玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/1010.46-12.85-19.45136.712.9137.52N/A-
2024/912.0-20.32-12.15126.255.3443.120.68-
2024/815.06-6.1617.27114.257.5947.40.62-
2024/716.05-1.430.8699.196.2549.780.59-
2024/616.28-6.6446.883.142.5350.580.58-
2024/517.443.4327.2566.85-4.4743.470.67-
2024/416.8683.9819.4949.41-12.236.860.79-
2024/39.16-15.37-43.0932.55-22.8132.550.84-
2024/210.83-13.75-18.0123.39-10.2835.670.77-
2024/112.562.18-2.3312.56-2.3337.050.74-
2023/1212.290.65-2.56157.33-13.4537.480.55-
2023/1112.21-5.97-5.74145.04-14.2638.850.53-
2023/1012.98-4.95-6.45132.83-14.9739.490.53-
2023/913.666.36-2.92119.85-15.838.770.43-
2023/812.844.7-8.59106.19-17.2136.20.47-
2023/712.2710.6-11.2693.35-18.2737.060.45-
2023/611.09-19.07-39.781.08-19.2438.910.42-
2023/513.71-2.87-26.0869.99-14.6543.920.37-
2023/414.11-12.39-22.0156.28-11.3143.430.37-
2023/316.1121.93-5.8742.17-7.0442.170.38-
2023/213.212.7411.1726.07-7.7438.680.42-
2023/112.861.94-21.4712.86-21.4738.420.42-
2022/1212.61-2.63-28.35181.79-19.3939.440.41-
2022/1112.95-6.68-34.14169.18-18.6340.90.39-
2022/1013.88-1.37-30.8156.23-17.0142.00.38-
2022/914.070.15-24.82142.35-15.3741.950.5-
2022/814.051.64-25.15128.27-14.1946.270.46-
2022/713.82-24.84-27.35114.22-12.6150.760.42-
2022/618.39-0.79-5.9100.4-10.155.030.49-
2022/518.542.47-8.6282.0-10.9953.750.5-
2022/418.095.73-7.1863.46-11.6647.090.57-
2022/317.1144.01-6.7545.37-13.3445.370.47-
2022/211.88-27.42-28.4228.25-16.8945.860.46-
2022/116.37-6.97-5.8816.37-5.8853.640.4-
2021/1217.6-10.5-4.79225.5436.0957.320.4-
2021/1119.67-1.9416.7207.9441.2258.440.39-
2021/1020.067.1427.98188.2744.3957.550.4-
2021/918.72-0.2825.81168.2146.6356.520.33-
2021/818.77-1.3530.02149.4949.7457.350.32-
2021/719.03-2.6543.19130.7253.0758.870.31係因主要產品之數量及價格均較去年成長
2021/619.55-3.6646.76111.6954.8959.340.27係因主要產品之數量及價格均較去年成長
2021/520.294.0973.5692.1456.7358.140.28係因主要產品之數量及價格均較去年成長
2021/419.496.2177.0571.8552.5554.450.3係因主要產品之數量及價格均較去年成長
2021/318.3510.5465.6752.3545.0852.350.32係因主要產品之數量及價格均較去年同期大幅成長
2021/216.6-4.5661.3834.035.9652.490.31係因本月產品 SM及ABS之數量及價格均較去年同月增加,尤以ABS數量較去年本月成長83%
2021/117.4-5.918.1817.418.1852.740.31-
2020/1218.499.7112.38165.72-19.1151.010.24-
2020/1116.857.521.2147.23-21.8647.40.25-
2020/1015.675.33-1.76130.38-24.144.990.27-
2020/914.883.05-5.36114.71-26.3942.610.24-
2020/814.448.63-10.9699.83-28.7541.050.25-
2020/713.29-0.22-27.8885.4-31.0738.30.27-
2020/613.3213.92-24.1772.11-31.6336.020.31-
2020/511.696.19-38.5858.79-33.1233.780.33-
2020/411.01-0.6-41.4647.09-31.6132.370.35-
2020/311.087.68-32.7436.08-27.9236.080.36-
2020/210.29-30.11-29.2625.01-25.5541.460.31-
2020/114.72-10.52-22.7114.72-22.7147.820.27-
2019/1216.45-1.19-15.76204.89-17.210.0N/A-
2019/1116.654.364.02188.44-17.330.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/112.562023/112.862022/116.372021/117.42020/114.72
2024/210.832023/213.212022/211.882021/216.62020/210.29
2024/39.162023/316.112022/317.112021/318.352020/311.08
2024/416.862023/414.112022/418.092021/419.492020/411.01
2024/517.442023/513.712022/518.542021/520.292020/511.69
2024/616.282023/611.092022/618.392021/619.552020/613.32
2024/716.052023/712.272022/713.822021/719.032020/713.29
2024/815.062023/812.842022/814.052021/818.772020/814.44
2024/912.02023/913.662022/914.072021/918.722020/914.88
2024/1010.462023/1012.982022/1013.882021/1020.062020/1015.67
N/AN/A2023/1112.212022/1112.952021/1119.672020/1116.85
N/AN/A2023/1212.292022/1212.612021/1217.62020/1218.49
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 0.35%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.39-44.2944.44
24Q2 (19)0.7-2.7834.62
24Q1 (18)0.72105.71132.26
23Q4 (17)0.3529.63-18.6
23Q3 (16)0.27-48.08-60.87
23Q2 (15)0.5267.74173.68
23Q1 (14)0.31-27.91-49.18
22Q4 (13)0.43-37.68-29.51
22Q3 (12)0.69263.16263.16
22Q2 (11)0.19-68.85-55.81
22Q1 (10)0.610.0-12.86
21Q4 (9)0.61221.0517.31
21Q3 (8)0.19-55.81-53.66
21Q2 (7)0.43-38.57-15.69
21Q1 (6)0.734.6266.67
20Q4 (5)0.5226.8318.18
20Q3 (4)0.41-19.610.0
20Q2 (3)0.5121.430.0
20Q1 (2)0.42-4.550.0
19Q4 (1)0.440.00.0

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