玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/104.6621.61-13.5749.44-11.3713.18N/A-
2024/93.83-18.37-33.1244.78-11.1314.220.52-
2024/84.69-17.7-30.9140.95-8.3115.630.47-
2024/75.78.961.8536.26-4.2615.390.48-
2024/65.2317.31-3.7730.56-5.3214.950.42-
2024/54.46-15.12-24.6625.33-5.6314.580.43-
2024/45.268.070.520.87-0.2515.080.42-
2024/34.86-1.97-11.4215.61-0.515.610.32-
2024/24.96-14.3-12.3710.755.3717.020.3-
2024/15.79-7.7227.515.7927.5117.170.29-
2023/126.2722.88-24.3467.16-31.5616.770.38-
2023/115.11-5.27-35.7760.89-32.2316.220.39-
2023/105.39-5.89-38.7455.78-31.8917.910.35-
2023/95.73-15.67-25.5450.4-31.0618.120.33-
2023/86.7921.32-37.2844.67-31.7117.830.33-
2023/75.62.93-42.2537.88-30.6116.960.35-
2023/65.44-8.16-39.1432.28-28.0916.590.49-
2023/55.9213.24-32.2526.84-25.3516.640.49-
2023/45.23-4.75-9.8120.92-23.1316.380.5-
2023/35.49-3.02-23.1215.69-26.7315.690.35-
2023/25.6624.7-15.3210.2-28.5518.490.3-
2023/14.54-45.25-40.194.54-40.1920.780.26-
2022/128.294.3-9.5498.152.625.040.22-
2022/117.95-9.64-24.6189.863.8824.440.22-
2022/108.814.38-6.7481.917.8427.320.2-
2022/97.69-28.97-9.8473.119.9128.220.23-
2022/810.8311.7137.3465.4212.8229.460.22-
2022/79.698.4818.0454.598.9627.370.23-
2022/68.942.2312.5244.897.1823.470.3-
2022/58.7450.7618.0335.965.9321.680.33-
2022/45.8-18.81-27.6127.222.5519.620.36-
2022/37.146.815.0721.4215.621.420.21-
2022/26.69-11.9228.6114.2821.723.440.19-
2022/17.59-17.1816.27.5916.227.30.17-
2021/129.17-13.0634.3295.6667.7129.150.2產品平均售價較去年同期提高所致
2021/1110.5411.7682.7586.4972.2428.510.2產品平均售價較去年同期提高所致
2021/109.4310.57105.5675.9570.8825.850.23產品平均售價較去年同期提高所致
2021/98.538.280.366.5166.8824.630.17產品平均售價較去年同期提高所致
2021/87.88-3.9993.2657.9865.0824.040.18產品平均售價較去年同期提高所致
2021/78.213.4190.0450.161.3723.560.18產品平均售價較去年同期提高所致
2021/67.947.2475.8741.8856.7423.360.16產品平均售價較去年同期提高所致
2021/57.41-7.5456.4433.9452.8522.210.17產品平均售價較去年同期提高所致
2021/48.0117.8584.926.5451.8720.00.19產品平均售價較去年同期提高所致
2021/36.830.7435.9418.5340.9918.530.24-
2021/25.2-20.4220.7711.7344.0818.550.24-
2021/16.53-4.2770.236.5370.2319.130.23銷售數量因年節差異,並同產品平均售價皆較去年同期提高所致。
2020/126.8218.2715.0557.04-16.017.180.18-
2020/115.7725.710.550.21-18.9815.090.21-
2020/104.59-3.0-21.3244.44-20.9713.40.23-
2020/94.7315.97-15.8339.85-20.9313.130.25-
2020/84.08-5.58-22.8135.12-21.5712.920.25-
2020/74.32-4.29-22.0531.04-21.413.570.24-
2020/64.52-4.61-13.3726.72-21.2913.580.25-
2020/54.739.27-12.6822.21-22.7314.060.24-
2020/44.33-13.34-30.3717.47-25.0613.640.25-
2020/35.016.14-18.3413.14-23.1313.140.38-
2020/24.312.16-9.88.14-25.8114.070.36-
2020/13.84-35.3-38.123.84-38.1215.510.32-
2019/125.933.31-4.5467.916.520.0N/A-
2019/115.74-1.57-12.6361.987.710.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/15.792023/14.542022/17.592021/16.532020/13.84
2024/24.962023/25.662022/26.692021/25.22020/24.3
2024/34.862023/35.492022/37.142021/36.82020/35.0
2024/45.262023/45.232022/45.82021/48.012020/44.33
2024/54.462023/55.922022/58.742021/57.412020/54.73
2024/65.232023/65.442022/68.942021/67.942020/64.52
2024/75.72023/75.62022/79.692021/78.212020/74.32
2024/84.692023/86.792022/810.832021/87.882020/84.08
2024/93.832023/95.732022/97.692021/98.532020/94.73
2024/104.662023/105.392022/108.82021/109.432020/104.59
N/AN/A2023/115.112022/117.952021/1110.542020/115.77
N/AN/A2023/126.272022/128.292021/129.172020/126.82
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 0.64%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.38-20.83-46.48
24Q2 (19)0.48-43.539.09
24Q1 (18)0.8560.38203.57
23Q4 (17)0.53-25.3512.77
23Q3 (16)0.7161.36121.88
23Q2 (15)0.4457.14-20.0
23Q1 (14)0.28-40.43-77.05
22Q4 (13)0.4746.8888.0
22Q3 (12)0.32-41.82-57.33
22Q2 (11)0.55-54.92-28.57
22Q1 (10)1.22388.0159.57
21Q4 (9)0.25-66.67-37.5
21Q3 (8)0.75-2.6102.7
21Q2 (7)0.7763.830
21Q1 (6)0.4717.50
20Q4 (5)0.48.110
20Q3 (4)0.3700.0

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