玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 收帳和銷貨天數如果一直上升, 就要當心了!
  • 存貨在不同時期有不同的意義, 像是滯銷, 或是因為報價回升而屯貨, 或是積極備料, 這都需要去看存貨細項和判斷當時的情況來分辨
  • 當存貨增加時, 還需要注意增加的是不是商品或製成品. 如果是在製品或原物料, 反而有可能是供給不順沒法變製成品又或者是需求旺盛(短期營收趨勢向上)
  • 處在景氣下行的公司當存貨細項-原料和在製品的回升可能代表訂單開始回溫了
  • 當記憶體模組廠, 像是威剛、十銓存貨增加時, 有可能是在增加低價庫存, 代表著景氣循環來到相對低點, 也許就是建立部位的好時機
  • 當存貨提列減損損失,虧損認列在該年度,但是存貨價格回升後,之後年度也會直接回沖增加EPS,這種情況很容易在記憶體模組廠見到
  • 存貨一直增加,但是存貨銷售比沒什麼改變,可以推測是公司因為銷售良好而準備的存貨
  • 當淨營業週期(日)接近於0, 代表公司好像在做無本生意
平均收帳天數和平均銷貨天數-近20季
存貨銷售比
近3年股價
應收帳款周轉率 QoQ YoY存貨周轉率 QoQ YoY平均收帳天數 QoQ YoY平圴銷貨天數 QoQ YoY應付帳款付現天數 QoQ YoY淨營業週期(日) QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)1.536.99-1.921.8114.561.1259.31-6.831.4250.16-13.17-1.5149.53-14.1-7.6159.94-6.017.4
24Q2 (19)1.4315.32-12.81.58-4.247.4863.66-13.4214.9557.775.02-6.8257.66-7.959.663.77-3.23-1.54
24Q1 (18)1.24-7.46-8.151.65-15.3838.6673.537.978.7655.0117.74-27.7762.6411.46.2265.9012.48-22.29
23Q4 (17)1.34-14.17.21.958.9458.5468.1016.45-6.6746.72-8.27-36.956.234.89-12.5958.594.98-29.14
23Q3 (16)1.56-4.8812.231.7921.7719.3358.485.6-10.4650.93-17.85-15.9253.611.9-0.5755.81-13.83-22.45
23Q2 (15)1.6421.4820.591.4723.5315.7555.38-18.09-17.1162.00-18.59-13.4952.61-10.79-12.5864.77-23.62-17.27
23Q1 (14)1.358.08.01.19-3.25-0.8367.61-7.35-7.1776.162.860.1658.97-8.33-10.384.802.562.01
22Q4 (13)1.25-10.07-13.191.23-18.0-8.8972.9711.7315.7374.0422.249.9864.3319.3110.882.6814.8814.33
22Q3 (12)1.392.213.731.5018.1116.2865.31-2.25-4.160.57-15.49-14.1753.92-10.4-14.4571.97-8.07-4.85
22Q2 (11)1.368.8-1.451.275.83-12.4166.81-8.271.6171.67-5.7514.3660.18-8.463.5478.29-5.8211.37
22Q1 (10)1.25-13.196.841.20-11.11-7.6972.8315.51-6.1176.0412.958.9265.7413.23-6.7483.1314.958.12
21Q4 (9)1.447.4616.131.354.65-18.1863.05-7.42-13.8367.32-4.6122.258.06-7.89-10.8372.32-4.3914.54
21Q3 (8)1.34-2.9-3.61.29-11.03-35.1868.103.573.9970.5712.6154.0563.038.4520.0375.647.628.66
21Q2 (7)1.3817.95-6.761.4511.54-13.1765.75-15.247.0562.67-10.2315.3358.12-17.5511.8670.30-8.5710.19
21Q1 (6)1.17-5.65-7.141.30-21.21-7.877.576.017.0769.8126.727.970.498.2611.4176.8921.784.09
20Q4 (5)1.24-10.79-3.881.65-17.09-5.7173.1711.733.5455.0920.266.1365.1124.012.2663.147.4-2.23
20Q3 (4)1.39-6.080.01.9919.160.065.496.630.045.81-15.70.052.511.060.058.79-7.850.0
20Q2 (3)1.4817.460.01.6718.440.061.42-15.220.054.34-16.010.051.96-17.880.063.80-13.630.0
20Q1 (2)1.26-2.330.01.41-19.430.072.452.520.064.7024.640.063.279.090.073.8714.390.0
19Q4 (1)1.290.00.01.750.00.070.670.00.051.910.00.058.000.00.064.580.00.0
平均收帳天數和平均銷貨天數-近10年
應收帳款周轉率 YoY存貨周轉率 YoY平均收帳天數 YoY平圴銷貨天數 YoY應付帳款付現天數 YoY淨營業週期(日) YoY
2023 (10)5.68-2.246.6219.9364.232.2155.12-16.6153.85-3.865.49-10.23
2022 (9)5.819.425.52-4.062.84-8.6266.104.2155.98-12.0872.956.45
2021 (8)5.31-2.035.75-9.0268.772.1463.439.9163.67-2.0568.5314.14
2020 (7)5.42-5.96.32-8.867.336.3557.719.5765.007.8160.047.81
2019 (6)5.764.736.93-1.5663.31-4.6152.671.5260.29-8.0955.695.77
2018 (5)5.5010.447.04-6.7566.37-9.3851.887.3765.60-5.2452.650.59
2017 (4)4.98-1.397.55-4.0773.241.3148.324.1869.233.0252.341.69
2016 (3)5.052.027.874.5272.29-1.9746.38-4.3767.202.7151.47-9.4
2015 (2)4.95-1.597.538.573.741.6148.50-7.8365.433.5656.81-8.39
2014 (1)5.03-0.46.941.1772.570.3952.62-1.1163.184.9762.01-5.05

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