玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/1127.632.682.87256.283.1777.35N/A-
2024/1020.8-28.142.6228.673.275.75N/A-
2024/928.9511.35-7.11207.873.2676.340.71-
2024/826.021.53-2.17178.925.1666.980.81-
2024/721.399.16-0.56152.936.5264.130.84-
2024/619.6-15.33-7.5131.537.7763.580.88-
2024/523.1411.078.29111.9410.9864.660.86-
2024/420.840.750.7588.811.7154.71.02-
2024/320.6856.874.3767.9615.5667.960.69-
2024/213.18-61.33-6.7147.2821.2576.920.61-
2024/134.0915.0337.1534.0937.1590.560.52-
2023/1229.6410.46-16.8278.04-3.8676.740.74-
2023/1126.8332.34-3.42248.4-2.0578.270.72-
2023/1020.27-34.94-7.1221.57-1.8878.020.73-
2023/931.1717.279.58201.3-1.3279.260.79-
2023/826.5823.53-1.08170.13-3.0969.270.91-
2023/721.511.550.24143.55-3.4564.070.98-
2023/621.18-0.8613.08122.04-4.0763.231.1-
2023/521.373.338.97100.86-7.0361.871.12-
2023/420.684.36-4.1679.49-10.5754.631.27-
2023/319.8240.22-11.958.8-12.6258.80.98-
2023/214.13-43.157.7638.99-12.9974.610.77-
2023/124.86-30.22-21.5724.86-21.5788.270.65-
2022/1235.6228.220.0289.23-15.6985.230.66-
2022/1127.7827.3-24.6253.6-17.5178.050.73-
2022/1021.82-23.26-19.66225.82-16.5477.130.73-
2022/928.445.85-13.67204.0-16.276.770.72-
2022/826.8725.19-4.51175.55-16.5967.060.82-
2022/721.4614.55-16.1148.69-18.4559.80.92-
2022/618.73-4.46-30.65127.23-18.8459.921.12-
2022/519.61-9.12-17.36108.49-16.3863.681.06-
2022/421.58-4.06-7.6688.88-16.1657.181.18-
2022/322.4971.5216.0267.3-18.5667.30.84-
2022/213.11-58.62-24.6344.81-29.1680.430.7-
2022/131.7-11.01-30.8831.7-30.88104.170.54-
2021/1235.62-3.33-8.01343.07-0.4699.640.57-
2021/1136.8535.633.59307.450.4996.960.59-
2021/1027.17-17.54-3.39270.60.0888.250.65-
2021/932.9517.09-16.77243.430.4986.670.71-
2021/828.149.99-11.16210.493.8680.740.76-
2021/725.58-5.33.38182.356.6476.330.81-
2021/627.0213.8312.94156.777.1974.120.75-
2021/523.731.54-8.12129.756.0766.490.84-
2021/423.3720.55-21.5106.029.8760.160.93-
2021/319.3911.41-13.7282.6523.8882.650.66-
2021/217.4-62.0516.5463.2642.97101.990.54-
2021/145.8618.4256.4345.8656.43120.150.46本月營收增加主係來自於大陸子公司之營收貢獻
2020/1238.738.87-6.65344.6610.23102.420.5-
2020/1135.5726.474.4305.9412.81103.280.5-
2020/1028.12-28.9521.97270.3714.0299.380.52-
2020/939.5924.9844.19242.2513.1796.00.5-
2020/831.6728.04.01202.668.680.340.6-
2020/724.743.4412.13170.989.574.50.64-
2020/623.92-7.3910.55146.249.0779.530.54-
2020/525.83-13.2421.26122.328.7878.080.55-
2020/429.7732.5167.5996.495.8767.170.64本月營收增加主係來自於大陸子公司之營收貢獻
2020/322.4750.4941.5866.71-9.0766.710.6-
2020/214.93-49.067.5644.24-23.0585.730.47-
2020/129.31-29.34-32.7929.31-32.790.0N/A-
2019/1241.4921.7721.2312.6614.350.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/134.092023/124.862022/131.72021/145.862020/129.31
2024/213.182023/214.132022/213.112021/217.42020/214.93
2024/320.682023/319.822022/322.492021/319.392020/322.47
2024/420.842023/420.682022/421.582021/423.372020/429.77
2024/523.142023/521.372022/519.612021/523.732020/525.83
2024/619.62023/621.182022/618.732021/627.022020/623.92
2024/721.392023/721.512022/721.462021/725.582020/724.74
2024/826.02023/826.582022/826.872021/828.142020/831.67
2024/928.952023/931.172022/928.442021/932.952020/939.59
2024/1020.82023/1020.272022/1021.822021/1027.172020/1028.12
2024/1127.62023/1126.832022/1127.782021/1136.852020/1135.57
N/AN/A2023/1229.642022/1235.622021/1235.622020/1238.73
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 1.84%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)1.68-9.19-22.58
24Q2 (19)1.85-15.14-17.78
24Q1 (18)2.18-26.61.87
23Q4 (17)2.9736.87-38.12
23Q3 (16)2.17-3.5624.0
23Q2 (15)2.255.14-4.26
23Q1 (14)2.14-55.42-40.39
22Q4 (13)4.8174.29-6.25
22Q3 (12)1.75-25.53-20.45
22Q2 (11)2.35-34.5435.84
22Q1 (10)3.59-29.8832.96
21Q4 (9)5.12132.73-31.73
21Q3 (8)2.227.17-10.93
21Q2 (7)1.73-35.93-22.77
21Q1 (6)2.7-64.0-16.41
20Q4 (5)7.5203.64129.36
20Q3 (4)2.4710.270.0
20Q2 (3)2.24-30.650.0
20Q1 (2)3.23-1.220.0
19Q4 (1)3.270.00.0

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