.37-4.723.02489.2623.1214.11.21-
2021/672.811.23-3.84419.927.2213.851.0-
2021/571.924.061.51347.0836.44225.150.95-
2021/469.11-17.8237.36275.1649.93209.461.02-
2021/384.1149.5782.19206.0554.67206.050.89去年同期因疫情影響基期較低, 而今年本期各市場自行車及電動自行車持續熱銷。
2021/256.23-14.4142.11121.9440.08179.461.02-
2021/165.7114.2338.3865.7138.38183.331.0-
2020/1257.52-4.319.63700.0310.4174.671.04-
2020/1160.15.3512.01642.529.64181.631.0-
2020/1057.05-11.522.33582.419.41184.980.98-
2020/964.481.617.26525.3610.23195.270.76-
2020/863.45-5.7611.36460.8810.66206.510.72-
2020/767.33-11.0727.81397.4310.55213.90.7-
2020/675.726.8755.1330.17.59196.880.67因歐美、中國自行車市場需求旺盛,利用自行車通勤或自行車休閒活動人數增加,加上高單價Ebike 熱銷,帶動本公司本月銷售大幅成長
2020/570.8540.8131.67254.38-1.39167.330.78-
2020/450.318.98-12.95183.53-10.11136.050.96-
2020/346.1616.67-20.01133.21-8.98133.211.19-
2020/239.57-16.66-2.0987.05-1.8135.121.17-
2020/147.48-1.23-1.5747.48-1.570.0N/A-
2019/1248.08-10.46.93634.055.670.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/147.952023/158.282022/166.782021/165.712020/147.48
2024/241.432023/256.912022/266.882021/256.232020/239.57
2024/371.252023/386.222022/389.42021/384.112020/346.16
2024/469.082023/470.312022/458.462021/469.112020/450.31
2024/571.642023/577.142022/579.812021/571.922020/570.85
2024/670.942023/676.72022/688.692021/672.812020/675.72
2024/775.732023/764.942022/791.632021/769.372020/767.33
2024/868.562023/867.192022/887.122021/864.582020/863.45
2024/960.282023/963.32022/980.052021/965.182020/964.48
2024/1048.712023/1052.122022/1079.392021/1065.312020/1057.05
2024/1145.882023/1154.692022/1176.072021/1170.092020/1160.1
N/AN/A2023/1241.692022/1256.162021/1264.132020/1257.52
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 9.21%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)3.6138.8548.56
24Q2 (19)2.60-0.76

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