玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/116.57-1.642.7472.021.7119.72N/A-
2024/106.682.976.1265.451.6119.85N/A-
2024/96.48-3.110.9758.781.1219.80.11-
2024/86.690.976.5952.31.1419.880.11-
2024/76.630.964.2345.610.3919.710.11-
2024/66.560.71-14.2138.98-0.2319.510.11-
2024/56.521.264.6232.423.1719.510.11-
2024/46.43-1.852.3325.92.8119.310.11-
2024/36.563.834.1819.472.9619.470.11-
2024/26.31-4.27-2.1212.912.3619.180.11-
2024/16.65.157.066.67.0619.260.11-
2023/126.27-1.83-1.7777.080.7218.950.1-
2023/116.391.58-1.6870.810.9419.10.1-
2023/106.29-2.01-3.3264.421.2118.990.1-
2023/96.422.28-1.3858.131.7319.050.11-
2023/86.28-1.26-1.851.712.1320.280.1-
2023/76.36-16.910.6945.432.720.240.1-
2023/67.6522.8420.4639.073.0420.170.11-
2023/56.23-0.94-3.1131.42-0.4618.810.12-
2023/46.29-0.08-0.0525.190.2119.030.12-
2023/36.29-2.45-1.6818.910.2918.910.12-
2023/26.454.723.2612.611.3119.00.12-
2023/16.16-3.52-0.646.16-0.6419.050.12-
2022/126.39-1.74-2.1876.531.3219.390.12-
2022/116.5-0.10.1570.141.6519.520.12-
2022/106.51-0.061.963.641.819.410.12-
2022/96.511.85-2.8957.131.7919.220.14-
2022/86.391.233.5150.622.4319.060.14-
2022/76.31-0.582.8644.232.2719.090.14-
2022/66.35-1.27.7137.922.1719.070.14-
2022/56.432.189.5131.571.1319.120.14-
2022/46.29-1.714.3425.14-0.818.940.14-
2022/36.42.44-5.8318.85-2.4118.850.13-
2022/26.250.762.6912.45-0.5518.980.13-
2022/16.2-5.03-3.626.2-3.6219.220.12-
2021/126.530.67.0175.534.9719.40.1-
2021/116.491.637.5369.04.7819.580.09-
2021/106.38-4.768.4862.514.519.260.1-
2021/96.78.5610.4456.134.0719.020.12-
2021/86.170.60.1649.423.2618.210.13-
2021/76.144.09-0.3443.253.7217.90.13-
2021/65.90.44-1.1937.114.4317.80.14-
2021/55.87-2.64-2.7231.215.5618.70.13-
2021/46.03-11.291.6225.347.6918.910.13-
2021/36.811.7115.1719.329.7319.320.14-
2021/26.08-5.433.3412.526.9918.620.15-
2021/16.435.4510.696.4310.6918.570.15-
2020/126.11.11.5871.951.6218.020.1-
2020/116.032.520.8465.851.6217.990.1-
2020/105.89-3.04-1.3859.811.718.120.1-
2020/96.07-1.533.1853.932.0518.390.08-
2020/86.160.085.8147.861.9118.290.08-
2020/76.163.214.1741.691.3618.160.08-
2020/65.97-1.11-0.7235.540.8917.930.08-
2020/56.031.74.0829.571.2217.870.08-
2020/45.930.531.2323.530.5117.720.08-
2020/35.90.241.0117.60.2817.60.09-
2020/25.891.280.711.7-0.0817.710.09-
2020/15.81-3.22-0.875.81-0.870.0N/A-
2019/126.010.371.5870.80.470.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/16.62023/16.162022/16.22021/16.432020/15.81
2024/26.312023/26.452022/26.252021/26.082020/25.89
2024/36.562023/36.292022/36.42021/36.82020/35.9
2024/46.432023/46.292022/46.292021/46.032020/45.93
2024/56.522023/56.232022/56.432021/55.872020/56.03
2024/66.562023/67.652022/66.352021/65.92020/65.97
2024/76.632023/76.362022/76.312021/76.142020/76.16
2024/86.692023/86.282022/86.392021/86.172020/86.16
2024/96.482023/96.422022/96.512021/96.72020/96.07
2024/106.682023/106.292022/106.512021/106.382020/105.89
2024/116.572023/116.392022/116.52021/116.492020/116.03
N/AN/A2023/126.272022/126.392021/126.532020/126.1
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 27.64%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)10.71-0.37-1.2
24Q2 (19)10.75-2.36-0.28
24Q1 (18)11.013.770.73
23Q4 (17)10.61-2.124.12
23Q3 (16)10.840.564.73
23Q2 (15)10.78-1.374.36
23Q1 (14)10.937.261.2
22Q4 (13)10.19-1.551.39
22Q3 (12)10.350.190.98
22Q2 (11)10.33-4.35-0.48
22Q1 (10)10.87.468.11
21Q4 (9)10.05-1.95-1.28
21Q3 (8)10.25-1.250.99
21Q2 (7)10.383.9-8.55
21Q1 (6)9.99-1.87-10.16
20Q4 (5)10.180.3-3.69
20Q3 (4)10.15-10.570.0
20Q2 (3)11.352.070.0
20Q1 (2)11.125.20.0
19Q4 (1)10.570.00.0

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