玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/113.620.5517.2447.844.2512.1N/A-
2024/103.6-26.0811.1644.223.3115.43N/A-
2024/94.87-29.920.440.622.6717.00.44-
2024/86.9534.275.735.752.9916.170.47-
2024/75.1828.127.3828.792.3513.670.55-
2024/64.04-9.17-3.7623.611.3112.020.78-
2024/54.4525.9812.1319.572.4311.710.8-
2024/43.53-5.313.0315.12-0.1110.50.9-
2024/33.7315.26-10.0411.59-1.0311.590.75-
2024/23.24-30.044.837.863.910.980.79-
2024/14.6348.413.264.633.2610.830.8-
2023/123.120.91-7.2349.012.079.450.94-
2023/113.09-4.661.345.892.7711.180.8-
2023/103.24-33.242.442.82.8814.670.61-
2023/94.85-26.214.339.562.9216.250.48-
2023/86.5836.413.6534.712.7215.60.5-
2023/74.8214.82-5.9428.132.5112.990.6-
2023/64.25.824.1723.314.4611.60.88-
2023/53.9715.763.0719.114.5211.540.89-
2023/43.43-17.3313.6615.144.9110.660.96-
2023/34.1534.337.4511.712.5911.710.78-
2023/23.09-31.09-1.357.570.1210.930.84-
2023/14.4833.321.154.481.1510.890.84-
2022/123.3610.216.6948.011.899.571.01-
2022/113.05-3.63-0.6444.651.5510.860.89-
2022/103.16-32.03.4841.61.7214.160.68-
2022/94.65-26.680.3838.441.5716.130.55-
2022/86.3523.784.8733.791.7415.50.57-
2022/75.1327.1716.1727.441.0413.010.68-
2022/64.034.71-13.2622.31-1.8810.90.93-
2022/53.8527.65-12.518.281.0310.720.94-
2022/43.02-21.8410.2214.435.3810.01.01-
2022/33.8623.335.111.424.1711.420.77-
2022/23.13-29.34-1.57.563.710.710.82-
2022/14.4340.617.734.437.7310.650.83-
2021/123.152.6312.3947.122.069.270.87-
2021/113.070.367.8143.971.3910.760.75-
2021/103.06-34.0414.8740.90.9413.740.59-
2021/94.63-23.4-17.9737.84-0.0315.10.44-
2021/86.0537.11-5.433.213.1115.110.43-
2021/74.41-5.052.5927.165.2213.460.49-
2021/64.655.6311.8422.745.7511.780.68-
2021/54.460.851.0618.094.2910.810.74本公司為食品業,5月因COVID-19疫情嚴峻,消費者囤貨抗疫心理因素,使醬菜調理等罐頭,業績迅速成長。
2021/42.74-25.47-6.0313.69-5.149.580.83-
2021/33.6715.57-17.3610.96-4.9110.960.61-
2021/23.18-22.714.917.292.8910.090.67-
2021/14.1146.691.384.111.389.760.69-
2020/122.8-1.54-4.1546.163.298.310.89-
2020/112.856.932.4143.363.8111.160.67-
2020/102.66-52.9-6.3640.513.9114.710.5-
2020/95.65-11.6628.0137.854.7216.350.34-
2020/86.448.70.2632.21.4814.850.37-
2020/74.33.51-10.9225.811.7911.370.49-
2020/64.1642.68-7.5821.54.789.980.71-
2020/52.910.02-8.5817.358.2510.270.69-
2020/42.91-34.451.2114.4412.4310.380.69-
2020/34.4446.7341.6811.5215.6711.520.44-
2020/23.03-25.31-0.137.083.7310.010.51-
2020/14.0538.686.824.056.820.0N/A-
2019/122.925.198.3844.693.380.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/14.632023/14.482022/14.432021/14.112020/14.05
2024/23.242023/23.092022/23.132021/23.182020/23.03
2024/33.732023/34.152022/33.862021/33.672020/34.44
2024/43.532023/43.432022/43.022021/42.742020/42.91
2024/54.452023/53.972022/53.852021/54.42020/52.91
2024/64.042023/64.22022/64.032021/64.652020/64.16
2024/75.182023/74.822022/75.132021/74.412020/74.3
2024/86.952023/86.582022/86.352021/86.052020/86.4
2024/94.872023/94.852022/94.652021/94.632020/95.65
2024/103.62023/103.242022/103.162021/103.062020/102.66
2024/113.622023/113.092022/113.052021/113.072020/112.85
N/AN/A2023/123.122022/123.362021/123.152020/122.8
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 0.2%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.1-28.57-23.08
24Q2 (19)0.1416.670.0
24Q1 (18)0.12-25.033.33
23Q4 (17)0.1623.0814.29
23Q3 (16)0.13-7.1418.18
23Q2 (15)0.1455.56-12.5
23Q1 (14)0.09-35.71-47.06
22Q4 (13)0.1427.277.69
22Q3 (12)0.11-31.25-15.38
22Q2 (11)0.16-5.8833.33
22Q1 (10)0.1730.7741.67
21Q4 (9)0.130.08.33
21Q3 (8)0.138.338.33
21Q2 (7)0.120.033.33
21Q1 (6)0.120.020.0
20Q4 (5)0.120.033.33
20Q3 (4)0.1233.330.0
20Q2 (3)0.09-10.00.0
20Q1 (2)0.111.110.0
19Q4 (1)0.090.00.0

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