玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/1083.12-8.43-15.03967.3915.93273.11N/A-
2024/990.78-8.49-14.31884.2720.05283.250.01-
2024/899.216.389.09793.4925.82289.940.01-
2024/793.26-4.3312.67694.2828.64301.60.01-
2024/697.48-12.0723.41601.0331.54308.310.01-
2024/5110.8710.9119.48503.5533.23326.70.01-
2024/499.96-13.7349.89392.6837.71305.010.01-
2024/3115.8829.9441.74292.7634.01292.760.01-
2024/289.171.6633.15176.8829.38284.080.01-
2024/187.71-18.1725.7787.7125.77288.730.01-
2023/12107.1914.236.171035.438.87298.860.01-
2023/1193.83-4.0910.51928.249.19297.630.01-
2023/1097.84-7.6633.94834.419.05294.730.01-
2023/9105.9616.5220.55736.586.42279.660.01-
2023/890.939.8617.21630.624.37252.690.01-
2023/782.774.785.31539.682.47254.550.01-
2023/678.99-14.876.18456.921.98238.460.01-
2023/592.7939.1424.39377.931.14241.230.01-
2023/466.69-18.42-10.77285.14-4.65215.410.01-
2023/381.7522.07-2.97218.46-2.61218.460.01-
2023/266.97-3.97-14.43136.71-2.38237.740.01-
2023/169.74-30.9712.8769.7412.87255.680.01-
2022/12101.0419.00.8951.0934.82258.980.01-
2022/1184.916.2341.41850.0540.46245.80.01-
2022/1073.05-16.853.1765.1540.35238.470.01-
2022/987.8513.2449.03692.0645.91244.020.01-
2022/877.58-1.2938.14604.2145.46230.560.01-
2022/778.595.6448.84526.6346.61227.580.01-
2022/674.39-0.2721.55448.0446.23223.730.01-
2022/574.59-0.1933.32373.6552.39233.610.01集團110年簽約額較109年成長,致111年5月營收較110年同期增加。
2022/474.74-11.3173.86299.0658.02237.280.01集團110年簽約額較109年成長,致111年4月營收較110年同期增加。
2022/384.287.6746.69224.3353.38224.330.01集團110年簽約額較109年成長,致111年3月營收較110年同期增加。
2022/278.2726.67101.55140.0557.7240.310.01集團110年簽約額較109年成長,致111年2月營收較110年同期增加。
2022/161.78-38.3723.6361.7823.63222.080.01-
2021/12100.2666.9843.08705.4426.97231.140.01-
2021/1160.04-15.2517.86605.1824.64189.650.01-
2021/1070.8420.5456.26545.1425.44185.770.01集團簽約額成長,致110年10月營收較109年同期增加。
2021/958.774.6513.0474.1221.81167.730.01-
2021/856.166.3536.36415.3523.16170.160.01-
2021/752.8-13.727.79359.1921.33169.950.01-
2021/661.29.3869.93306.3924.01160.140.01集團109年簽約額較108年成長,致110年6月營收較109年同期增加。
2021/555.9530.1528.99245.1916.18156.410.01-
2021/442.99-25.2-19.23189.2412.86139.290.01-
2021/357.4747.9930.99146.2827.81146.280.01-
2021/238.83-22.294.1488.8125.83158.90.01-
2021/149.98-28.750.1449.9850.14171.010.01集團109年簽約額較108年成長,致110年1月營收較109年同期增加。
2020/1270.137.612.76555.61-4.55166.370.01-
2020/1150.9412.367.41485.51-6.62148.280.01-
2020/1045.34-12.827.95434.57-8.03138.520.01-
2020/952.026.28-3.47389.22-9.59142.170.01-
2020/841.18-15.92-23.97337.22-10.46126.030.01-
2020/748.9836.54-4.97296.04-8.19128.230.01-
2020/635.87-17.29-17.46246.92-8.86132.470.01-
2020/543.37-18.51-5.22211.04-7.22140.130.01-
2020/453.2322.2819.37167.67-7.72134.040.01-
2020/343.5316.73-19.26114.1-16.79114.10.01-
2020/237.2912.01-28.5370.57-15.19132.720.01-
2020/133.29-46.447.2233.297.22142.860.01-
2019/1262.1531.05-20.54582.1-9.140.0N/A-
2019/1147.4212.92-26.76519.95-7.560.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/187.712023/169.742022/161.782021/149.982020/133.29
2024/289.172023/266.972022/278.272021/238.832020/237.29
2024/3115.882023/381.752022/384.282021/357.472020/343.53
2024/499.962023/466.692022/474.742021/442.992020/453.23
2024/5110.872023/592.792022/574.592021/555.952020/543.37
2024/697.482023/678.992022/674.392021/661.22020/635.87
2024/793.262023/782.772022/778.592021/752.82020/748.98
2024/899.212023/890.932022/877.582021/856.162020/841.18
2024/990.782023/9105.962022/987.852021/958.772020/952.0
2024/1083.122023/1097.842022/1073.052021/1070.842020/1045.34
N/AN/A2023/1193.832022/1184.92021/1160.042020/1150.94
N/AN/A2023/12107.192022/12101.042021/12100.262020/1270.1
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 433.64%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)351.43-6.11-1.01
24Q2 (19)374.2813.385.24
24Q1 (18)330.126.8927.42
23Q4 (17)308.83-13.0122.93
23Q3 (16)355.02-0.1726.4
23Q2 (15)355.6337.2624.42
23Q1 (14)259.093.13-6.09
22Q4 (13)251.22-10.565.39
22Q3 (12)280.88-1.7430.42
22Q2 (11)285.843.6132.14
22Q1 (10)275.8915.74-3.16
21Q4 (9)238.3710.6864.28
21Q3 (8)215.36-0.4488.81
21Q2 (7)216.31-24.0846.93
21Q1 (6)284.996.3593.43
20Q4 (5)145.127.2118.9
20Q3 (4)114.06-22.520.0
20Q2 (3)147.22-0.050.0
20Q1 (2)147.2920.690.0
19Q4 (1)122.040.00.0

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