玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/101.482.262.220.0212.134.68N/A-
2024/91.45-17.514.4118.5413.04.910.74-
2024/81.752.1615.2417.113.85.410.67-
2024/71.72-11.5811.015.3513.635.750.63-
2024/61.94-7.234.5613.6313.976.270.55-
2024/52.09-6.597.8911.6915.78.120.42-
2024/42.24-40.929.289.617.567.480.46-
2024/33.79161.6258.187.3620.337.360.5某交易客戶與本公司約定有最低採購量,因未達最低採購量所收取之收入。
2024/21.45-31.7-33.143.57-4.045.220.71-
2024/12.1228.7336.552.1236.555.330.69-
2023/121.655.66-16.8921.06-19.874.650.84-
2023/111.567.81-18.519.41-20.114.390.89-
2023/101.454.47-17.1817.85-20.254.350.9-
2023/91.38-8.96-25.9616.41-20.514.450.84-
2023/81.52-1.59-15.3615.02-19.974.920.76-
2023/71.55-16.71-33.1413.5-20.455.340.7-
2023/61.86-4.28-23.6111.96-18.455.840.71-
2023/51.94-5.39-25.910.1-17.436.380.65-
2023/42.05-14.48-11.198.16-15.136.610.63-
2023/32.410.56-13.216.12-16.376.120.77-
2023/22.1739.5-0.313.72-18.295.70.83-
2023/11.55-21.65-34.721.55-34.725.450.86-
2022/121.983.62-13.8526.290.375.640.98-
2022/111.919.56-3.7124.31.755.531.0-
2022/101.75-6.61.0322.392.245.411.02-
2022/91.874.0711.1920.642.355.980.93-
2022/81.8-22.270.5518.771.546.540.85-
2022/72.31-4.8311.6916.981.657.360.76-
2022/62.43-7.160.6214.670.237.350.76-
2022/52.6213.39-1.0212.240.157.680.73-
2022/42.31-16.42-13.89.620.477.240.78-
2022/32.7626.997.957.316.027.310.79-
2022/22.17-8.6415.834.554.876.850.84-
2022/12.383.38-3.462.38-3.466.670.87-
2021/122.315.8216.6826.1910.396.020.95-
2021/111.9914.963.7223.889.825.41.06-
2021/101.732.78-8.2321.910.415.21.1-
2021/91.68-5.88-10.5320.1712.375.540.99-
2021/81.79-13.66-4.5218.4915.056.270.87-
2021/72.07-14.26-6.0716.717.637.130.77-
2021/62.41-8.6835.2714.6321.997.730.67-
2021/52.64-1.2436.1312.2219.677.880.66-
2021/42.684.6723.259.5715.87.110.73-
2021/32.5636.25-1.396.913.156.90.82-
2021/21.88-23.8611.934.3423.926.310.89-
2021/12.4624.9534.922.4634.926.350.89-
2020/121.972.96-15.1223.72-17.535.770.94-
2020/111.921.71.5421.75-17.745.680.96-
2020/101.880.2-2.2219.83-19.225.630.97-
2020/91.880.43-1.4417.95-20.675.950.77-
2020/81.87-15.06-10.7216.07-22.445.860.79-
2020/72.223.48-2.1914.2-23.765.930.78-
2020/61.78-8.1-26.0511.99-26.735.90.88-
2020/51.94-10.58-30.5210.21-26.856.710.77-
2020/42.17-16.26-25.888.27-25.936.440.81-
2020/32.5954.67-21.416.1-25.946.10.91-
2020/21.68-8.22-12.33.5-28.975.830.95-
2020/11.83-21.39-39.521.83-39.526.040.92-
2019/122.3223.183.7328.76-12.330.0N/A-
2019/111.89-2.06-22.5826.44-13.510.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/12.122023/11.552022/12.382021/12.462020/11.83
2024/21.452023/22.172022/22.172021/21.882020/21.68
2024/33.792023/32.42022/32.762021/32.562020/32.59
2024/42.242023/42.052022/42.312021/42.682020/42.17
2024/52.092023/51.942022/52.622021/52.642020/51.94
2024/61.942023/61.862022/62.432021/62.412020/61.78
2024/71.722023/71.552022/72.312021/72.072020/72.2
2024/81.752023/81.522022/81.82021/81.792020/81.87
2024/91.452023/91.382022/91.872021/91.682020/91.88
2024/101.482023/101.452022/101.752021/101.732020/101.88
N/AN/A2023/111.562022/111.912021/111.992020/111.92
N/AN/A2023/121.652022/121.982021/122.32020/121.97
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 4.67%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.516.25121.74
24Q2 (19)0.48-5.88108.7
24Q1 (18)0.51112.56.25
23Q4 (17)0.244.35-77.98
23Q3 (16)0.230.015.0
23Q2 (15)0.23-52.08-4.17
23Q1 (14)0.48-55.96-11.11
22Q4 (13)1.09445.0419.05
22Q3 (12)0.2-16.67-95.67
22Q2 (11)0.24-55.56-7.69
22Q1 (10)0.54157.1480.0
21Q4 (9)0.21-95.4516.67
21Q3 (8)4.621676.921183.33
21Q2 (7)0.26-13.33-63.38
21Q1 (6)0.366.6730.43
20Q4 (5)0.18-50.0-14.29
20Q3 (4)0.36-49.30.0
20Q2 (3)0.71208.70.0
20Q1 (2)0.239.520.0
19Q4 (1)0.210.00.0

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