玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/1121.781.6915.32261.876.8466.65N/A-
2024/1021.42-8.648.97240.096.1372.62N/A-
2024/923.45-15.516.89218.675.8678.950.36-
2024/827.750.022.9195.225.7380.270.35-
2024/727.7512.011.86167.476.2279.270.35-
2024/624.77-7.4-3.3139.725.1774.950.39-
2024/526.7514.219.86114.957.1973.710.4-
2024/423.43-0.455.4488.196.4165.030.45-
2024/323.5330.184.8664.776.7664.770.44-
2024/218.08-21.95-5.5841.247.8860.230.47-
2024/123.1621.9721.423.1621.461.040.47-
2023/1218.990.536.74264.096.9357.530.46-
2023/1118.89-3.94.41245.16.9560.480.44-
2023/1019.66-10.3912.02226.227.1668.560.38-
2023/921.94-18.66-0.58206.566.7273.710.35-
2023/826.978.733.79184.627.6677.390.33-
2023/724.8-3.185.07157.668.3674.770.34-
2023/625.625.28.89132.858.9972.190.37-
2023/524.359.615.06107.239.0269.010.39-
2023/422.22-1.016.5682.8810.2463.80.42-
2023/322.4417.215.8560.668.0960.660.51-
2023/219.140.3525.238.229.4556.010.55-
2023/119.087.24-2.8119.08-2.8154.960.56-
2022/1217.79-1.669.38246.9615.4953.420.63-
2022/1118.093.0913.05229.1716.057.70.59-
2022/1017.55-20.489.52211.0816.2665.590.52-
2022/922.06-15.0741.94193.5416.9171.650.43-
2022/825.9810.0639.32171.4714.3173.110.42-
2022/723.610.3313.38145.4910.7670.310.43-
2022/623.531.4915.4121.8910.2765.760.5-
2022/523.1821.6214.6798.369.1163.440.52-
2022/419.06-10.12.0375.187.555.550.6-
2022/321.238.646.756.129.556.120.57-
2022/215.29-22.117.9334.9211.2651.190.63-
2022/119.6320.76.5719.636.5751.90.62-
2021/1216.261.6323.98213.8310.5148.280.62-
2021/1116.0-0.1113.8197.569.5347.570.63-
2021/1016.023.0521.43181.569.1750.210.6-
2021/915.55-16.63-10.45165.548.1155.010.49-
2021/818.65-10.421.0150.010.4959.850.45-
2021/720.822.124.26131.3511.9861.420.44-
2021/620.380.8413.19110.5313.5659.280.42-
2021/520.218.2212.7690.1413.6558.760.43-
2021/418.68-5.988.6169.9313.9151.510.49-
2021/319.8753.2317.1451.2515.9751.250.46-
2021/212.97-29.6111.1331.3915.2344.50.54-
2021/118.4240.4218.3118.4218.3145.60.52-
2020/1213.12-6.7-11.79193.48-10.1240.370.57-
2020/1114.066.57-3.21180.37-9.9944.610.51-
2020/1013.19-24.0-9.33166.3-10.5249.010.47-
2020/917.36-5.96-4.18153.11-10.6255.790.42-
2020/818.46-7.53-9.56135.75-11.3956.440.41-
2020/719.9710.86-5.79117.29-11.6755.90.42-
2020/618.010.47-11.7897.33-12.7953.130.46-
2020/517.924.23-17.8879.32-13.0152.080.47-
2020/417.21.39-12.6761.39-11.4845.820.53-
2020/316.9645.36-13.8744.19-11.0144.190.57-
2020/211.67-25.06-14.1127.24-9.1342.110.6-
2020/115.574.68-5.015.57-5.00.0N/A-
2019/1214.872.3712.11215.278.010.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/123.162023/119.082022/119.632021/118.422020/115.57
2024/218.082023/219.142022/215.292021/212.972020/211.67
2024/323.532023/322.442022/321.22021/319.872020/316.96
2024/423.432023/422.222022/419.062021/418.682020/417.2
2024/526.752023/524.352022/523.182021/520.212020/517.92
2024/624.772023/625.622022/623.532021/620.382020/618.01
2024/727.752023/724.82022/723.612021/720.822020/719.97
2024/827.752023/826.972022/825.982021/818.652020/818.46
2024/923.452023/921.942022/922.062021/915.552020/917.36
2024/1021.422023/1019.662022/1017.552021/1016.022020/1013.19
2024/1121.782023/1118.892022/1118.092021/1116.02020/1114.06
N/AN/A2023/1218.992022/1217.792021/1216.262020/1213.12
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 7.51%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)2.22-0.8947.02
24Q2 (19)2.24-26.5667.16
24Q1 (18)3.05208.0879.41
23Q4 (17)0.99-34.44-45.0
23Q3 (16)1.5112.69-24.5
23Q2 (15)1.34-21.183.08
23Q1 (14)1.7-5.5626.87
22Q4 (13)1.8-10.034.33
22Q3 (12)2.053.85146.91
22Q2 (11)1.3-2.9923.81
22Q1 (10)1.340.016.52
21Q4 (9)1.3465.4397.06
21Q3 (8)0.81-22.86-23.58
21Q2 (7)1.05-8.7950.0
21Q1 (6)1.1569.1233.72
20Q4 (5)0.68-35.85-54.67
20Q3 (4)1.06960.00.0
20Q2 (3)0.1-88.370.0
20Q1 (2)0.86-42.670.0
19Q4 (1)1.50.00.0

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